Posted on 09/24/2012 12:29:02 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
I wanted to get the current opinion of Freepers on whether or not they believe Gary Johnson will cost Mitt Romney the election?
I am asking this because I have been seeing more and more polls as well as interest on Facebook and Twitter about Gary getting the Ron Paul voters and Independents to swing his way. A lot of them are from the legalize crowd and the others are from the Alex Jones wing.
Recent polls in Montana show Johnson picking up 2% of the vote, in places like Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada he is picking up around 3 to 5% of the vote in polls.
Romney looks like he is gonna need those 3 to 5% in those exact states to beat Obama and Johnson appears to be ready to make it impossible for him to get it. Since 1% of Dems break away to Johnson and the other 2,3,4% come from Republicans.
Thoughts?
And then Johnson runs clips of Romney vs Kennedy.
Worst. Nominee. Ever.
I want to think that Gary Johnson won’t affect Mitt’s results, just as John Anderson didn’t affect Ronaldus Magnus in 1980 (50.4 RR, 41 Carter, 6.6 Anderson). I know Mitt isn’t RR, but I believe the electorate is just as stirred up as they were back then, if not more.
Diogenes is that you?
He might!
Who?
All Romney has to do is identify Gary’s love of marijuana and compare him against Obama’s anti-marijuana stance and every pothead OWS type will vote for Gary.
YUP
FR Opinion Poll: Is Gary Johnson Going To Cost Romney The Election?
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nope. he will simply increase the margin of Victory for Romney.
Romney will win — but if he doesn’t, it will be purely Romney’s fault. In this economy, a shaved ape could beat an incumbent president.
I was initially concerned, but not really anymore. The other category is very small this election, unusually small. I don’t see it having an impact, as Libertarian people also lean Dem in some ways.
We will see. If his numbers jump in states, that might be time to worry. I don’t see it. There are a lot trying on CNN message boards and such, but typically these folks have a small bubble that then will burst as the election gets closer. I see his percentage being smaller on election day when people actually decide if they want a vote to matter or not.
Johnson is a nuisance, with the overall effect of a gnat that won’t go away. He needs to figure out this isn’t a triathlon where he gets points for finishing. It isn’t a race that is about him. Shoo Gary! Go away. Come back and buzz around another day, when we don’t have more important things to worry about.
OK, Libertarians need to get honest and put the decimal point correctly @ 0.02% where it belongs for GaryWho.
No one outside Nuevo Mehico or the Sourgrapes Paul Camp has ever heard of him.
“This election should be a cakewalk for the Republicans. The fact it is close speaks to a weak candidate and absence of a differentiated message.”
That’s about the long and the short of it. If the Republicans can’t beat a candidate as bad as Obama, then they need to look for another line of work, because they are not cut out for politics.
No
I’d feel better if Gary Johnson would bow out the election for sure. That said, I would imagine Johnson will many of his votes from the youth vote that would have voted Democrat as well. It’s largely an anti-establishment, I like to smoke pot vote. I’d imagine it’s “hip” to like Gary Johnson on college campuses.
“Colorado: Romney 47% Obama 45% September 18th.”
If Gary Johnson pulls in just 3% of the Colorado vote, that almost certainly means that Romney will win CO, assuming the above numbers are accurate.
Consider:
Currently, Romney 47%, Obama 45%, Johnson 3%. That leaves 5% undecided.
Let’s presume that the as-yet-undecideds break 50-50 on election day. That will give Romney 49.5% to Obama’s 47.5%. A plurality (not a majority), but a clear win.
Even if the undecideds were to break 2-to-1 for Obama (not Romney) by election day, it would mean Romney would end up with roughly 48.7%, and Obama with 48.3%. Close, but Romney wins by plurality. (then again, there’s always ‘rat cheating at the ballot boxes!)
Considering the failure of this incumbent this race we should not be talking about Gary Johnson. The race should not even be close nationally. It is. The only ads and spin I see coming from the Obama campaign are personal negative attacks vs the challenger basically because Obama has no record to run on and absolutely no ideas. Romney needs to bring a gun to this knife fight.Can the soaring rhetoric for now and go negative on Obama and the Obama economy all the time to get Obama’s numbers back down.I want to see ads with plenty of foreclosure signs, soup kitchen lines, out of business signs ending with a photo of Obama on the golf course until this economy and his failure is emblazoned on the minds of the short term memory voters currently distracted by shiny objects the Obama campaign is flashing at them
Probably not but the only thing this idiot will achieve is to damage Romney. The margin of victory will be pretty thin.
Seems likely to me that Democrats who poll as undecided at this point will either skip the election or throw away their votes on any available third-party candidate as a protest. They will offset, and possibly outnumber the conservative ultras.
A dyed-in-the-wool Democrat friend announced the other day that she cannot vote for Obama again, and will vote for Virgil Goode (mega-conservative by today’s standards), or just stay home. She knows Obama is an empty-suit and disaster, but can’t bring herself to vote Republican, or to take responsibility for Romney’s presidency. We need more of this attitude.
No
Next Question?
Mitt’s more concerned with taking out conservative options than with actually winning.
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