Posted on 09/14/2012 9:03:59 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
According to the post conventions polls, Barack “the bump” Obama and Mitt Romney are now “tied.” The internals of one of the more comical polls, The CNN/ORC International poll of registered and likely voters released Tuesday claimed Obama was ahead by 52/46.
The survey grossly over polled Democrats and shut Independents out almost totally speaking to just five dozen or so out of about 850 responding. A closer look reveals two very important pieces of information.
Among the few Independent voters the survey did gather data from, Romney holds a significant 54/40 lead. This becomes still more important in light of Obama’s 52/44 edge in 2008 that was the underpinning of the 54% overall support he rode to victory.
As Leftist loony as the CNN/ORC was its 16 point spread lines up perfectly with the 53/38 lead James Carville and Stan Greenberg’s Democracy Corps found two weeks ago. The most important measurement of voter sentiment is the enthusiasm they have for actually showing up at the polls to vote.
The CNN/ORC poll found Republicans who are “very enthusiastic” to vote provide a 6 point (62/56) edge for Romney.
Romney spokesman put this edge into perspective saying, “This Republican enthusiasm advantage has manifested itself in an unprecedented and historic grassroots effort that will have a significant impact on turnout in battleground states on Election Day”
"..best news for Romney was whispered out last Sunday during the middle of the Labor Day weekend when Rasmussen reported Republican voter registration is now at the highest level in recorded history – 37.6% and Democrat voter registration at 33.3% is now less than a point above its historic low.
The importance of this 4.3 point registration gap can not be overstated...... 1.3 point Republican edge going into the 2010
(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...
Is that the actual title?
Or it the title that was translated from the Algerian/Guatemalan Daily Newspaper?
Both campaigns know the truth via their internal polling. One just needs to watch how they behave (where and how much they spend their time and money) and you’ll know the facts on the ground. Romney’s campaign, for example, last weekend put out a press release saying Obama is pulling his ads out of NC, and sure enough, Rasmussen’s poll of NC today reveals that race is over. Now rumors are swirling similarly about WI. Romney fans have to feel good right now about the trends. After WI look for FL, VA and then OH to clinch the deal. My guess is that Obama will make a “last stand” with huge ad buys in OH and FL to try to hold the line in those states.
It’s a blog he can put whatever title he wants on it....
Headline:
Reuters IPSOS poll shows Obama ahead 95-5
Added in 4 point font, 9 paragraphs deep into a 14 paragraph article
“Poll methodology: adults over the physical age of 18 who live in the White House or work in the newsrooms of ABC, NBC and CBS”
Earlier today there was a post about yard signs and bumper stickers not in evidence this year. Romney supporters fear getting their vehicles keyed.
I think the same thing is at work in polling. People just don’t want to admit they are voting for Romney for fear of being thought of as racist even though that has nothing to do with their reasons for voting for Romney.
The additional benefit will be to witness the so-called journalists' faces go from glee to frustration as state after state moves from "called obama" to tossup.
I live in Arizona. In 2008 there were a lot of Obama signs in my neighborhood on certain streets. I mean tons. In 2012, there is not one to be seen. Not a single one. That tells me everything.
Obama is done, and he and everyone around him knows it... This whole thing IMHO is just for show. There are those around him who want him to win, and will keep pushing, but I don’t think for one minute this guy himself honestly believes he’s going to win.
He’s DOA in every southern state with the exception of MAYBE VA... He’s got no chance in IA, WI, OH or IN.
You want to know when its obvious Obama has lost? When you read about any significant ad buys in MI or PA by romney or his surrogates. Once that has happened, you know the race itself is effectively over and now Romney is just going for as many states as he can get.
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