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El Presidente Chávez may not even squeak by this time.
Dan Miller's Blog ^ | September 29, 2012 | Dan Miller

Posted on 09/29/2012 2:36:03 PM PDT by DanMiller

A post today by Daniel at Venezuela News and Views suggests that el Presidente Chávez may not win the electoral vote on October 7th. That does not mean that he won't cling to power, but it is encouraging. Please read the article. It's good. Here are a few excerpts.

Daniel wrote about Chávez' speech in Monagas.

[I]t was the state where he was the most voted in 2006, I think, but after the major PDVSA oil spill over in Maturin's drinking water and the clumsy attempt at the regime to hide the ecological crime and force people to drink it anyway, he all but lost the state. That is, it might still be chavista enough for him to squeak a 1% victory but with the governor running against him now, and a lot of the local pols that know better, Chavez chances are dim.

Next, Daniel's translation of part of the speech followed by his comment:

"On October 7 is not a small thing at stake. There might be people who might be unhappy about our failures of our government, that we did not fix the street, that there are power outages, that the water is gone, that I got no job, that you have not given me my house. That may be true in many cases and I assume the self criticism of the government [...] whether the road was paved is not at stake, if I have have been given a home, or if I'm angry at and fighting with regional leaders. No, what is at stake is much more than that comrade: We're risking the life of the country. "

In not very different words, "I've screwed up a Hell of a lot but I just need more time so I'll have a chance to do better."

That is, not only Chavez recognizes that his government has not been very good, but he asks people to vote for him for the sake of it. A little bit as if Carter had asked the US to vote for him because next rescue operation in Iran would turn out differently. Chavez knows he is lost.

Perhaps the Venezuelan voters will also realize that Chávez is terrible, has lost and will vote against him.


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: chavez; election; venezuela
The parallels between the November election in the United States and the October election in Venezuela are too obvious to mention.
1 posted on 09/29/2012 2:36:13 PM PDT by DanMiller
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To: DanMiller

Chavez will remain in power. I’m sure of it. He’ll rig the vote. Any political dissent is crushed, and I’ve seen the photographs of his socialist thugs doing the crushing.


2 posted on 09/29/2012 2:42:04 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: DanMiller
El Presidente Chávez may not even squeak by this time.

Did "who counts the votes" magically change?

3 posted on 09/29/2012 3:13:06 PM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: DanMiller

He will lose by between 400,000 to 1 million votes


4 posted on 09/29/2012 3:16:06 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Viennacon
He’ll rig the vote.

He's been stealing them for awhile. Chavez tried to help an Honduran thug steal an illegal initiative . After the attempt was stopped by the legislature they examined the voting machines. Sure enough, the fix was already in. Obama, of course, was on the side of the thug.I suspect the same trick was already used by Reid to steal his Nevada election.

5 posted on 09/29/2012 3:19:29 PM PDT by Nateman (If liberals are not screaming you are doing it wrong!)
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To: Viennacon
Chavez may try to remain in power and things seem likely get rather bloody. A contact in Venezuela suggests that he will have the support of about half of the military should he try to do so. The Venezuelan military, as I saw it during a few years there back in the early 2000's, was as competent as the Russian military was during the years leading up to WWI: as incompetent, corrupt and dysfunctional as one can imagine. I think things have deteriorated since then.
6 posted on 09/29/2012 3:35:17 PM PDT by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: Nateman

Chavez has a real challenger this time around. Henrique Capriles Radonski, young bright and non-stop action is for real and he has made Chavez look old and sick in mind, ideas and sprit. Capriles’s got a shot! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qIGsYz1EWw&feature=player_embedded


7 posted on 09/29/2012 3:35:36 PM PDT by WellyP (question!)
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To: DanMiller

Not to mention he can shuttle in extra military forced from his satellite states. This man is a filthy tyrant. Here is what his state controlled media said about the challenger, Capriles.

“This is our enemy, the Zionism that Capriles today represents ... Zionism, along with capitalism, are responsible for 90% of world poverty and imperialist wars.”

