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Who will be the next SCOTUS justice to be replaced?
FREEPers opinions

Posted on 11/01/2005 6:32:53 AM PST by SoFloFreeper


The Rehnquist Court is now the Roberts Court...let's assume Alito replaces O'Connor.

Who is the next to be replaced? You can bet: if Ginsburg or Stevens leaves next....the "Alito" fight will look like a Sunday picnic.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: ginsburg; kennedy; next; scalia; scotus; souter; stevens; supremecourt; thomas

1 posted on 11/01/2005 6:32:54 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

I don't think the Dems will cry as much on those vacancies.

With a "moderate" like SOC you can spout the "replace a moderate for a moderate" line. You can't do that with a liberal.


2 posted on 11/01/2005 6:33:53 AM PST by zendari
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To: SoFloFreeper
Concur. The next seat is pivotal. The Democrats can afford to let Alito be confirmed because conservatives will only control 4 votes on the Court. If another vacancy opens up, they will pull out all the stops to make sure the Left retains control there.

("Denny Crane: Gun Control? For Communists. She's a liberal. Can't hunt.")

3 posted on 11/01/2005 6:34:53 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Ginsburg then Stevens in rather rapid succession.
4 posted on 11/01/2005 6:35:42 AM PST by msnimje ("People for the American Way have issued a Fatwah against Alito" --- John Cornyn)
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To: SoFloFreeper
I'm hoping it will be this one:

Aside from her politics, I simply find it hard to take someone seriously who looks like she's peering at me through an aquarium.

5 posted on 11/01/2005 6:35:45 AM PST by Alberta's Child (I ain't got a dime, but what I got is mine. I ain't rich, but Lord I'm free.)
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To: Alberta's Child
LOL!

Leni

6 posted on 11/01/2005 6:36:59 AM PST by MinuteGal
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To: SoFloFreeper

I don't know who will be next but I'm awfully tired of listening to this "consensus nominee" crap from the democrats and moderate republicans. The next time the democrats get a chance to nominate someone to the court, they won't be trying to appease us and they never have.


7 posted on 11/01/2005 6:37:24 AM PST by cripplecreek (Never a minigun handy when you need one.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

I think Justice Ginsburg will hold on until Bush is out of office, she would hate to be replaced by someone nominated by him. I think Justice Stevens is ready to retire, possibly this year yet.


8 posted on 11/01/2005 6:38:34 AM PST by ReaganRevolution
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To: SoFloFreeper

Inside the beltway rumor is Stevens will step down at the end of this judicial year.


9 posted on 11/01/2005 6:39:50 AM PST by Hoodlum91
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To: SoFloFreeper

Oh yeah, I did hear a rumor a few weeks ago that Justice Kennedy was thinking of retiring to do something else while he is relatively young.


10 posted on 11/01/2005 6:40:06 AM PST by ReaganRevolution
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To: msnimje
Wouldn't it be GREAT to have Bush put two conservatives replacing Ginsburg and Stevens????? Oh man, oh man....
11 posted on 11/01/2005 6:40:38 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: msnimje
Wouldn't it be GREAT to have Bush put two conservatives replacing Ginsburg and Stevens????? Oh man, oh man....
12 posted on 11/01/2005 6:40:39 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper
That's what makes this fight so crucial. If Alito gets "borked", then the Dems can essentially dictate the next nomination: if Alito was too conservative for O'Connor's seat, then anyone to the right of Karl Marx is too conservative for Ginsburg's. If he's confirmed, the Dems won't have much stomach for a rematch.
13 posted on 11/01/2005 6:41:56 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Hoodlum91
Inside the beltway rumor is Stevens will step down at the end of this judicial year.

If that is the case, conservatives MUST gain seats in the Senate in 2006......regardless of our anger over Bush's tilts to the left.

14 posted on 11/01/2005 6:42:47 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Stevens is 85 years old.
Ginsberg is 72.
Scalia is 69.
Kennedy is 69.
Breyer is 67.
Souter is 66.
Thomas is 57.
Roberts is 50.

I'd say the moderate Stevens is a safe bet to be the next replacement, simply due to his age. You're right though, the Ginsberg replacement is looming and it'll be a huge fight.

Stevens has ruled with the liberals on issues such as gays though so replacing him with a more conservative, Constitutional Originalist would be a real boon to Right Americans.


