Registered voter polls are worthless. However, if Willard was truly polling at 37% in Cook County, that is 15% higher than McCain’s paltry 22% showing in ‘08. If that is the case statewide, using the ‘08 returns, that adds up to a 50-47% Willard statewide victory. If he carries IL, the race is over. Still, I don’t think it’s likely (even Carter carried Georgia in 1980 handily (56-41%) despite his abysmal national showing).
The bigger point is if 0bama is struggling in IL then he will probably lose the other great lakes states.
Second, Obama's statewide election was questionable at best, and had any Republican of any capability at all run for the IL Senate, they may well have beat Zero then and saved us the trouble.
Lenny has his own polling firm?
37% in Cook means Romney wins, period.
Furthermore it means a Dukakis sized beatdown in the EC.
That said I don’t buy this anymore than I buy the crap polls that the media keeps telling me Obama is “expanding” his nonexistent lead in.
Freeper Phil Collins thinks the state will be close. And that the embattled Rep Walsh who barley won last time and has a worse district will win easily. I don’t agree at all but I hope you are right Phil.
If Romney does any better than Bush did in 2004 (44.5%) I’d be shocked. If this state is close to being close it won’t be close nationwide.