Posted on 11/01/2005 6:32:53 AM PST by SoFloFreeper

The Rehnquist Court is now the Roberts Court...let's assume Alito replaces O'Connor.
Who is the next to be replaced? You can bet: if Ginsburg or Stevens leaves next....the "Alito" fight will look like a Sunday picnic.
I don't think the Dems will cry as much on those vacancies.
With a "moderate" like SOC you can spout the "replace a moderate for a moderate" line. You can't do that with a liberal.
("Denny Crane: Gun Control? For Communists. She's a liberal. Can't hunt.")

Aside from her politics, I simply find it hard to take someone seriously who looks like she's peering at me through an aquarium.
Leni
I don't know who will be next but I'm awfully tired of listening to this "consensus nominee" crap from the democrats and moderate republicans. The next time the democrats get a chance to nominate someone to the court, they won't be trying to appease us and they never have.
I think Justice Ginsburg will hold on until Bush is out of office, she would hate to be replaced by someone nominated by him. I think Justice Stevens is ready to retire, possibly this year yet.
Inside the beltway rumor is Stevens will step down at the end of this judicial year.
Oh yeah, I did hear a rumor a few weeks ago that Justice Kennedy was thinking of retiring to do something else while he is relatively young.
If that is the case, conservatives MUST gain seats in the Senate in 2006......regardless of our anger over Bush's tilts to the left.
Stevens is 85 years old.
Ginsberg is 72.
Scalia is 69.
Kennedy is 69.
Breyer is 67.
Souter is 66.
Thomas is 57.
Roberts is 50.
I'd say the moderate Stevens is a safe bet to be the next replacement, simply due to his age. You're right though, the Ginsberg replacement is looming and it'll be a huge fight.
Stevens has ruled with the liberals on issues such as gays though so replacing him with a more conservative, Constitutional Originalist would be a real boon to Right Americans.
That's interesting, there was a thread yesterday about Alito's stock holdings that included the estimated net worth of all the justices and Kennedy was at the bottom.
Last time conservatives were angry to somebody name Bush, they got a person name Clinton which followed by the appointment of two liberal justices: Breyer and Ginsburg. Unfortunately, there's a chance that history will be repeated in the future. If conservatives are angry again to a Bush, a Clinton will be elected. And another very liberal judges will be appointed.
Thomas is 57 ? So he was, what, 42 or 43 when he was appointed? None of W candidates is even close.
Yeah, I think Thomas was 43 when he took the robes. Roberts was a great selection at 50 for Chief Justice - God willing, he'll be around awhile.
Who knows when we'll get another chance to stack the court. The last time we won the Presidency in three successive terms was Reagan and Bush 41. Before that you have to go back about 40 years before either party won the Presidency three successive times.
Hopefully Bush will get a chance to replace Stevens (due to retirement) before his second term is over. If we're VERY fortunate, we'll replace Ginsberg too.
Whomever it is...the president needs to have the most conservative woman he can find waiting in the wings. Janice Rogers Brown or Priscilla Owen would be fine. Then we'd have that "diversity" that the Dems were so keen on yesterday.
It was thought that Kennedy was more interested in lecturing at a university and such than continuing on the court.
True and then Kennedy.
If I understand it the Judicial year ends in June of 2006 and that is before the election and new a Congress. Hard to believe he would hold out this long and not wait for the Dems to have one more shot at controlling the Senate or at least narrowing the 55/45 Republican Majority in Name Only (MINO).
My guess is that he'd announce end of July/beginning of August. Congress is out in August. Actually, it could be a very strong political move ie. "Bush already had 2 conservative appointments, he could have another if you don't elect Democrats."
Strategery for the libs?
> None of W candidates is even close.
The youngest jurists that were considered to be on the list were Diane Sykes (47) and Bill Pryor (43) and Paul Clement (39).
I thought Sykes had a real shot at this seat. Her name will come up again if Bush gets to roll the dice again before 2008.
If it comes down in this order, and all during the Bush Presidency, or during the term of a conservative Republican successor, and assuming the GOP retains or expands its Senate margin (a lot of ifs, granted), we may have a situation similar to the frog placed in a pot of cold water on a stove: he doesn't realize he's in trouble until it's too late.
The first substitution (Roberts for Rehnquist), viewed in isolation, wasn't so traumatic for liberals; after all, a conservative was replaced by (absent a nasty surprise) a conservative. The second substitution, should it go through as by early indications it will, would probably be an incremental change: the presumably conservative Alito for the moderate, Reagan-appointed O'Connor. The next two substitutions under this scenario, however, would be successively more wrenching for the left.
I'm inclined to think that the "nuclear option" won't be deployed with the Alito nomination. But it might very well happen should another vacancy occur soon. When and if that happens, we go back to a 50-vote requirement (with Vice President Cheney as a tiebreaker, if required). The elections of 2006, and of course 2008, loom large.
The next two substitutions under this scenario, however, would be successively more wrenching for the left.
Yea, especially if we choose Brown to replace Ginsberg.
Sykes was the only one who was a serious contender. Pryor and Clement were not mentioned much. Perhaps because they're just appointed to their current positions recently.
This makes me wonder: age wise, how good has W been in appointing the next generation of conservative judges on federal level? If he provide good young conservative federal judges today, perhaps the future Republican presidents can have a better pool to choose?
But that's utter hypocrisy. Who did the Dems replace Byron White (one of two dissenting justices in Roe v. Wade) with? Hint: Darth Bader.
Senator Inhofe while touring OK this summer said the same thing about Stevens leaving at the end of the year.
Stevens is about 100 years old - he retires or expires next, I'd imagine.
The key to turning this country around is getting a solid conservative majority on the high court. Oh dear God, let it happen.
I'm hoping Ginsburg gets impeached, so she'll be next.
Precisely my point. They have no argument.
I'd say the moderate Stevens is a safe bet to be the next replacement, simply due to his age. You're right though, the Ginsberg replacement is looming and it'll be a huge fight."Moderate Stevens"?
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