15 posted on 11/01/2005 6:44:44 AM PST by Smelly_Fed (http://president-allen2008.blogspot.com/)
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To: ReaganRevolution
Oh yeah, I did hear a rumor a few weeks ago that Justice Kennedy was thinking of retiring to do something else while he is relatively young.

That's interesting, there was a thread yesterday about Alito's stock holdings that included the estimated net worth of all the justices and Kennedy was at the bottom.

16 posted on 11/01/2005 6:47:37 AM PST by garv
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To: SoFloFreeper
conservatives MUST gain seats in the Senate in 2006......regardless of our anger over Bush's tilts to the left.

Last time conservatives were angry to somebody name Bush, they got a person name Clinton which followed by the appointment of two liberal justices: Breyer and Ginsburg. Unfortunately, there's a chance that history will be repeated in the future. If conservatives are angry again to a Bush, a Clinton will be elected. And another very liberal judges will be appointed.

17 posted on 11/01/2005 6:53:51 AM PST by paudio (Four More Years..... Let's Use Them Wisely...)
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To: Smelly_Fed

Thomas is 57 ? So he was, what, 42 or 43 when he was appointed? None of W candidates is even close.


18 posted on 11/01/2005 6:57:03 AM PST by paudio (Four More Years..... Let's Use Them Wisely...)
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To: paudio

Yeah, I think Thomas was 43 when he took the robes. Roberts was a great selection at 50 for Chief Justice - God willing, he'll be around awhile.

Who knows when we'll get another chance to stack the court. The last time we won the Presidency in three successive terms was Reagan and Bush 41. Before that you have to go back about 40 years before either party won the Presidency three successive times.

Hopefully Bush will get a chance to replace Stevens (due to retirement) before his second term is over. If we're VERY fortunate, we'll replace Ginsberg too.


19 posted on 11/01/2005 7:02:43 AM PST by Smelly_Fed (http://president-allen2008.blogspot.com/)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Whomever it is...the president needs to have the most conservative woman he can find waiting in the wings. Janice Rogers Brown or Priscilla Owen would be fine. Then we'd have that "diversity" that the Dems were so keen on yesterday.


20 posted on 11/01/2005 7:04:55 AM PST by kittymyrib
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To: garv

It was thought that Kennedy was more interested in lecturing at a university and such than continuing on the court.


21 posted on 11/01/2005 7:08:02 AM PST by ReaganRevolution
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To: msnimje

True and then Kennedy.


22 posted on 11/01/2005 7:14:40 AM PST by svcw
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To: Hoodlum91
Inside the beltway rumor is Stevens will step down at the end of this judicial year.

If I understand it the Judicial year ends in June of 2006 and that is before the election and new a Congress. Hard to believe he would hold out this long and not wait for the Dems to have one more shot at controlling the Senate or at least narrowing the 55/45 Republican Majority in Name Only (MINO).

23 posted on 11/01/2005 7:16:55 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

My guess is that he'd announce end of July/beginning of August. Congress is out in August. Actually, it could be a very strong political move ie. "Bush already had 2 conservative appointments, he could have another if you don't elect Democrats."

Strategery for the libs?


24 posted on 11/01/2005 7:24:38 AM PST by Hoodlum91
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To: paudio

> None of W candidates is even close.

The youngest jurists that were considered to be on the list were Diane Sykes (47) and Bill Pryor (43) and Paul Clement (39).

I thought Sykes had a real shot at this seat. Her name will come up again if Bush gets to roll the dice again before 2008.


25 posted on 11/01/2005 7:25:02 AM PST by Smelly_Fed (http://president-allen2008.blogspot.com/)
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To: SoFloFreeper
We could have an interesting progression: vacancies, in order, of a conservative seat (Rehnquist); a moderate seat (O'Connor); and perhaps a moderately liberal seat (Stevens); and a leftist seat (Ginsburg).

If it comes down in this order, and all during the Bush Presidency, or during the term of a conservative Republican successor, and assuming the GOP retains or expands its Senate margin (a lot of ifs, granted), we may have a situation similar to the frog placed in a pot of cold water on a stove: he doesn't realize he's in trouble until it's too late.

The first substitution (Roberts for Rehnquist), viewed in isolation, wasn't so traumatic for liberals; after all, a conservative was replaced by (absent a nasty surprise) a conservative. The second substitution, should it go through as by early indications it will, would probably be an incremental change: the presumably conservative Alito for the moderate, Reagan-appointed O'Connor. The next two substitutions under this scenario, however, would be successively more wrenching for the left.

