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Crazy Steve Stockman Could Force Senator Cornyn Into Runoff in TX GOP Primary
Politicus, Real Liberal Politics ^ | February 18, 2014 | Keith Brekhus

Posted on 02/19/2014 10:29:04 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Though the media consistently mocks Congressman Steve Stockman’s bizarre behavior and his ridiculously inept campaign for US Senator, a new Human Events-Gravis Marketing poll suggests that Stockman may pose a legitimate threat to John Cornyn in the Republican primary. The poll conducted February 10 to February 12th, shows Cornyn leading 43-28 percent. While this may appear to be a comfortable margin, it puts Cornyn well below the 50 percent threshold he would require to avoid a two person runoff in May.

In addition, Cornyn has reason to worry because a poll taken two months ago, conducted by a different polling firm, had Cornyn up by a lopsided 50-6 margin over Stockman. The trend seems to indicate that the race is tightening rapidly and that John Cornyn would be unwise to assume that he is a lock for the Republican nomination. Primaries are low turnout events, and the Tea Party in Texas is a force to be reckoned with, as they so aptly demonstrated in 2012, when Tea Party favorite Ted Cruz defeated Greg Abbott in the GOP Senate primary.

Stockman has raised hardly any money, and his campaign is a joke. Nobody in the Beltway takes his chances seriously. Nevertheless, this recent poll demonstrates that Texas GOP primary voters are not sold on sending John Cornyn back to Washington for another six years. Further compounding Cornyn’s challenge is his vote to allow a vote on a clean resolution to raise the debt ceiling. While sound policy, it was not what Republican primary voters in Texas were looking for. That vote took place after the poll was conducted so it is possible that his lead has shrunk even more in the past week. In the GOP civil war between the extremist wing and the pragmatic wing, Cornyn cast a vote with the pragmatists. In Texas, aligning with Mitch McConnell instead of Ted Cruz is bad election year politics for a Republican.

In an eight candidate race, there is little doubt that incumbent Senator John Cornyn will receive at least a plurality of votes. However, if he fails to clear 50 percent, he could be forced into a runoff head to head with Stockman. While Cornyn would still be regarded as the favorite, a runoff would allow GOP voters dissatisfied with Cornyn’s leadership, or lack thereof, to coalesce around Tea Party firebrand Stockman and send a message to the establishment wing of the Republican Party. In a Republican Party runoff between Tea Party crazy and the GOP establishment in Texas, it might be a loser’s wager to bet against crazy coming out on top. If John Cornyn is not breaking a sweat he should be, because Stockman is slowly but surely pulling within striking distance.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Health/Medicine; Politics
KEYWORDS: cornyn; stevestockman; teaparty; texasprimary
Tea Party Crazies vs GOP Establishment - I couldn't resist posting.

Below is some data on the turnout.

2014 Texas Primary: 1st Day Early Voting Totals for Harris County [breakdown by party]

1 posted on 02/19/2014 10:29:05 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Stockman strikes me as a good guy.

I think Stovall is perhaps better.


2 posted on 02/19/2014 10:32:48 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

That is the idea. Force Cornyn into a runoff and beat him with a Tea Party candidate.


3 posted on 02/19/2014 10:34:24 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

And here’s primary vote split by key county for 2012 Senate race when Dewhurst was the RINO favorite:

2012 Dewhurst Vote % in Senate Primary By Select Large Counties:

Denton 31%
Collin 31%
Dallas 33%
Tarrant 34%
Montgomery 38%
Bexar 41%
Travis 41%
Williamson 43%
Fort Bend 44%
Harris 46%
Brazoria 46%
Galveston 47%
Lubbock 48%

State Average 45%

Remaining vote = Anyone But Dewhurst

http://www.texastribune.org/library/data/gop-us-senate-results-map-primary-2012/


4 posted on 02/19/2014 10:35:52 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: Jewbacca

Between them they’ll keep Cornyn under 50%.


5 posted on 02/19/2014 10:37:10 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Though the media consistently mocks Congressman Steve Stockman’s bizarre behavior and his ridiculously inept campaign for US Senator...

No bias there.

Stockman must scare the %$^@# out of state-controlled media.

6 posted on 02/19/2014 10:38:34 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Islam is a religion of peace, and Moslems reserve the right to behead anyone who says otherwise.)
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To: Jewbacca

Check out this new DWAYNE STOVALL ad:

http://youtu.be/tC7UwaMwoV8


7 posted on 02/19/2014 10:38:38 AM PST by Howie66 (John Wayne McCornyn...he's just like US! Honest!)
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To: Howie66

Pretty stupid.


8 posted on 02/19/2014 10:40:28 AM PST by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

BTTT!


9 posted on 02/19/2014 10:40:33 AM PST by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cornyn is the main threat to Cornyn. This rapid, compressed 8 week campaign is a referendum on Cornyn, period. If the base is pissed-off enough, he’s gone. What may save him is the lack of a real opponent. Some voters need to vote FOR someone, not just AGAINST the incumbent.Best case, they force a run-off..if they don’t, they’ll hold him to just above 50%, and watch the effect that has on Miss, Tenn, SC, and KY..


10 posted on 02/19/2014 10:42:21 AM PST by ken5050 (This space available cheap...)
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To: Parley Baer

What do you bet when Cornyn loses, the GOPe doesn’t support the guy who beats him? When that happens, we had all better pay attention.


11 posted on 02/19/2014 10:42:37 AM PST by demshateGod (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
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To: Jewbacca

Your opinion.

I thought it to be pretty clever.


12 posted on 02/19/2014 10:44:00 AM PST by Howie66 (John Wayne McCornyn...he's just like US! Honest!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Though the media consistently mocks Congressman Steve Stockman’s bizarre behavior and his ridiculously inept campaign for US Senator...

