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Could Barack Hussein Obama Lose His Home State Of Illinois?
True Conservatives On Twitter ^ | October 7, 2012

Posted on 10/07/2012 7:21:08 AM PDT by raptor22

Campaign 2012: When an incumbent Democratic president is virtually tied in a congressional district he carried by high double digits in 2008, and is losing in the suburbs of his hometown, there could be trouble brewing.

In August, a poll by the Joliet, Ill.-based polling firm of McKeon and Associates, found President Obama leading challenger Mitt Romney in Cook County, which includes Chicago and its suburbs, by a 12-point margin 49-37.

That would seem to be a comfortable edge, but it is significantly smaller than traditional margins needed to outweigh the more Republican downstate vote.

"He has to come out of Cook County with a big lead or he's gonna have problems downstate," explained McKeon, who said that based on the numbers he's seen, Obama polled only in the 40s in downstate Illinois.

If his poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus/minus 3.4%, is accurate, Obama would be in some trouble.

In the city of Chicago itself, McKeon found Obama with a 60-29 lead over Romney. But Romney led 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney led 43-31 among independent voters and held a 44-38 lead among male voters.

McKeon noted that in the 2010 gubernatorial race Republican Bill Brady came within a single percentage point of now-Gov. Pat Quinn because Brady won most of the downstate counties that have traditionally resisted and resented being dominated by upstate Chicago politicians.

(Excerpt) Read more at tcotblog.ning.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: chicago; ibd; illinois; obama

1 posted on 10/07/2012 7:21:13 AM PDT by raptor22
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To: raptor22

That’s something I’d love to see.Talk about rubbing salt into an open wound.Ouch.

Talk about the humiliation that would cause.His little ego couldn’t stand if.


2 posted on 10/07/2012 7:25:29 AM PDT by puppypusher (The World is going to the dogs.)
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To: raptor22

That’s something I’d love to see.Talk about rubbing salt into an open wound.Ouch.

Talk about the humiliation that would cause.His little ego couldn’t stand it.


3 posted on 10/07/2012 7:26:42 AM PDT by puppypusher (The World is going to the dogs.)
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To: raptor22
See IBD post

With the long tradition of dead voters, Barry's former Chief of Staff now the Mayor of Chicago, the Democrat lock on the Metro East area near St. Louis, the gerrymandering of districts by the corrupt Ill-Annoy Speaker of the House, and the well-documented and largely ignored meddling of polling-place security studied by Argonne National Labs, and the politically imbedded teachers' union pounding the pavement, Barry will NOT lose Ill-Annoy....by hook or by crook and we have plenty of crooks.

4 posted on 10/07/2012 7:30:37 AM PDT by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.......)
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To: raptor22
No way he'll lose it.He'll probably win by a narrower margin.Perhaps even *much* narrower.But there are far too many dead folks with ObamaPhones in Chicago for Romney to take the state.
5 posted on 10/07/2012 7:30:51 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: raptor22

If the election continues to trend as it has for the past week for Romney, I wonder how the lame duck obama will handle those two months. Bush was magnaminous in giving the dems what they wanted on his watch with a virtual co presidency during the lame duck, even leaving 350Billion on the table for o to distribute as his largess to his supporters.

My prediction, the glueing of the Ws on the keyboard when the Clinton mess left will be a mere prank compared to what this dictator will do, assuming he choses to leave without a fight. The real election fight may begin on Nov 8th.


6 posted on 10/07/2012 7:32:52 AM PDT by Mouton (Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)
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To: raptor22

It happened to Gore in 2000, why not zero. BTW, I thought his home state is Kenya.


7 posted on 10/07/2012 7:48:20 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: raptor22

O will almost certainly take Illinois, but since some of Wisconsin, which is definitely in play and leaning toward O, as well as Indiana, which RCP only shows as leaning to Romney, are in the Chicago media market. I think an ad-buy by Romney on Chicago TV stations would be in order (it might also have the virtue of a head-fake to the Obama folks in light of these polls).


8 posted on 10/07/2012 7:54:51 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: The_Reader_David

Cook and the collar counties are a lock for Obama. Throw in the downstate counties where the vast majority of voters are farmers who would vote for the donkey if the Democrats put him on the ballot and I just don’t seen any Democrat losing IL anytime soon. Happens in our statewide races so we’re used to it. We’d do something about it but Wisconsin isn’t interested in taking Chicago and we’re told all the time how important Chicago is to the economy of IL.

Sure it is, it’s where all our tax dollars go to be wasted by Democrat politicians or on the useless Chicago schools.


9 posted on 10/07/2012 8:01:44 AM PDT by RonInNaples
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To: raptor22

Didn’t Gore lost his home state of Tennessee in 2000?


10 posted on 10/07/2012 8:08:32 AM PDT by mass55th (Courage is being scared to death - but saddling up anyway...John Wayne)
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To: RonInNaples

“Cook and the collar counties are a lock for Obama”

No way, Jose, are the collar counties a lock for Obama, and I believe much more than you think in Cook County will go for Romney. The City of Chicago will vote overwhelmingly for Obama, but the surrounds, not so much, and most of the collar counties, not at all. I live in a collar county, DuPage, and it will vote overwhelmingly for Romney. So will Lake County, most of Will County, almost all of the collar counties will be pro Romney. Mark my woids, you heard it hear foist (a little Chicago lingo).


11 posted on 10/07/2012 8:35:23 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: flaglady47
I agree with you 47.

