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Battleground Ohio Poll. Obama with a Razor Thin Lead (Obama 45.2% Romney 44.3%)
Gravis Polling ^ | 09/24/2012 | Staff

Posted on 09/25/2012 12:58:11 PM PDT by nhwingut

Gravis Marketing has conducted a poll of likely voters in the State of Ohio. The questions covered the presidential and senate elections. We show President Barack Obama at 45.2% and Governor Mitt Romney at 44.3%. The Senate race shows Senator Brown with a 3.9% lead over Josh Mandel.

Multiple Ohio polls have been released in the last week, all showing President Obama with a lead. The lead ranges anywhere from 7% with Fox News, while Rasmussen and ARG have Obama with a 1% point lead, similar to the poll that we conducted.

One thing that stood out in this poll: Obama has a 12% lead in personal likability over Romney. The upcoming debates could be a deciding factor in the race.

Gravis Marketing Polls are conducted through automated phone calls, the poll is of likely voters in the state of Ohio. Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan company, located in Winter Springs, Florida.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; 2012tossups; oh2012; ohio; polls
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1 posted on 09/25/2012 12:58:20 PM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut; LS; Ravi; TonyInOhio; MNJohnnie

Poll breakdown

D - 41.4 %
R - 31.1 %
I - 27.5 %


2 posted on 09/25/2012 1:02:50 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: nhwingut

I’m liking this! Obama only polling 45% 40 days out spells epic disaster!!


3 posted on 09/25/2012 1:02:50 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: nhwingut

Ten percent more Democrats (41%) than Republicans. LoL


4 posted on 09/25/2012 1:04:46 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: tatown

Did you see that the poll was over sample of Ds of 10.3% and 43% of the responders were 50 and over?


5 posted on 09/25/2012 1:04:55 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: nhwingut

And they oversampled Commies by 10 points..Romney is winning Ohio, maybe Dick Morris isn’t much of a goofball after all..these polls are all going on the 2008 model, its NOT going to be like that this time around


6 posted on 09/25/2012 1:05:16 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Romney must be raking in the indies in OH.


7 posted on 09/25/2012 1:08:00 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: nhwingut
That isn't a lead. If you drill down to the details, it was 594 likely voters. And the margin of error is 4.3%.

That means the results of this poll are statistically insignificant.

8 posted on 09/25/2012 1:08:18 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Except even 2008 wasn’t D+10, it was D+8.


9 posted on 09/25/2012 1:08:21 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Perdogg

2008 had D+8 and > 45 years old = 56%.


10 posted on 09/25/2012 1:09:56 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Perdogg

What is the state break down in comparison?


11 posted on 09/25/2012 1:09:59 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Obama: "Born in Kenya" Lying now or then.)
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To: tatown

My thoughts exactly, tatown.


12 posted on 09/25/2012 1:10:42 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: nhwingut
Oh, I forgot: the Other/Unsure is 10.4%.

Does someone want to explain to me how this means Obama is in the lead, razor-thin or otherwise?

13 posted on 09/25/2012 1:10:56 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: tatown

I have heard +5 Dem


14 posted on 09/25/2012 1:11:23 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: nhwingut

Well...
This certainly doesn’t fit the Mainstream Media/MediaMatters-approved narrative, now does it!


15 posted on 09/25/2012 1:11:23 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Perdogg

Independent voters already made up their mind, if they were going to vote for Obama they would have done it already. The ones who are on the fence are the ones that just need to learn a little more about Romney(At the debates) before they officially become Romney supporters. Undecided voters will also go for Romney because they have already seen the disaster which is the Obama Presidency


16 posted on 09/25/2012 1:12:16 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: hoosiermama

Polling experts claim a +5 Democrat advantage in Ohio. No way you can justify a +10 sample in Ohio. Basically this means Obama is behind in Ohio


17 posted on 09/25/2012 1:12:42 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Perdogg

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#OHP00p1


18 posted on 09/25/2012 1:12:51 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: nhwingut

Ohhh what happened to that huge Obama lead in Ohio?


19 posted on 09/25/2012 1:14:32 PM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: justlurking
Not only that, but the reporting is downright silly.

They have a 95% confidence interval on +/-4.3 percent and they report 3 SIGNIFICANT DIGITS? Seriously? Did no one ever teach these clowns about significant digits. Wow.

20 posted on 09/25/2012 1:16:33 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Haven't seen colors like that since right after my cataract operation.)
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