Does he demand to be treated as "queen" ?

Does he believe American astronauts landed on Mars?

Does he believe that stationing Marines on Guam will "cause the island to tip over" ?

Does he believe that American soldiers raped and terrorized Iraqi civilians?

Does he believe that Americans need to be saved from "job lock" ?

13 posted on 02/19/2014 10:48:30 AM PST by Steely Tom (How do you feel about robbing Peter's robot?)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"Tea Party favorite Ted Cruz defeated Greg Abbott David Dewhurst in the GOP Senate primary."

Fixed.

14 posted on 02/19/2014 10:51:00 AM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"Crazy Steve Stockman Could Force Senator Cornyn Into Runoff in TX GOP Primary"

I love it when they give you the judgement right there in the title. No need to even read the article.

15 posted on 02/19/2014 10:51:41 AM PST by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: Parley Baer

“That is the idea. Force Cornyn into a runoff and beat him with a Tea Party candidate.”

Oh, by all means, nominate a ‘crazy’ candidate, who can’t raise money, and who runs an incompetent campaign. What a brilliant plan to win back the Senate.


16 posted on 02/19/2014 11:00:58 AM PST by DugwayDuke
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To: demshateGod

“What do you bet when Cornyn loses, the GOPe doesn’t support the guy who beats him?”

It won’t be the first time. The GOPe has just become a wing of the dimoKKKRAT party. We will just have to do all we can to overcome it.


17 posted on 02/19/2014 11:08:03 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I really hate to see this election end. Amnesty will be shoved down the throats of the American people as soon as the last vote is counted.


18 posted on 02/19/2014 11:14:17 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (As government expands, liberty contracts. - President Ronald W. Reagan)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I just pulled the trigger for Stockman at lunch, feeling good about runoff chances.


19 posted on 02/19/2014 11:29:55 AM PST by TexasCajun
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To: demshateGod
What do you bet when Cornyn loses, the GOPe doesn’t support the guy who beats him?

You mean like the Alaska Senate race when the GOPe rallied behind the primary loser, Mur-COW-ski?

20 posted on 02/19/2014 11:32:48 AM PST by COBOL2Java (I'm a Christian, pro-life, pro-gun, Reaganite. The GOP hates me. Why should I vote for them?)
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To: Howie66

I liked it.


21 posted on 02/19/2014 11:49:12 AM PST by jch10 (John Beohner has got to be removed from the Speaker position.)
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To: DugwayDuke
Cornyn is going to get primaried. Get used to it.

/johnny

22 posted on 02/19/2014 11:52:51 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Windflier

Good catch.

: )


23 posted on 02/19/2014 11:57:03 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Writer’s creds got blown out of the water as soon as I read “when Tea Party favorite Ted Cruz defeated Greg Abbott in the GOP Senate primary.”

Let’s hope it isn’t Strawman that comes in 2nd and is a real campaigning conservative, Stovall.


24 posted on 02/19/2014 11:59:19 AM PST by X-spurt (CRUZ missile - armed and ready.)
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To: DugwayDuke
Oh, by all means, nominate a ‘crazy’ candidate, who can’t raise money, and who runs an incompetent campaign. What a brilliant plan to win back the Senate.

The "plan" is to get rid of Cornyn, and those like him. They are cancerous, parasitic tumors that must go if we are to ever have a meaningful opposition to liberalism.
25 posted on 02/19/2014 12:48:24 PM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: Windflier

Yes, you would think someone would have caught that before printing the story!


26 posted on 02/19/2014 1:29:55 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: jch10

:-)

“I Stand with Sarah Palin and hope she runs.”

You and me, BOTH!!

If she doesn’t run, then I want to see retired Marine General James Mattis go for it.

I honestly believe that we will require the services of a proven Warrior to become C-I-C after 8 long and miserable years of a limp-wristed, mom-jean wearing, community organizer puke screwing up everything in sight.


27 posted on 02/19/2014 2:31:29 PM PST by Howie66 (John Wayne McCornyn...he's just like US! Honest!)
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To: jjsheridan5

“The “plan” is to get rid of Cornyn, and those like him. They are cancerous, parasitic tumors that must go if we are to ever have a meaningful opposition to liberalism.”

Your brilliant ‘plan’ will result in replacing a ‘so-so’ republican with a full blown liberal democrat. We would control the Senate except for brilliant strategies like this.

If the Tea Party can’t come up with candidates that can win in the general elections then they need to shut up and let the adults run things.


28 posted on 02/19/2014 2:33:04 PM PST by DugwayDuke
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To: Jewbacca

I’m inclined to agree with you. Even at just first glance, I’m concerned that Stockman would threaten a lawsuit against someone, denying something that was so easily proven to be true.

I like what I see regarding Stovall, so I’m probably going to vote for him.

Here’s a list of endorsements from his web page:

Grassroots America - We the People
South Texas Tea Party Network
Nacogdoches Tea Party
Stand Across America
Young Republicans of Houston
Republican Liberty Caucus of CD 36
Katy LiberTea
Southern Conservative
Kaufman Tea Party
Pearland Tea Party
Facebook Tea Party
TeaParty911
Montague County Tea Party
Sam Houston Tea Party
Llano Tea Party
Cass County Tea Party
Wichita Falls Tea Party
Lake Jackson Tea Party (straw poll win)
Ellis County (straw poll win)
Tri-County Tea Party
Clearlake Tea Party
Overpasses for Obama’s Impeachment
Alvin Tea Party
Firefighters for Liberty


29 posted on 02/19/2014 2:38:39 PM PST by william clark (Ecclesiastes 10:2)
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