I'm in Lake County and worked in the Walsh campaign in 2010.
We have active and enthusiastic Tea Party groups up here and we are networking in the rural/ semi-rural towns. There is a huge consensus to vote out BO.

If the turnout is low in Chicago, I think we actually have a chance to take Illinois.

12 posted on 10/07/2012 8:59:59 AM PDT by libertymaker
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To: RonInNaples

This is how Illinois voted in the 2010 election. Most of downstate is red. We just can’t out vote Cook County. If Obama doesn’t have a strong showing in Chicago, Illinois can go red.

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/11/illinois_not_as_blue_as_you_th.html


13 posted on 10/07/2012 9:06:18 AM PDT by vickixxxx
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To: flaglady47

Point noted but 50+ years of living in IL tell me that it will take a miracle for IL to go for anyone other than Obama.

As for downstate being red. Sure it is for the most part. But then there are counties like Macoupin where I grew up that might as well be Cook County. All, and I mean ALL, of the farmers vote Democrat. The businesses they frequent and support vote the same way or lose the business of the farmers.

My parents had a friend who ran for county office. She was a registered Republican, worked for a Republican legislator from another district, and in order to even have a chance in her own county ran for office as a Democrat - with the adivce and blessing of her boss.


14 posted on 10/07/2012 9:15:46 AM PDT by RonInNaples
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To: raptor22

Everyone thought it was a miracle when the Daley machine was voted out of the Chicago mayor’s office in 1979. And Harold Washington also slew the Daley dragon in 1983.

The people of Chicago’s patience with the Daley machine and its poor, corrupt leadership is not infinite. And no one embodies the Daley machine more obviously today than Barack Obama with his poverty-producing policies and corrupt Solyndra-type deals.

It will not be a miracle if Obama loses Chicago next month, it will be history repeating itself.


15 posted on 10/07/2012 9:22:44 AM PDT by Bluestocking
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To: libertymaker
I agree with YOU. The dem. turnout in this election will be based more on compulsion than enthusiasm. The three metro areas important to democrats (Chicago, Quad Cities, St Louis) will have to be heavily driven to get the numbers they need to keep the Illinois electoral votes. That drains manpower from the rest of the polity which is conservative enough to put Texas to shame. (Our State Rifle Association is the bomb) Voter motivation is the key to winning Illinois. We are self starters. Democrats rely on other people to tell them what to do, and to drive them there to do it. I do not know what the Emanuel ascension did to the Chicago organization, in this purpose, but it can only benefit us, since they haven't had time to completely mark the cards.
Someday I see the Great City of Chicago recognizing and celebrating Freedom and individual Liberty. You may call me a dreamer, but I'm not the only one...
16 posted on 10/07/2012 9:47:32 AM PDT by Seven plus One
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To: raptor22
If his poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus/minus 3.4%, is accurate, Obama would be in some trouble.

Did he polled any DEAD COOK COUNTY VOTERS??

17 posted on 10/07/2012 10:04:04 AM PDT by ExCTCitizen (Yes, Obama, I had help with my business. MY CUSTOMERS!)
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To: RonInNaples

Point noted but 50+ years of living in IL tell me that it will take a miracle for IL to go for anyone other than Obama.

Well, in spite of the odds, this election year I prefer to believe in miracles. What the heck, impossible as it may seem, we might wake up the next day in shock and awe. The glass half full.... A girl can dream.


18 posted on 10/07/2012 10:05:03 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: RonInNaples

Point noted but 50+ years of living in IL tell me that it will take a miracle for IL to go for anyone other than Obama.

Well, in spite of the odds, this election year I prefer to believe in miracles. What the heck, impossible as it may seem, we might wake up the next day in shock and awe. The glass half full.... A girl can dream.


19 posted on 10/07/2012 10:06:23 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: libertymaker

They just had a Tea Party meeting at a VFW Hall in Tinley Park, which is in Cook County, and very near Will County.


20 posted on 10/07/2012 10:11:11 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: libertymaker

They just had a Tea Party meeting at a VFW Hall in Tinley Park, which is in Cook County, and very near Will County.


21 posted on 10/07/2012 10:12:00 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: flaglady47
No offense Ma'am, but we are the miracle here. You and I. All of us. We are not powerless. Hard work produces miracles. That's the American Way. Produce the votes, and we'll win.
Talk to people, don't be afraid. When we get out there and let them know who we are, they'll recognize that they are not as alone and as insignificant as they (we) thought they were. Courage comes from that. The courage to vote. The courage to make the system work the way it should before it collapses under the weight of the corruption it's had to carry for the last hunnert years.
22 posted on 10/07/2012 11:22:15 AM PDT by Seven plus One
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To: flaglady47

Well, I’m going to dream with you. Certainly would be a slap in the face if he can no longer bamboozle the people of his ‘home’ state.

But, I’m not so sure that will ever happen in Chicago. Not when they can vote post-mortem, vote early/vote often, and vote without even going to the pols (someone votes for them).


23 posted on 10/07/2012 12:58:12 PM PDT by RonInNaples
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To: RonInNaples; flaglady47; Seven plus One

I live near Mundelein, and I know that Illinois is a swing state, because of the 2010 election results. In that year, Illinois elected a new republican U.S. senator, treasurer, and comptroller, to replace retiring Democrats. The IL GOP gained four seats, in the U.S. House. Republicans gained seats in the state senate and state house. It will be very close, but Romney might win IL.


24 posted on 10/10/2012 7:36:30 PM PDT by PhilCollins
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