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Incredibly LOW Voter Turnout Today In South Florida (Bad News For Katherine Harris?)
Self | September 5, 2006 | PJ-Comix

Posted on 09/05/2006 2:06:36 PM PDT by PJ-Comix

I voted less than an hour ago. When I entered my polling station, I was the ONLY voter in there. On my way out I remarked that the turnout seemed light and guessed only a hundred folks had voted there up until then. The poll worker then told me I was number 14 voting today. I thought she was kidding but she assured me she was not. Since I figure my precinct must have at least a couple of thousand registered voters, I figure there will be only a about a 2 percent turnout.

One reason for the low turnout is that today follows Labor Day, not exactly a great day to schedule an election. Also it has been raining a lot all day. On top of that the Palmetto Freeway has been closed down Northbound in northern Dade County due to a gasoline spill from a truck.

So how does that bode for the prospects of Katherine Harris? Not good. The main reason that I voted today was to cast a ballot for Leroy Collins. Why? Well, just as the tail end of the Collins radio commercials have been saying: "SHE CAN'T WIN!!!"

If Collins wins the primary, whoever produced that radio commercial should win an award for creativity. I first heard the Collins radio commercial last week. The first part of it is like any other forgettable political commercial which lists the attributes of the candidate. I can't even tell you what was said. However, it was the woman yelling loudly at the end that got my attention: "SHE CAN'T WIN!!!" Not only did it make me laugh but I actually looked forward to hearing it again.

So why did I cast my ballot for Collins instead of McBride? The biggest reason is that McBride was MIA. I have heard zip from him. Hey, if he was serious about running then he should have made some sort of EFFORT. Therefore I went with Collins because he made an effort with that BRILLIANT radio commercial. Hopefully, if he wins, that creativity will be used in the campaign against Bill Nelson.

Motivation will count for a lot today in who votes and IMHO, ensuring that a WINNABLE Senatorial candidate is nominated will be a motive for those battling the lousy weather and heavy traffic today.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; Society
KEYWORDS: elections; katherineharris; leroycollins; voteforclaudekirk
Okay, you Katherine Harris bitter enders may now begin your posts telling me how shallow I am for basing my vote on a funny radio commercial.
1 posted on 09/05/2006 2:06:39 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
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To: PJ-Comix

I'm not a bitter ender, but it's just interesting to see the power of broadcast time--if someone hears someone's ad, whatever the content, they get a vote. Which is why whichever party spends the most wins.


2 posted on 09/05/2006 2:09:56 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: PJ-Comix

You have to factor in the absentee voters which have yet to be accounted for.


3 posted on 09/05/2006 2:11:13 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (There is no alternative to the GOP except varying degrees of insanity.)
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To: Darkwolf377

Well, I don't think that Harris can win in the general election. So then the choice came down between McBride and Collins. Since I have seen and heard zip from McBride it tells me he isn't making the effort to win. OTOH, Collins BRILLIANT radio commercial tells me he IS making the effort. Oh, and it is refreshing to actually hear an interesting radio commercial. Well, actually the Collins commercial sounds like your standard political commercial except for the tail end where some loud woman yells: "SHE CAN'T WIN!!!"


4 posted on 09/05/2006 2:13:36 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

I don't even recall getting an absentee ballot in the mail. What's up with that?


5 posted on 09/05/2006 2:14:34 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix
I would have voter for her just for this pic and a "R" by her name.

How shallow is that? :)

6 posted on 09/05/2006 2:17:00 PM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: PJ-Comix
I've never gotten an absentee ballot in the mail either, that's probably because I didn't request one.

I'll be requesting one this year though.

7 posted on 09/05/2006 2:17:25 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (There is no alternative to the GOP except varying degrees of insanity.)
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To: Darkwolf377

Don't underestimate effort. In high school we had a guy run for student body president. A completely meaningless job. Except it does teach kids a bit about politics. Okay, so this guy had lots of qualifications but he NEVER asked for our vote. He considered it demeaning. Meanwhile the "shallow" guy won because he actually asked for our vote even though it was for an utterly meaningless post. Oh, and the loser went into a deep depression. The guy couldn't figure out why he lost. DUhhhhh!!!


8 posted on 09/05/2006 2:18:19 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix
OTOH, Collins BRILLIANT radio commercial tells me he IS making the effort.

