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ADP Revises Methodology and Finds 365,000 FEWER Jobs Were Created Than Thought in 2012
Confounded Interest ^ | 10/31/2012 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 10/31/2012 1:24:52 PM PDT by whitedog57

There were two purchasing manager reports today: Chicago and Milwaukee.

The Chicago Purchasing Manager index was less than expected at 49.9 for October, although up a wee bit from September’s reading of 49.7.

Here are the gory details to go along with the 49.9 reading. Employment at a 33 month low and inventories slipped into contraction.

The downward trend in the Chicago PMI index is matched by the downward trend in the Chicago employment index.

The Milwaukee PMI index fell in October to 43.30 and continues to be below 50 since the end of July 2012.

Both the Chicago and Milwaukee purchasing indices are quite similar. Together, they smooth out the volatility and point to a lackluster manufacturing recovery.

Hopefully, the jobs report on Friday will generate some positive news on the employment front. But if the change in non farm payrolls (NFP) follows decline in the Chicago PMI employment index, it is likely to be a disappointing jobs report tomorrow.

ADP announced it has teamed with Moodys Analytics and have revised their measure of private jobs created. Unfortunately, the revision for 2012 reveals that 365,000 fewer private jobs were created than previously thought! See here and compare with the old index at the Fed of St Louis web page. So it will be interesting to see if the Bureau of Labor Statistics catches the overestimation of jobs.

Not mention the loss of 17,400 manufacturing jobs. That is where the Chicago PMI report was pointing.

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TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: employment; jobs; obama; unemployment
Unbelievable! Hope and change, baby!
1 posted on 10/31/2012 1:24:57 PM PDT by whitedog57
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To: whitedog57

Rhut Ro... put obammer is the slammer!


2 posted on 10/31/2012 1:26:45 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: whitedog57

These revisions are amazingly HUGE


3 posted on 10/31/2012 1:29:56 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: whitedog57
Right before your eyes, they are starting to "uncook" the books.

These government economists are truly unbelievable.

4 posted on 10/31/2012 1:33:59 PM PDT by oldbrowser (An empty chair attracts a stadium full of empty chairs.)
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To: whitedog57

In other words: Obamao’s policies did not create any jobs - ADP just pulled them out of their [expletive deleted] ....posteriors.

By all indications, we should end up with a negative print for the BLS this week. Hold onto your hats folks, the libtards are finally going to learn that all is not quite so rosy here in the real world.


5 posted on 10/31/2012 1:51:40 PM PDT by RobertClark (Inside every "older" person is a younger person wondering what the hell happened?)
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To: whitedog57

Coming to you in a Romney ad soon.


6 posted on 10/31/2012 2:15:01 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Hope and Change has become Attack and Obfuscate.)
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To: whitedog57
do I really have to say it???

7 posted on 10/31/2012 3:14:40 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: whitedog57
Did those 365,000 still know they were unemployed?

I don't think any of the unemployed were fooled into believing they had a job........must've been everyone else 0 Inc. thought they were fooling.

8 posted on 10/31/2012 6:26:00 PM PDT by Repeat Offender (Why do cops have more lenient ROEs when facing us than troops in combat facing suicidal islamists?)
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To: whitedog57

Somebody owes Jack Welch an apology.


9 posted on 10/31/2012 6:28:22 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: whitedog57

So are they going to tell us Friday what the real unemployment rate is? 14%?


10 posted on 10/31/2012 9:06:09 PM PDT by tinamina
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