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Déjà vu in Massachusetts?

Posted on 04/24/2013 6:03:27 AM PDT by cotton1706

Just three years after Scott Brown’s stunning upset in the 2010 Massachusetts special Senate election, the race to fill Secretary of State John Kerry’s old Senate seat is closer than expected. The GOP has managed to field three decent candidates, and Democrats appear prepared to give them an opening by nominating the very liberal Ed Markey, who is serving in his fifth decade in Congress.

While Markey is a fundraising powerhouse, he is viewed favorably by only 39 percent of likely voters. That’s a troublingly low favorability rating for Markey, considering how long he’s been on the scene and how many voters have an opinion of him.

The Republican candidates trail Markey by double digits in the polls, with the closest candidate, Gabriel Gomez, trailing by 15 points. However, the winner of the April 30 Republican primary will have the ability to write his own narrative over the next two months and win over undecided voters.

Ads by GoogleOf the three Republican candidates, Gomez — a former Navy Seal and businessman — appears to be in the strongest position to defeat Markey. Though Gomez’s poll position is only marginally better than that of the next closest Republican, Michael Sullivan, he has already accumulated over $1 million in fundraising (over half of which he loaned to himself). If the race is close, expect outside money to come pouring in as well. Gomez is also establishing a strong social media presence; he has far more Facebook likes than either of his GOP opponents.

Gomez intends to play his outsider background to the fullest with his “reboot Congress” initiative. He’s proposing term limits, a congressional pay freeze and a balanced budget amendment. Under Gomez’s term limit plan, Markey would have been forced out of office in 1982. The outsider-insider narrative should provide Gomez with plenty of favorable campaign turf.

The other two Republicans, Michael Sullivan and Daniel Winslow, are long-time officeholders. Sullivan served as acting ATF director and Winslow was a member of the Massachusetts state house and a judge.

Ideologically, Gomez appears to mirror Scott Brown on social issues, with Winslow falling to his left and Sullivan to his right. On fiscal issues, the three appear fairly similar, but Gomez and Winslow call for a balanced budget amendment while Sullivan does not.

The one known skeleton in Gomez’s closet is a letter he wrote to Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick putting his name forward to serve as an interim senator. The letter could damage Gomez in both the primary and the general election.

Democrats could make things easier for themselves by simply nominating United States Representative Stephen Lynch. While Lynch currently trails Markey by about 10 points in most pre-primary polls, he leads all three Republicans by more than 30 points. Crucially, Lynch leads his potential GOP opponents with independent voters by overwhelming numbers. Without a strong showing among independents, no Republican can win a statewide race in the Bay State.

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TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: gabrielgomez; massachusetts
Not a single conservative will be fooled into voting for Gomez. Not after we withheld our votes from Scott Brown last November. Been there, done that!
1 posted on 04/24/2013 6:03:27 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706
An 'independent' in Massachusetts is a Democrat who simply wanted off the fund raising mass mailings, and the phone calls.

The place is running over with all sorts of leftwingtards.

2 posted on 04/24/2013 6:11:01 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: cotton1706

Where is the guy that ran against Bawhaney Fwank? Or is this him?

3 posted on 04/24/2013 6:37:15 AM PDT by taildragger (( Tighten the 5 point harness and brace for Impact Freepers, ya know it's coming..... ))
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To: taildragger

No, that was Sean Bielat, who did run again but lost to the Kennedy that they threw on the ballot to dupe the people.

Gomez is totally new and a total sham. He’s the type that makes moderates all warm and fuzzy inside. And, like Brown eventually would have, down the line he will become an “indepoendent” or even a democrat.

4 posted on 04/24/2013 6:48:45 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: muawiyah

A registered independent in Massachusetts is a member of the Independent Party. People register as “unenrolled” so they can choose a Republican or Democrat ballot in a primary election.

5 posted on 04/24/2013 6:50:32 AM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: Boston Blackie

They also have Democrats who wanted off the list. They still think like Democrats and vote like Democrats. Ergo, they are all still a bunch of fascist pigs and will never be any better than that.

6 posted on 04/24/2013 6:57:38 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

My point was NOT to blame registered Independents.

7 posted on 04/24/2013 7:00:59 AM PDT by Boston Blackie
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