I dunno, all that tells me is he had the coin to spend. He dropped it at a commercial house which came up with a bunch of commercials, and his people picked one. I don't think that says a thing about him making the effort, or how he would act in office, and it doesn't seem a particularly good way to pick a candidate.

9 posted on 09/05/2006 2:19:18 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: PJ-Comix
Okay, you Katherine Harris bitter enders may now begin your posts telling me how shallow I am for basing my vote on a funny radio commercial.

I'm glad you braved the rain and traffic to cast your vote today.

10 posted on 09/05/2006 2:19:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Katherine Harris for U.S. Senate)
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To: TexasCajun

I once voted for a female judicial candidate because she rubbed my back and tummy outside of an early voting center. How shallow is that?


11 posted on 09/05/2006 2:19:46 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: Darkwolf377

Collins SPENT money for the commercial. What did McBride do? As far as I can see, NADA. I have to go with a candidate who I can see will make an EFFORT in the general election.


12 posted on 09/05/2006 2:21:18 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix

Was it as good for you as it was for her?


13 posted on 09/05/2006 2:21:52 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter ( I am sitting under my cone of silence, inside a copper wire cage wearing a tin foil hat...)
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To: NautiNurse

How is the weather in SW Florida? Rainy too?


14 posted on 09/05/2006 2:22:05 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix

It's amazing what a little female attention does to a man.


15 posted on 09/05/2006 2:22:35 PM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: PJ-Comix
I'm not underestimating effort. But come on, do you really think he had anything to do with getting that ad on the air? I have a close friend who works for one of the potential 2008 prez candidates, and he works every day of the week, usually for up to 18 hours. The candidate knows he exists, but he certainly doesn't check his work.

We all have the right to our own basis for picking someone to vote for, but I don't see how this is any evidence of someone who'd be good in the job. One of his staff picked a production house, and then picked the ad. OK, you could say he's good at picking staffers but when we use that as a basis for a vote we're really getting far from the abilities one needs to work in congress.

16 posted on 09/05/2006 2:22:39 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: gov_bean_ counter

I was a little sorry that a female judicial candidate from the last election named Schwarzenreich wasn't running this year. She was really hot. A tummie rub from her would have convinced me to cast my ballot in her direction. At the last election, all that showed up at the early voting center was her hubby. Bummer.


17 posted on 09/05/2006 2:24:07 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix
Collins SPENT money for the commercial. What did McBride do?

OK, so that's the level we're at now--someone deserves a vote because he can afford to buy commercial time? Did McBride have the money to spend?

I vote on the candidate's issues. I don't vote because one of his underlings spent money other people earned and donated.

18 posted on 09/05/2006 2:24:15 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: Darkwolf377

Hey. For me it came down to a choice between Collins and McBride. I heard a funny commercial from Collins and NOTHING from McBride. I want a winner who demonstrates motivation. And that's how I made my decision. (BTW, I am wondering if the audio of the Collins commercial is on the Web. It's quite funny at the end.)


19 posted on 09/05/2006 2:26:35 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix
How is the weather in SW Florida? Rainy too?

We had a massive downpour that ended 10 minutes before we left the house to join Katherine Harris to wave signs this afternoon. As soon as we got there, the clouds broke, and the blue skies and sunshine appeared. We had a great time, with overwhelming support from the passersby!

20 posted on 09/05/2006 2:27:20 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Katherine Harris for U.S. Senate)
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To: Darkwolf377

I vote on issues AND winnability. Thus I went with Collins.


21 posted on 09/05/2006 2:27:24 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: NautiNurse

It has rained all day here in Palm Beach county.


22 posted on 09/05/2006 2:31:37 PM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: TexasCajun
She will have to do a "Lady Godiva" to win in the general election
23 posted on 09/05/2006 2:37:27 PM PDT by MilspecRob (Most people don't act stupid, they really are.)
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To: ClaireSolt

Turnout will be at record lows. Motivated Republicans are the ones who want to vote against Harris. Motivated voters are more likely to fight the weather. This lousy weather is going to skew things so much that I think the pre-election polls will be way off.


24 posted on 09/05/2006 2:38:38 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: Darkwolf377

One of the most motivated politicians that I remember from childhood here in Florida was a guy named Chuck Hall. He held a bunch of local offices (although he lost his congressional race). Anyway, Hall was EVERYWHERE. For example, I remember when my dad took me to see a local boxing match and there was Chuck Hall mingling with the audience, including my father with whom he chatted up for several minutes. Then following each boxing match, Hall made sure to hand out a few bucks to both the boxers. I still remember Chuck Hall at a whole bunch of events with his thick crop of slicked back hair. He looked like a well groomed gentleman but he wasn't shy about mingling with the herd. So guess who my father voted for in all elections but one that Hall ran in? Oh, and the one time my father didn't vote for Hall, he felt like crap afterwards. Years later, when Chuck Hall died, my father mourned him and said he still felt terrible that he failed to vote for Hall that one time.


