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Oxford Professors: Robots And Computers Could Take Half Our Jobs Within The Next 20 Years
TEC ^ | 09/30/2013 | Michael Snyder

Posted on 09/30/2013 12:37:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Edited on 09/30/2013 12:44:51 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

What are human workers going to do when super-intelligent robots and computers are better than us at doing everything? That is one of the questions that a new study by Dr. Carl Frey and Dr. Michael Osborne of Oxford University sought to address, and what they concluded was that 47 percent of all U.S. jobs could be automated within the next 20 years. Considering the fact that the percentage of the U.S. population that is employed is already far lower than it was a decade ago, it is frightening to think that tens of millions more jobs could disappear due to technological advances over the next couple of decades. I have written extensively about how we are already losing millions of jobs to super cheap labor on the other side of the globe. What are middle class families going to do as technology also takes away huge numbers of our jobs at an ever increasing pace? We live during a period of history when knowledge is increasing an an exponential rate. In the past, when human workers were displaced by technology it also created new kinds of jobs that the world had never seen before. But what happens when the day arrives when computers and robots can do almost everything more cheaply and more efficiently than humans can?


(Excerpt) Read more at theeconomiccollapseblog.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: ai; computers; jobs; robots

1 posted on 09/30/2013 12:37:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m just glad I have a tech job....

for now...


2 posted on 09/30/2013 12:39:49 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: SeekAndFind
I keep saying it -- humans need to put some serious thought to a world in which human labor is largely unneeded. Sure, some professions will continue, some few humans will have meaningful work -- but the vast majority of people will essentially contribute nothing to society.

What is that going to look like?

3 posted on 09/30/2013 12:40:23 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (21st century. I'm not a fan.)
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To: SeekAndFind
So, Flo from Progressive really does have cause to worry?


4 posted on 09/30/2013 12:40:49 PM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
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To: SeekAndFind
ROD SERLING PREDICTED THIS NEARLY 50 YEARS AGO...


5 posted on 09/30/2013 12:40:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Computers should replace university professors first. They could certainly be programmed to spew the Leftist line just as 95% of professors do.


6 posted on 09/30/2013 12:41:36 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: SeekAndFind

Just you wait, the Dims will be the first to lobby for “Sentient Robot Vopting Rights” and all the robots covered will be the ones built and programmed by State Supported Unions.....


7 posted on 09/30/2013 12:41:41 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: anyone

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=brj2UkUPjCI#t=14


8 posted on 09/30/2013 12:44:06 PM PDT by guido911 (Islamic terrorists are members http://www.freerepublic.com/foof the "ROP", the "religion of pu*&ies")
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To: ClearCase_guy
I keep saying it -- humans need to put some serious thought to a world in which human labor is largely unneeded. Sure, some professions will continue, some few humans will have meaningful work -- but the vast majority of people will essentially contribute nothing to society.

What is that going to look like?

Maybe we can put all the "Takers" into the Matrix while the Makers abandon them by moving to the stars....

9 posted on 09/30/2013 12:44:33 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
TWILIGHT ZONE: 1964 -- The Brain Center at Whipple's


10 posted on 09/30/2013 12:44:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Robo-receptionist: "Good morning, Mr. Drill. Are you ready for your colonoscopy as mandated in Section 12,304 part 111b, subsection 5248c in the 0bamacare program?"

BtD: "Yeah, sure. So where's the Doc?"

Robo-receptionist: "That function is no longer carried out by human doctors, Mr. Drill, as delineated in Section 31,562, part 214j, subsection 9153h in the 0bamacare program. Now please drop yer britches and get in line."

BtD: "Uh, waidaminnud. That thing is an oil drill."

Robo-receptionist: "We naturally have had to repurpose technology now banned by the EPA. Do not be alarmed. This unit has a clean track record of success."

BtD: "At colonoscopies?"

Robo-receptionist: "At drilling for oil. Spread 'em."

11 posted on 09/30/2013 12:46:46 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: SeekAndFind

Especially Oxford professors!

Record their lectures, and can them!


12 posted on 09/30/2013 12:46:56 PM PDT by Darteaus94025 (Phony President)
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To: SeekAndFind
One of these people is really a robot... guess who...


13 posted on 09/30/2013 12:47:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Those horrible tractors took almost all the farming jobs!

Ban Tractors!