I'm inclined to think that the "nuclear option" won't be deployed with the Alito nomination. But it might very well happen should another vacancy occur soon. When and if that happens, we go back to a 50-vote requirement (with Vice President Cheney as a tiebreaker, if required). The elections of 2006, and of course 2008, loom large.

26 posted on 11/01/2005 7:25:34 AM PST by southernnorthcarolina (Doesn't anyone here know how to use apostrophe's?)
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To: SoFloFreeper
My bet: Ginsburg will leave soon, probably before Bush leaves office. I remember hearing somewhere her husband's health is failing. She may wait until after the '06 midterms in the hope the Dems gain more seats. I think Stevens will hold out until after '08, hoping a liberal gets elected President.
27 posted on 11/01/2005 7:34:36 AM PST by krazyrep (Demolib Playbook Rule #2: If you can't beat 'em, filibuster. If that doesn't work, go to court.)
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To: Smelly_Fed
You're right though, the Ginsberg replacement is looming and it'll be a huge fight.








Perhaps that is what Janice Rogers Brown is being saved for. (Unrealistic I know, but one cane dream) Imagine the reaction of the left to replacing Ginsberg with Brown.
28 posted on 11/01/2005 7:41:10 AM PST by rob777
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To: southernnorthcarolina

The next two substitutions under this scenario, however, would be successively more wrenching for the left.






Yea, especially if we choose Brown to replace Ginsberg.


29 posted on 11/01/2005 7:44:09 AM PST by rob777
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To: Smelly_Fed
The youngest jurists that were considered to be on the list were Diane Sykes (47) and Bill Pryor (43) and Paul Clement (39).

Sykes was the only one who was a serious contender. Pryor and Clement were not mentioned much. Perhaps because they're just appointed to their current positions recently.

This makes me wonder: age wise, how good has W been in appointing the next generation of conservative judges on federal level? If he provide good young conservative federal judges today, perhaps the future Republican presidents can have a better pool to choose?

30 posted on 11/01/2005 8:01:23 AM PST by paudio (Four More Years..... Let's Use Them Wisely...)
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To: zendari

But that's utter hypocrisy. Who did the Dems replace Byron White (one of two dissenting justices in Roe v. Wade) with? Hint: Darth Bader.


31 posted on 11/01/2005 8:01:23 AM PST by WinOne4TheGipper (Merry Fizzlemas, DUmmies!)
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To: SoFloFreeper
I'd like to see every liberal justice end their term by the time of the next election. Either by retirment or by having God retire them. I fiugure darth vader ginsburg and stevens would be the next ones to go. Hopefully other quickly after that.
32 posted on 11/01/2005 8:14:55 AM PST by John O (God Save America (Please))
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To: Hoodlum91

Senator Inhofe while touring OK this summer said the same thing about Stevens leaving at the end of the year.


33 posted on 11/01/2005 8:16:08 AM PST by PhiKapMom (AOII MOM -- Istook for OK Governor in 2006! Allen in 2008!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Stevens is about 100 years old - he retires or expires next, I'd imagine.


34 posted on 11/01/2005 8:16:50 AM PST by HitmanLV (Listen to my demos for Savage Nation contest: http://www.geocities.com/mr_vinnie_vegas/index.html)
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To: SoFloFreeper
If that is the case, conservatives MUST gain seats in the Senate in 2006......regardless of our anger over Bush's tilts to the left.

The key to turning this country around is getting a solid conservative majority on the high court. Oh dear God, let it happen.

35 posted on 11/01/2005 9:12:28 AM PST by alnick
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To: SoFloFreeper

I'm hoping Ginsburg gets impeached, so she'll be next.


36 posted on 11/01/2005 10:14:09 AM PST by b4its2late (If at first you don't succeed, redefine success.)
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Precisely my point. They have no argument.


37 posted on 11/01/2005 11:23:19 AM PST by zendari
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To: Smelly_Fed
I'd say the moderate Stevens is a safe bet to be the next replacement, simply due to his age. You're right though, the Ginsberg replacement is looming and it'll be a huge fight.
"Moderate Stevens"?
He is considered the leader of the liberal wing of the Court.

 
38 posted on 11/30/2005 1:49:06 PM PST by counterpunch (~ Let O'Connor Go Home! ~)
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