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Poll: Brown Trails by 10 Points in New Hampshire
blogs.wsj.com ^ | 6/19/14 | Reid Epstein

Posted on 06/22/2014 9:01:31 AM PDT by cotton1706

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D., N.H.) holds a commanding lead over Republican Scott Brown in a new Suffolk University poll out Thursday.

Ms. Shaheen leads Mr. Brown, the former Massachusetts senator, 49% to 39% in a poll of New Hampshire residents.

There’s still more bad news for Mr. Brown in the poll: His favorability rating trails well behind even President Barack Obama in the state. Suffolk’s poll found Mr. Brown is viewed favorably by just 35% in New Hampshire; 46% give him an unfavorable rating.

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Suffolk’s last poll, in March, found Ms. Shaheen leading Mr. Brown 52% to 39%. Other polling has found the race to be much closer: A Dartmouth survey in April showed Mr. Brown only three percentage points behind Ms. Shaheen.

For Mr. Obama, those numbers in the latest Suffolk poll are 45% favorable and 49% unfavorable – even though his job approval rating in the state is just 39% — below the 41% he received nationally in the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released Wednesday. Ms. Shaheen rates 52% favorable and 37% unfavorable, Suffolk found.

The numbers are the latest evidence that the New Hampshire Senate race, despite Mr. Brown’s high-profile entrance, may not be among the top-tier contests this fall.

Ms. Shaheen, while still well ahead of Mr. Brown, is down slightly from Suffolk’s March poll, which was conducted before Mr. Brown declared his candidacy. She’s lost six percentage points from her favorability rating and three percentage points of her lead.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: elections
The story didn't even mention that the primary is in September and that there are two other candidates that might fare better against Shaheen.

But the GOP Establishment wants their golden boy to be the nominee so they'll move heaven and earth to make that happen.

1 posted on 06/22/2014 9:01:32 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

And let’s not forget that Brown votes like this, getting worse as he went along.

Brown - 2010 - 64% (Average) - 62% (CFG) - 74% (ACU) - 57% (FreedomWorks)

Brown - 2011 - 48% (Average) - 49% (CFG) - 50% (ACU) - 44% (FreedomWorks)

Brown - 2012 - 34% (Average) - 51% (CFG) - 36% (ACU) - 15% (FreedomWorks)


2 posted on 06/22/2014 9:08:22 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706

When Brown ran for Ted Kennedy’s seat in MA, I knew exactly what he was. Anyone who was paying attention understood his nature. But I voted for him anyway.

And I still ended up disappointed, because he was worse than I thought.


3 posted on 06/22/2014 9:08:56 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy ("Harvey Dent, can we trust him?" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBsdV--kLoQ)
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To: cotton1706

These Libs in the greater NE states are totally worthless. Shouldn’t even have a election. Save the money and just give it to the D’s. They will just buy it anyway.


4 posted on 06/22/2014 9:09:41 AM PDT by DrDude (Does anyone have a set of balls anymore?)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Same here! I’m glad he’s the hell out of MA.


5 posted on 06/22/2014 9:10:41 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: ClearCase_guy

He didn’t even TRY to throw conservatives a bone. Because he thought he wouldn’t need them. He thought that the independents and democrats would flood to his moderation, his “pragmatic” republicanism. The problem with this theory is that independents and democrats vote for...democrats. Because most of the independents used to be democrats who changed their registrations to impress people and so they can vote in republican primaries. That’s how we get the likes of Gabriel Gomez and Charlie Baker.


6 posted on 06/22/2014 9:13:51 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706

If Scott doesn’t win this time, he can find another state where the Republican left will welcome him, and he always has the option of running as a Democrat.


7 posted on 06/22/2014 9:15:12 AM PDT by pallis
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To: cotton1706

“And let’s not forget that Brown votes like this, getting worse as he went along.”

Ok, how about posting Jean Shaheen’s conservative rating numbers ?

I don’t have them handy, but I am guessing they look like

1% 1% 1 %


8 posted on 06/22/2014 9:20:41 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: cotton1706

“Because most of the independents used to be democrats who changed their registrations to impress people and so they can vote in republican primaries. “

I think independents are republicans who register as independent so they won’t get fired from their jobs.

Dems are ruthless about that, repubs, not really.


9 posted on 06/22/2014 9:22:35 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: cotton1706

So, the peeps in NH don’t support the Kenyan but they DO support the Kenyan’s supporter and enabler. That’s some weird thinking right there. I’ll bet they love and approve of Obama but just hate all of his policies. Low information types really freak me out.


