Well, I predict some 5-4 votes on these cases.
Breyer, Ginsburg, Kagan, and Sotomayor will vote for homosexual marriage, no question on them.
Alito, Scalia, and Thomas will vote that there is no constitutional right to homosexual marriage.
Justices Kennedy and John Roberts will be the deciding votes, which ever way it goes.
It really disturbs me that these cases are discussed in terms of policy, i.e. activists in favor of gay marriage want the judges to vote for same, rather than on any legal grounds. The homosexual activists want them to vote for same sex marriage as a policy matter. They want the Court to ignore all manner of legal proceedings, laws passed by numerous states on the subject of marriage, etc. They want the Court to rule that states have no right to make marriage and family law, because of the need to impose homosexual marriage as an explicit policy of this country.
I mention family law too, because if homosexual marriage is imposed by these rulings, then follow up lawsuits on subjects such as homosexual adoption will follow. Again, states will be in a position in which they will be told they are not allowed to make family law or policy, because such laws or policies may conflict with what homosexual activists want.
Kagan and Sotomayer are both carpet-munchers.
It’s a given how they will vote.
Kennedy and Roberts? They will go the liberal route.
“Justices Kennedy and John Roberts will be the deciding votes, which ever way it goes.”
And that is the problem.
The gay marriage proponents only need one of the “swing votes” while the Pro Family side will need both swing votes.
I’m thinking there is a 75% chance that Kennedy will vote with the liberals and a 60% chance Roberts votes with the liberals.
the SCOTUS math is rather depressing.