Skip to comments.Shock poll: Obama could lose Illinois
Posted on 08/20/2012 5:18:02 AM PDT by Zakeet
President Barack Obama could lose his home state of Illinois in November, a new poll shows.
A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.
Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state. It is also the most populous.
Those numbers do not bode well for the president.
He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or hes gonna have problems downstate, explained McKeon, who said that based on the numbers he had seen, Obama polled only in the forties in downstate Illinois.
Its not like his policies are very popular downstate, McKeon said. Hes viewed as more part of Chicago than he is part of Illinois.
According to the poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters last week, Obamas problems are not in Chicago proper, but in suburban Cook County.
In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney. But the Republican challenger leads 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney leads 43-31 among independent voters, a crucial voting bloc. Romney also holds a 44-38 lead among male voters, and a 53-40 lead among white voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Before you get too encouraged, you Freepers need know that the graveyards and prisons are full of voters who weren't included in this poll!
This is pretty “pie in the sky” news. Ain’t gonna happen. My home state of Illinois, the corruption capital of the US, will vote for Obama. No questions.
Yeah, but this is also registered voters, not likely. Add two more points to Romney.
Agreed. No way Illinois goes Republican this year. A tighter race in solid blue states is a good sign, though. It means blue-leaning swing states are definitely in play.
Chicago: Stealing Elections Since 1960
There's nothing "Democratic" about RATs.
It is also the most populous.
It is also the most corrupt.
The lead in the city would be greater except in the last four years the constituents have killed each other off.
Things haven't changed much since 1960.
Well, they certainly aren’t ALL dumb in Illinois.
and even if he doesn’t get the majority of votes there, he will win Illinois by a landslide.
He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or hes gonna have problems downstate
You got that right. We So. Ill. folks no likey da Lightbringer.
Chicago is AWASH in MURDERS.......this could change some minds.
I don’t understand. What does Kenya have to do with Illinois?
I worked for Nixon-Lodge in ‘59-60 in Chicago’s NW Suburbs, so I know about a stolen election, believe me...
Didn’t Mondale lose his home state of Minnesota in1984, vs. Reagan redux?
This is not so far fetched.
Registered voter polls are worthless. However, if Willard was truly polling at 37% in Cook County, that is 15% higher than McCain’s paltry 22% showing in ‘08. If that is the case statewide, using the ‘08 returns, that adds up to a 50-47% Willard statewide victory. If he carries IL, the race is over. Still, I don’t think it’s likely (even Carter carried Georgia in 1980 handily (56-41%) despite his abysmal national showing).
I predict Obama will get 120% of the Cook county vote!
No, Mondale carried Minnesota. MN hasn’t voted GOP for President since 1972.