14 posted on 09/30/2013 12:49:07 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Ted Cruz for President!)
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To: SeekAndFind

It is time to outlaw all Technology like in that movie Wizards.


15 posted on 09/30/2013 12:50:15 PM PDT by sickoflibs (To GOP : Any path to US Citizenship IS putting them ahead in line. Stop lying about your position)
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To: ClearCase_guy
What is that going to look like?

I'm just going to look out my front window and I'll let you know.

16 posted on 09/30/2013 12:53:20 PM PDT by Stentor ("Liberalism seeks out the eccentric to justify control over the normal." nathanbedford)
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To: ClearCase_guy
What is that going to look like?

You will have irresistible demands for Government make-work projects to pay people for creating art and such. (the Nancy Pelolsi "Obamacare will free you to pursue your dream of becoming a street mime" paradigm). Of course with that much automated labor the cost of making anything we need may be driven so low it won't matter.


17 posted on 09/30/2013 1:01:04 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind

These proclamations are reminiscent of those made by my AI professor 40 some years ago. He was all lathered up about how AI would put us all out of work in a handful of years. It all seems grossly out of step w/ reality. Oh, wait, college and reality don’t really go together. I think these guys need to get real jobs and the press needs to be more discriminating on what they publish. Anyway, in the Idiocracy we’re slouched to who’s going to have the brains to run all this advanced tech?


18 posted on 09/30/2013 1:01:50 PM PDT by 556x45
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To: txrefugee
Computers should replace university professors first. They could certainly be programmed to spew the Leftist line just as 95% of professors do."

Actually I think that's true of most education. From grade school through college.

Get the best instructors, on tape. Then computerize it with quizzes and progress indicators.

There is absolutely no reason we need hundreds of thousands of math instructors, when computers could teach better, cleaner, consistently at the rate of the student, as opposed to the rate of the slowest student.

19 posted on 09/30/2013 1:07:53 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: txrefugee
Computers should replace university professors first. They could certainly be programmed to spew the Leftist line just as 95% of professors do."

Actually I think that's true of most education. From grade school through college.

Get the best instructors, on tape. Then computerize it with quizzes and progress indicators.

There is absolutely no reason we need hundreds of thousands of math instructors, when computers could teach better, cleaner, consistently at the rate of the student, as opposed to the rate of the slowest student.

20 posted on 09/30/2013 1:07:54 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: SeekAndFind

Nothing to get hung about....
It doesn’t matter much to me (baby boomer)


21 posted on 09/30/2013 1:09:37 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (Actually, they lie when it suits them! The crooked MS media must be defeated any way it can be done!)
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To: GraceG

>>I’m just glad I have a tech job....

for now...<<

Most coding/development/programming jobs have been sent offshore — they are merely mechanical.

When I finally finish the program that can replace me, I will just run it with an avatar that looks like me and use the ADA to get 100% telecommute status.


22 posted on 09/30/2013 1:17:45 PM PDT by freedumb2003 (Fight Tapinophobia in all its forms! Do not submit to arduus privilege.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

All them cornfields and ballet in the evening.


23 posted on 09/30/2013 1:19:32 PM PDT by Argus
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To: SeekAndFind
What are human workers going to do when super-intelligent robots and computers are better than us at doing everything?

Use the robots to do far far more with less and less, thus lowering costs and making a far higher standard of living available to all.

Modern life in the devloped world: smart phones EVERYWHERE, tablets/laptops/desktops EVERYWHERE, the internet/wi-fi EVERYWHERE, cars that are mobile technology centers, airplanes that fly themselves with hundreds of people at near transonic mach numbers, tv's that get thousands of channels from geosynchronous satellites, food produced by one bored farmer driving a climate controlled automated harvesting machine...goes on and on endlessly.

What are people going to do? Build and run the machines that create the things they need.

Or didn't know they needed.

Just like now.

24 posted on 09/30/2013 1:20:26 PM PDT by Regulator
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To: DannyTN
Computers should replace university professors first. They could certainly be programmed to spew the Leftist line just as 95% of professors do.”
“Actually I think that's true of most education. From grade school through college.

Get the best instructors, on tape. Then computerize it with quizzes and progress indicators.

There is absolutely no reason we need hundreds of thousands of math instructors, when computers could teach better, cleaner, consistently at the rate of the student, as opposed to the rate of the slowest student.”

