Skip to comments.WHY IS THIS ELECTION CLOSE, PART 2
Posted on 09/09/2012 3:03:19 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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I don't believe that's what the vast majority of citizens want.
They are your gut feelings, and mine too, but I’m trying to get you to recognize that they may not be the views of even a majority of Republicans, let alone voters.
admitting to making a mistake is enough punishment...it’s those idiots that still believe in the street hustler....
“The main source of error is almost surely no longer due to random sampling error but rather to the unknown distribution of opinion in the unsampled part of the population that declines to respond”
Sampling error assumes that the population gives truthful answers to questions presented.
Personally, I always give the wrong answers, or alternately my opinion, or the opposite of my opinion in the same series of questions.
Statistically, this means that the error is far greater than the mere statistical variation calculation. The poor slobs that call me up, no longer get a hangup. I deliberately screw up their poll.
I can’t remember exactly, but a poll of 1000 people results in a variation of 3% or so - if everyone answers truthfully.
It is skewed when people refuse to answer....but when they deliberately and randomly give wrong answers.....then all bets are off. Error is incalculable, and conclusions are truly meaningless.
It’s the least I can do when I get an unsolicited call.
Try it....it’s fun!
“Obama won 53% of the vote.,,”
How many who voted for O will not have the previous frenzy missing this time to get them to the polls?
How many voted to prove they weren’t racist, but now see the more important issue, that he is no where near a moderate, a unifier, and even a patriot?
How many who voted for Obama see how the economy and most of all, gas prices are making family budgets impossible?
This election IS the tipping point though. It will determine the future in very dramatic terms.
I like it!
Why is this election close? My response would be, is it really? The MSM would have us believe that Obama will break all historical trends from the past 65 years and be re-elected, even while governing over a multi-year cruddy economy. Americans have never stood for this kind of incompetence before, but suddenly we’re willing and able? I just don’t buy it.
I sound like a broken record, but I’ve been saying since August 1st that what we saw nationwide on Chick-fil-A day is what’s headed Obama’s way in November.
“When they reach the voting booth, however, they will vote Republican”.
We thought that would happen in 2008 too.
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