25 posted on 09/05/2006 2:47:22 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix

When I saw the date of the primary, I thought it was a really dumb idea to have it right after Labor Day and the FSU/Miami game. Why is the primary so late in Florida?


26 posted on 09/05/2006 2:53:05 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Go Sooners!)
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To: PhiKapMom

Yeah. Day after Labor Day is a DOPEY day to schedule a primary.


27 posted on 09/05/2006 3:05:45 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix

A bit off subject here, but the other day I was looking at some granola item in the Supercenter and this drop-dead gorgeous woman walked up to me and said "I LOVE those! Try them!" If this chick had told me "Hey, these Kibbles and Bits are delicious in a bowl of milk", I'd have thrown a sack of them in my cart and headed for the dairy aisle!


28 posted on 09/05/2006 3:38:13 PM PDT by mozarky2 (Ya never stand so tall as when ya stoop to stomp a statist!)
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To: PJ-Comix
I vote on issues AND winnability. Thus I went with Collins.
Nearly everyone does. After all, few vote for any other than the Republican or the Democratic candidate . . .

29 posted on 09/05/2006 3:40:08 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: PJ-Comix

Now THAT is a politician who made an effort. Great story.


30 posted on 09/05/2006 4:34:46 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: PJ-Comix
she has 50% of the vote so far... (drudge) http://www.palmbeachpost.com/local_news/content/gen/nospider/channels/politics/local_elections.html#001BC-FL-GOP-Gov-Sum
31 posted on 09/05/2006 5:52:26 PM PDT by dubie
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To: PJ-Comix
Yeah. Day after Labor Day is a DOPEY day to schedule a primary.

Well I voted last Thursday....there is a thing called early voting here in Columbia county,it works out quite well.

32 posted on 09/05/2006 6:28:08 PM PDT by oldsalt (There's no such thing as a free lunch.)
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To: PJ-Comix

Lots of people vote by absentee ballots .

Harris won by 60% !

That Quinnepec Poll predicted she would win by only 38% .


33 posted on 09/06/2006 2:37:56 AM PDT by marc costanzo ("Pity the Poor Souls who know not Victory nor Defeat" - - T.R.)
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To: marc costanzo

And thus ends the short political career of Leroy Collins Jr.. Well, at least he did come up with a FUnnie radio ad. Thanx for the laughs, Leroy.


34 posted on 09/06/2006 3:07:39 AM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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To: PJ-Comix

>>And thus ends the short political career of Leroy Collins Jr.. Well, at least he did come up with a FUnnie radio ad. Thanx for the laughs, Leroy.<<

I live in California, clear across the continent, so I cannot appreciate that radio ad , too bad :-(


35 posted on 09/06/2006 3:16:21 AM PDT by marc costanzo ("Pity the Poor Souls who know not Victory nor Defeat" - - T.R.)
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To: marc costanzo

Very low turnout - I voted in Palm Beach County at 5:30, there was only one other voter there. I expected a small (primary) crowd of people stopping on the way home from work.


36 posted on 09/06/2006 4:10:32 AM PDT by sig226 (There are 10 kinds of people in the world: those who understand binary and those who do not.)
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To: sig226

>>Very low turnout - I voted in Palm Beach County at 5:30, there was only one other voter there. I expected a small (primary) crowd of people stopping on the way home from work.<<

Well, okay, this is a primary, not the election itself !

Most of the other candidates were not viable contenders,
at least as I see it ~ but then again I cannot vote there anyway .


37 posted on 09/06/2006 6:51:51 PM PDT by marc costanzo (Binary: you are either for or against, there should be another way)
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To: BigSkyFreeper
I've never gotten an absentee ballot in the mail either, that's probably because I didn't request one. I'll be requesting one this year though.

I'll be requesting one too. I plan on being very busy on November 7.
38 posted on 09/07/2006 12:34:14 PM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
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To: marc costanzo
Harris won by 60% !

That Quinnipiac Poll predicted she would win by only 38% .