Hmmm. I can see parallels between the Venezuelan media and our own.


8 posted on 09/29/2012 3:42:59 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon
Capriles wears a cap that the crowds love. That hat enrages Chavez, totally makes him froth at the mouth.
9 posted on 09/29/2012 3:49:01 PM PDT by WellyP (question!)
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To: DanMiller
Chávez may not even squeak by this time.

Kinda hard to squeak after you've croaked.

10 posted on 09/29/2012 3:51:56 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Viennacon
he can shuttle in extra military forced from his satellite states.

Perhaps he can, although most of South and Central America have become less devoted to Chavez than they were a few years ago when he was throwing money at them. He now has far less to toss their way.

Perhaps Cuba or Nicaragua might chip in. Whether Cuba is a satellite of Venezuela or the other way around is questionable, but should el Presidente cease to be el Presidente, Cuba would be among the biggest losers in the region.

11 posted on 09/29/2012 3:52:06 PM PDT by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: DanMiller

If Chavez dies a political death or a real one the Castros will die a real one as the Cuban people revolt. Cuba Libre!


12 posted on 09/29/2012 4:00:13 PM PDT by WellyP (question!)
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To: DanMiller

Any hope that he dies, in the most horrific way imaginable??


13 posted on 09/29/2012 4:34:43 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (I will fear no muslim))
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To: Hardraade
If Chavez looses it may kill him quicker than the cancer that's being masked with heavy doses of drugs. Chavez looses and the S. American blood suckers, Argentina, Cuba, Bolivia, Nicaragua and Equador will fall as “Daddy Warbucks” will no longer be giving them billions of Dollars.
14 posted on 09/29/2012 4:42:06 PM PDT by WellyP (question!)
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To: DanMiller
He could just have all the ballots printed out like Saddam.

Your choice for President is:

[] Hugo Chavez

[] Please torture and kill my family

15 posted on 09/29/2012 4:59:25 PM PDT by Repeat Offender (Official Romney/GOP-E Platform - We suck less)
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To: WellyP
It has become known that Venezuela “sold” about 1% of its gold reserves 180-189 Million USD but know one will admit to who bought it. Not a lot of money by international standards but enough to keep Chavez living nicely in retirement.

Start watching the political Cubans in Venezuela. If they start making a move Chavez is in trouble.

16 posted on 09/29/2012 4:59:34 PM PDT by WellyP (question!)
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To: Hardraade
Any hope that he dies, in the most horrific way imaginable??

Dying of cancer can be very unpleasant; looking at his photos as well as various reports in recent months, that may well be how he will die. As a cancer survivor myself, I would wish that on very few. Chavez is not one of that very few. Also, his death in that fashion would probably cause less "civil unrest" in Venezuela than would any other departure and many more lives than his would be spared.

17 posted on 09/29/2012 5:06:56 PM PDT by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: DanMiller
I wonder what the chances are of El Commandante Pocito engaging in massive vote fraud if necessary.Given his reputation for morality,true democracy and fair play I'd say they're just about.....
18 posted on 09/29/2012 6:02:31 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive!)
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To: DanMiller
Dying of cancer can be very unpleasant; looking at his photos as well as various reports in recent months, that may well be how he will die.

Looking at recent photos of El Commandante Pocito it's easy to see why Michael Moore doesn't actually *go* to Cuba for health care.

19 posted on 09/29/2012 6:05:16 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive!)
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To: Gay State Conservative

The chances that el Commandante will engage in voter fraud do not exceed one hundred percent; nor do they fall below that.


20 posted on 09/29/2012 6:08:06 PM PDT by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: DanMiller

He hasn’t won the last few times. But he got to count the votes, and he had Jimmy Carter to assure everyone that it was fair.


21 posted on 09/29/2012 7:39:03 PM PDT by Defiant (If there are infinite parallel universes, why Lord, am I living in the one with Obama as President?)
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