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Gravis Ohio Poll: R 46%, 0 45% (LV)
Gravis ^

Posted on 10/13/2012 1:46:25 PM PDT by Arthurio

Summary Results

Party
Percent of total
Democrat
36.4%
Other
33.1%
Republican
30.5%
Race
White
80.1%
African American
13.3%
Other
6.6%
Religious affiliation
Protestant/Other Christian
52.1%
Catholic
22.6%
Not affiliated
18.0%
Muslim
4.5%
Jewish
2.8%
Age group
18-29
13.1%
30-49
39.6%
50-64
30.4%
65+
16.9%
Gender
Men
48.6%
Female
51.4%
President
Romney
45.9%
Obama
45.1%
Other
9.0%
Approve of Obama's job performance?
Disapprove
48.8%
Approve
41.4%
Other
9.8%
U.S. headed in right direction?
Wrong
48.9%
Right
38.9%
Other
12.2%



Gov. Kasich's job performance?
Positive
41.7%
Negative
31.5%
Other
26.7%


Survey Questions


1.  Are you registered to vote?  (Yes, No)
2.  How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections? (Very likely, somewhat likely, Not likely)
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of? (Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian, Other)
5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic, Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
6. How old are you? (18-29, 30-39, 41-49, Over 50)
7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)
8.  If the election were held today for President, whom would you vote for?
9. Do you approve of Barack Obama’s general performance as president? (Approve, Disapprove, Unsure)
10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, who would you trust more to manage?
11. Do you think the United States is headed in the right direction? 
12. How would you rate Governor Kasich’s job performance? (positive, negative, unsure)
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing various demographic categories for anticipated voting proportions for the 2012 General Election. 
The poll was conducted by automated telephone of registered voters in the state of Ohio.  


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; oh2012

1 posted on 10/13/2012 1:46:28 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Wow! And even with this.

Democrat 36.4%
Other 33.1%
Republican 30.5


2 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:00 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


3 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:21 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Arthurio

Wow....huge!! +6 DEM Starting to feel it !!!


4 posted on 10/13/2012 1:48:36 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

Here is my prediction: If Romney wins Ohio, he wins the election. If Romney loses Ohio, he loses the election. I would not say that about any other state.


5 posted on 10/13/2012 1:52:46 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (Romney-Ryan 2012)
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To: Arthurio

No mormons in this survey...

I wonder how many will break rank and vote for Obama...

In 2007 Willard told us that several top mormon leaders were Liberal Democrats...

Do they have to vote for Willard or will they vote for the Democrat as usual ???


6 posted on 10/13/2012 1:53:30 PM PDT by Tennessee Nana
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To: Arthurio

Ohio was 39D and 32R in 2008.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 1:56:51 PM PDT by NoobRep
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To: Arthurio

Dude, this is an old poll.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 1:57:02 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

How so? The date of its release is October 11 on the Gravis website. Is two days ago now an “old” poll?


9 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:53 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Arthurio

Who are the 9% “other” and how will they break on Nov 6?


10 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:59 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio

Who are the 9% “other” and how will they break on Nov 6?


11 posted on 10/13/2012 2:00:59 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: WashingtonSource

In terms of polls, yes.


12 posted on 10/13/2012 2:05:25 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: thepatriot1

Outstanding.

Gravis polls have tended to favor the GOP a bit, but the sample of +6 RAT is very encouraging. I take that as an absolute worse case for Ohio this year.

Hopefully, we’ll have a couple of other pollsters confirm the Romney lead in Ohio very shortly.


13 posted on 10/13/2012 2:06:02 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Perdogg; All

praying Romney can continue to close the deal on Tuesday!!


14 posted on 10/13/2012 2:08:13 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Parley Baer

Yeah, this is still a significant oversample of Dems, at least by 3. Romney closing in on 50.


15 posted on 10/13/2012 2:10:01 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Charles Henrickson
If Romney wins Ohio, he wins the election. If Romney loses Ohio, he loses the election.

I think your right, if he doesn't win Ohio he is not likely to pull off the 3 battleground state combo shot needed to get to 270, but if he does get Ohio he might run the table on IA, WI, MI and maybe even PA.

16 posted on 10/13/2012 2:11:03 PM PDT by AU72
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To: comebacknewt

The one bad looking poll is the NBC Marist poll where Obama is up 6% in Ohio....it oversampled Dems +11. How in the world can they justify that. If they used a proper sample it would be +3 Romney.

Will be interesting to see if Obama overcompensates on Tuesday. The GOP better have their strategy thought out and be ready for anything. I don’t think they were ready for Biden to act like such an ass on Thurs. Ryan should have called him out but he held his toungue for some reason. He should have said “Mr Vice President, is the situation in Iran funny???”


17 posted on 10/13/2012 2:13:34 PM PDT by thepatriot1 (...brought to you courtesy of the Red, White and Blue)
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To: Arthurio

I’d love to see the answers to #10, a well-phrased question IMO.


18 posted on 10/13/2012 2:14:44 PM PDT by fluffy
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To: NoobRep

And swung back huge in 2010, and absentees confirming more the 2010 turnout model than 08.


19 posted on 10/13/2012 2:15:13 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: thepatriot1
He should have said “Mr Vice President, is the situation in Iran funny???”

I wish Ryan would have paused, glanced over with puzzled amusement and asked "Joe, are you feeling okay?"

20 posted on 10/13/2012 2:16:34 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: thepatriot1

I would have loved for Ryan to have turned directly to the camera and said “See, this is exactly why nothing ever gets done in Washington”.

That would have been game, set, match for R/R.


21 posted on 10/13/2012 2:17:09 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Arthurio

I do not have any Catholic friends in North Eastern Ohio voting for Barack. These are people who are registered Democrats, they are even posting Pro-Romney stuff on Facebook. This is BIG.


22 posted on 10/13/2012 2:18:50 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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To: Arthurio

I do not have any Catholic friends in North Eastern Ohio voting for Barack. These are people who are registered Democrats, they are even posting Pro-Romney stuff on Facebook. This is BIG.


23 posted on 10/13/2012 2:18:50 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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To: Arthurio

I do not have any Catholic friends in North Eastern Ohio voting for Barack. These are people who are registered Democrats, they are even posting Pro-Romney stuff on Facebook. This is BIG.


24 posted on 10/13/2012 2:18:58 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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To: fluffy

Historically, the undecideds break heavily for the challenger.

The amount of people who proactively tell a pollster that they will vote for the incumbent is usually within a couple of points of the total that he or she actually receive.

In this case, more terrible news for the Kenyan.


25 posted on 10/13/2012 2:19:21 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Parley Baer

Are they kidding?


26 posted on 10/13/2012 2:20:22 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GeaugaRepublican

My IPad stuttered, sorry.


27 posted on 10/13/2012 2:20:35 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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To: comebacknewt

Sorry, I meant the 10th question in the survey not the 10th post.


28 posted on 10/13/2012 2:21:26 PM PDT by fluffy
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To: Arthurio

Coming from one of the reddest of red states, I can’t help but be disappointed and dumbfounded by my fellow countrymen from Ohio. Not the good conservative voters of Ohio but all the confused “swing” voters who are so desperately misinformed about the endless monumental failures, deficiencies and corruption of the Obomba presidency. Please wake up Ohio, our great country is at stake!


29 posted on 10/13/2012 3:08:40 PM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: GeaugaRepublican

I hope that is throughout the state of Ohio.


30 posted on 10/13/2012 5:44:05 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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