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Shock poll: Obama could lose Illinois
Daily Caller ^ | August 20, 2012 | Alexis Levinson

Posted on 08/20/2012 5:18:02 AM PDT by Zakeet

President Barack Obama could lose his home state of Illinois in November, a new poll shows.

A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.

Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state. It is also the most populous.

Those numbers do not bode well for the president.

“He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or he’s gonna have problems downstate,” explained McKeon, who said that based on the numbers he had seen, Obama polled only in the forties in downstate Illinois.

“It’s not like his policies are very popular downstate,” McKeon said. “He’s viewed as more part of Chicago than he is part of Illinois.”

According to the poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters last week, Obama’s problems are not in Chicago proper, but in suburban Cook County.

In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney. But the Republican challenger leads 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney leads 43-31 among independent voters, a crucial voting bloc. Romney also holds a 44-38 lead among male voters, and a 53-40 lead among white voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012election; 2012polls; bluestates; cookcounty; democrats; elections; il2012; illinois; obama; obamaillinois; obamaillinois2012; onetermobama; poll
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Before you get too encouraged, you Freepers need know that the graveyards and prisons are full of voters who weren't included in this poll!

1 posted on 08/20/2012 5:18:06 AM PDT by Zakeet
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To: Zakeet
Before you get too encouraged, you Freepers need know that the graveyards and prisons are full of voters who weren't included in this poll!

You let the air out of what I was going to say.
2 posted on 08/20/2012 5:22:31 AM PDT by wolfpat (Not to know what has been transacted in former times is to be always a child. -- Cicero)
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To: Zakeet

This is pretty “pie in the sky” news. Ain’t gonna happen. My home state of Illinois, the corruption capital of the US, will vote for Obama. No questions.


3 posted on 08/20/2012 5:23:44 AM PDT by Lawgvr1955 (You can never have too much cowbell !!)
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To: Zakeet

Yeah, but this is also registered voters, not likely. Add two more points to Romney.


4 posted on 08/20/2012 5:24:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Lawgvr1955

Agreed. No way Illinois goes Republican this year. A tighter race in solid blue states is a good sign, though. It means blue-leaning swing states are definitely in play.


5 posted on 08/20/2012 5:25:57 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: Lawgvr1955

Chicago: Stealing Elections Since 1960


6 posted on 08/20/2012 5:27:29 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: GOPJ; HamiltonJay; SoFloFreeper; GOPsterinMA; SunkenCiv; unkus

ping


7 posted on 08/20/2012 5:28:24 AM PDT by Perdogg (Mutts for Mitt all agree - Better in the crate than on the plate)
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To: Zakeet
Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state.

There's nothing "Democratic" about RATs.

It is also the most populous.

It is also the most corrupt.

8 posted on 08/20/2012 5:28:37 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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To: Zakeet

The lead in the city would be greater except in the last four years the constituents have killed each other off.


9 posted on 08/20/2012 5:30:25 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: Zakeet
I don't know how many will actually vote for Obama in Cook County. I do know that they will count the votes, and then keep counting them until Obama gets enough votes to win the state.

Things haven't changed much since 1960.

10 posted on 08/20/2012 5:31:08 AM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (Obamanomics-We don't need your stinking tar sands oil, we'll just grow algae.)
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To: Zakeet

Well, they certainly aren’t ALL dumb in Illinois.


11 posted on 08/20/2012 5:31:27 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Lawgvr1955

and even if he doesn’t get the majority of votes there, he will win Illinois by a landslide.


12 posted on 08/20/2012 5:31:50 AM PDT by a real Sheila (RYAN/romney 2012)
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To: Zakeet

He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or he’s gonna have problems downstate


You got that right. We So. Ill. folks no likey da Lightbringer.


13 posted on 08/20/2012 5:32:14 AM PDT by 98ZJ USMC
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To: Lawgvr1955

Chicago is AWASH in MURDERS.......this could change some minds.


14 posted on 08/20/2012 5:32:34 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Zakeet

I don’t understand. What does Kenya have to do with Illinois?


15 posted on 08/20/2012 5:32:46 AM PDT by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: txrefugee

I worked for Nixon-Lodge in ‘59-60 in Chicago’s NW Suburbs, so I know about a stolen election, believe me...


16 posted on 08/20/2012 5:36:06 AM PDT by carriage_hill (Harry Reid [PERVERT-NV] has Vickie-the-goat in lingerie & stiletto heels, tied-up in his office.)
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To: Zakeet

Didn’t Mondale lose his home state of Minnesota in1984, vs. Reagan redux?

This is not so far fetched.


17 posted on 08/20/2012 5:38:21 AM PDT by cicero2k
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To: Zakeet; LS; Impy; BillyBoy; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; Skulllspitter; Dr. Sivana; ...

Registered voter polls are worthless. However, if Willard was truly polling at 37% in Cook County, that is 15% higher than McCain’s paltry 22% showing in ‘08. If that is the case statewide, using the ‘08 returns, that adds up to a 50-47% Willard statewide victory. If he carries IL, the race is over. Still, I don’t think it’s likely (even Carter carried Georgia in 1980 handily (56-41%) despite his abysmal national showing).


18 posted on 08/20/2012 5:38:21 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: Zakeet

I predict Obama will get 120% of the Cook county vote!


19 posted on 08/20/2012 5:38:47 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
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To: cicero2k

No, Mondale carried Minnesota. MN hasn’t voted GOP for President since 1972.


20 posted on 08/20/2012 5:40:58 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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