10 posted on 06/22/2014 9:42:24 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Feed the wacko enrviromentalists to the starving polar bears.)
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To: cotton1706

Reap the wind Scott.


11 posted on 06/22/2014 9:43:42 AM PDT by CARTOUCHE (9999 EOM)
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To: cotton1706
Scott Brown?

Isn't he the guy who tried to pimp out his daughters on election night?

12 posted on 06/22/2014 9:48:54 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The more numerous the laws, the more corrupt the government." --Tacitus)
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To: staytrue

We are tired of giving our vote to the phonies. When someone asks for my vote as a lib, I expect them to vote lib, and give grudging respect when they voate as they campaigned.

I used to vote GOP in the general, period. Never again will I vote Rino. Not only will I not vote for a Rino, I will vote against them!

Because I view Conservatism as the best hope for America; because I see Rinos as more harmful to conservatives than are libs; I therefor see Rinos as more dangerous to the future of this country, and will therefor vote agains them in the manner most likely to cause their defeat.

Which means, yes, I would vote for Jean Shaheen in order to defeat Scott Brown.


13 posted on 06/22/2014 10:11:51 AM PDT by GilesB
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To: staytrue

We can always count on you to come to the defense of republicans who vote like democrats, or with the democrats, which is the same thing.

It never occurs to you apparently that the point of electing republicans is so that we can have more votes for REPUBLICAN items, not just so Mitch McConnell has a higher caucus number.

And it also apparently never occurs to you that it might be a good idea for the people to choose somebody else to represent them, than somebody who votes a little less democrat than the other guy.

But I’m sure you’ll stick with your continual “but, but, but, the democrat is worse!” refrain.


14 posted on 06/22/2014 10:13:04 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706
The problem with this theory is that independents and democrats vote for...democrats.

The republicans easily won independents in 2012.

Independent simply means they don't belong to a party, other than that you have no idea what an independents politics are, it can be hard right, hard left, or variations of the middle, or whatever they are to that individual.

15 posted on 06/22/2014 11:39:37 AM PDT by ansel12 ((Ted Cruz and Mike Lee-both of whom sit on the Senate Judiciary Comm as Ginsberg's importance fades)
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To: cotton1706

Why would a conservative vote for Scott Brown? We already know what he does once in office and it’s not to our benefit. I fail to see why New Hampshire could not produce its own candidate instead of importing one and why it has to be a failed, untrustworthy politician at that.


16 posted on 06/22/2014 11:42:36 AM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: ClearCase_guy

but a lot of freepers did not know, the “Brown for President” - before he was even elected - crap drove me nuts on this and other forums.


17 posted on 06/22/2014 11:44:19 AM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: ansel12

Do you live in or near New Hampshire, as I do? Obama got 52% of the independents in 2012.


18 posted on 06/22/2014 12:46:12 PM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706

Romney won the Independents in 2012 nationally and in most battleground states in 2012.

I didn’t realize that your descriptions of Independents were only for New Hampshire, in that case you are right, in New Hampshire Obama’s support was 52% from Independents, and 52% from all voters.


19 posted on 06/22/2014 12:56:23 PM PDT by ansel12 ((Ted Cruz and Mike Lee-both of whom sit on the Senate Judiciary Comm as Ginsberg's importance fades)
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To: ansel12

Yes, and I was addressing Scott Brown’s calculations and manner of campaigning, and it’s all wrong. It would be better if New Hampshire REPUBLICANS pick a different candidate than him. But the New Hampshire INDEPENDENTS will vote for Brown because he’s the most moderate (i.e. democratic) and he’ll likely get the nomination. And unless there’s an anti-Shaheen or democrat wave, he’ll lose...again.


20 posted on 06/22/2014 1:12:40 PM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706

New Hampshire is a liberal state.


21 posted on 06/22/2014 1:20:15 PM PDT by ansel12 ((Ted Cruz and Mike Lee-both of whom sit on the Senate Judiciary Comm as Ginsberg's importance fades)
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To: ansel12

It’s gotten increasingly liberal. Conservatives can still thread the needle there but it’s done by riding the middle ground between conservatism and moderation, not the middle ground between moderation and liberalism.


22 posted on 06/22/2014 1:23:23 PM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706
It comes down to this: If Bonehead Ryno and Cancer grant amnesty it won't make any difference who runs against whom, the Republicans not only won't take back the Senate they will loses a few House seats as well. But if they don't grant amnesty it won't matter who the Republicans put up against what Democrat, they will run the country from Maine to Hawaii. All of this in between is meaningless and it all rests on whether the Republicans want to commit suicide or not.
23 posted on 06/22/2014 2:58:27 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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