The big fad in the early 1960s in math education was self-paced learning. My 8th grade algebra teacher gave us a workbook and told us to work the problems at our own pace. Most of us spent the class time daydreaming or passing notes back and forth. It took me several years of “hard knocks” in future conventional math classes to make up for that one disastrous class.

25 posted on 09/30/2013 1:21:07 PM PDT by riverdawg
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, I suppose there will not be much buying! Only our labor produces the wealth that is needed to make purchases. And if we find a way around this, then there is always “going Galt.” Why? Because there is much satisfaction in a job well done and enjoying the fruit of our labors, and if that is taken away from us, then an important part of living has been taken away from us.


26 posted on 09/30/2013 1:21:55 PM PDT by Heartlander2
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To: freedumb2003

When I finally finish the program that can replace me, I will just run it with an avatar that looks like me and use the ADA to get 100% telecommute status.

I plan to merge with a machine untill I am 100% machine then i will duplicate myself to the point where I can outnumber the Dems 2:1 and work to elect decent people...


27 posted on 09/30/2013 1:24:04 PM PDT by GraceG
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To: riverdawg
"The big fad in the early 1960s in math education was self-paced learning. My 8th grade algebra teacher gave us a workbook and told us to work the problems at our own pace. Most of us spent the class time daydreaming or passing notes back and forth. It took me several years of “hard knocks” in future conventional math classes to make up for that one disastrous class."

Your instructor didn't control it. In the 6th grade, our teacher took me and a friend and said, y'all are bored in the normal class, so sit here at this table and work these problems and as long as y'all work, you don't have to be part of the regular class. We worked through most of high school algebra and geometry in the 6th grade.

It was so successful, that by the end of the school year, he had 20 students working problems at their own pace.

28 posted on 09/30/2013 1:24:47 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: GraceG

>>I plan to merge with a machine untill I am 100% machine then i will duplicate myself to the point where I can outnumber the Dems 2:1 and work to elect decent people...<<

The singularity meets the multiplier...


29 posted on 09/30/2013 1:26:25 PM PDT by freedumb2003 (Fight Tapinophobia in all its forms! Do not submit to arduus privilege.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think the professors should be far more concerned with advanced technologies taking *their* jobs.

Already, MIT has put its entire curriculum online. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that the first two years of college change only very slowly over time, and can be almost generic to accomplish the same instruction.

Only in the upper divisions do the professors really matter, and then, as individuals, tailor making their instruction, if they are good, so that their students have knowledge unique to that professor’s “school of thought”, on that particular subject.


30 posted on 09/30/2013 1:27:37 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy (The best War on Terror News is at rantburg.com)
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To: GraceG

I like your plan.


31 posted on 09/30/2013 1:29:57 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: riverdawg; DannyTN; txrefugee
Computers should replace university professors first. They could certainly be programmed to spew the Leftist line just as 95% of professors do.”
Actually I think that's true of most education. From grade school through college.

Get the best instructors, on tape. Then computerize it with quizzes and progress indicators.

There is absolutely no reason we need hundreds of thousands of math instructors, when computers could teach better, cleaner, consistently at the rate of the student, as opposed to the rate of the slowest student.

The big fad in the early 1960s in math education was self-paced learning. My 8th grade algebra teacher gave us a workbook and told us to work the problems at our own pace. Most of us spent the class time daydreaming or passing notes back and forth. It took me several years of “hard knocks” in future conventional math classes to make up for that one disastrous class.
The future is now:
khanacademy.org

32 posted on 09/30/2013 2:16:27 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (“Liberalism” is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

like Detroit ?


33 posted on 09/30/2013 2:18:06 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

Khanacademy is good.
Udacity.com is also good.
I’m halfway through udacity’s intro to Physics. And I just stated about a week ago.


34 posted on 09/30/2013 2:34:29 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

Khanacademy is good.
Udacity.com is also good.
I’m halfway through udacity’s intro to Physics. And I just stated about a week ago.


35 posted on 09/30/2013 2:34:30 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion
I spent a few minutes at the Khan Academy site with some topics I know well and have taught at the college level. The videos were not very well done at all. If this is the future of instruction, I am glad that I went to college and a grad-school program in the “old days” where I experienced excellent instruction by clear, inspiring faculty.
36 posted on 10/01/2013 2:14:51 PM PDT by riverdawg
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To: SeekAndFind

All the robots will be manufactured in Red China and Mexico..


37 posted on 10/01/2013 2:18:53 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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