Quinnipiac's last poll had Harris ahead of McBride by 16%.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x12942.xml?ReleaseID=957

She wound up winning by about 19%.

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/Elections/ResultsArchive/Enight.asp

That's pretty accurate.
39 posted on 09/07/2006 12:44:41 PM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
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To: Happy Valley Dude

>>September 5, 2006 Primary Election
Republican Primary

UNOFFICIAL ELECTION NIGHT RETURNS
(may not include absentee or provisional ballots)

United States Senator
LeRoy Collins Jr. Katherine Harris William "Will" McBride Peter Monroe
Total 146,029 471,682 286,882 50,962
% Votes 15.3% 49.4% 30.0% 5.3%

<<

These results are unofficial and do not include absentee ballots !


40 posted on 09/07/2006 4:20:58 PM PDT by marc costanzo ("The Only Poll that counts, is the one at the Ballot Box" - - Truman)
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To: Happy Valley Dude

>>"If Rep. Harris had only one opponent she might be in deep trouble. But having three candidates splitting the anti-Harris vote is a major plus for her," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.



I find the above conclusion to be highly biased !



"So she's sitting on a 16-point lead a week before the voting in a race where there has been little movement - all in all, a good place to be."


"Harris has a cadre of strong supporters that might be especially important in what is expected to be a relatively low-turnout primary. Only a third of her supporters say they might change their mind and vote for one of the other candidates," Brown added.


But even among likely primary voters - the GOP hardcore - she has higher negatives than might be expected for a candidate for statewide office. Only 36 percent of likely primary voters rate her favorably, while 25 percent view her unfavorably; 22 percent have a mixed opinion and 14 percent say they haven't heard enough about her to form an opinion. Each of her three opponents are so little known that none has more than 18 percent rating him favorably.


By comparison, Florida Attorney General Charlie Crist, who leads the race for the party's gubernatorial nomination, is viewed favorably by 51 percent, negatively by 11 percent. Even Tom Gallagher, who is trailing Crist by more than 20 points in the latest Quinnipiac University poll, is viewed favorably by 32 percent, unfavorably by 17 percent.


From August 23 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 317 Florida likely Republican primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percentage points.


The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks


7. (If registered Republican) If the 2006 Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Katherine Harris, LeRoy Collins Jr., Peter Monroe and William McBride for whom would you vote? (If undecided q7) As of today, do you lean more toward Harris, Collins Jr., Monroe or McBride? This table includes Leaners.


LIKELY REPUBLICAN
PRIMARY VOTERS

Harris 38%
Collins Jr. 11
Monroe 3
McBride 22
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) -
DK/NA 24



I find their information questionable !


41 posted on 09/07/2006 4:24:10 PM PDT by marc costanzo ("The Only Poll that counts, is the one at the Ballot Box" - - Truman)
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To: MilspecRob

>>She will have to do a "Lady Godiva" to win in the general election<<

That is a cheap shot !


42 posted on 09/07/2006 4:24:46 PM PDT by marc costanzo ("The Only Poll that counts, is the one at the Ballot Box" - - Truman)
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To: marc costanzo
I find their information questionable !

When a candidate with very high name ID cannot get a majority of the vote in the primary despite being challenged by unknowns, it it not a good sign. Had only one viable candidate challenged Mrs. Harris, there certainly is the possibility that Governor Bush and and many others would have gotten behind that person.

All of that is irrelevant now. It is important for everyone to get behind the Republican ticket 100%. Even if your preferred candidate didn't win in one of the races, it is important to work for the party's Get Out The Vote effort, which will help all candidates.
43 posted on 09/08/2006 5:05:15 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
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To: Happy Valley Dude

>> When a candidate with very high name ID cannot get a majority of the vote in the primary despite being challenged by unknowns, it it not a good sign. Had only one viable candidate challenged Mrs. Harris, there certainly is the possibility that Governor Bush and and many others would have gotten behind that person.

All of that is irrelevant now. It is important for everyone to get behind the Republican ticket 100%. Even if your preferred candidate didn't win in one of the races, it is important to work for the party's Get Out The Vote effort, which will help all candidates.<<

She clearly won the primary, so obviusly we should get behind Harris, win or lose !

I also support Spencer of Yonkers NY in his struggle to win the Senate seat now occupied by Hillary !


44 posted on 09/09/2006 3:28:08 AM PDT by marc costanzo
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To: marc costanzo
She clearly won the primary, so obviusly we should get behind Harris, win or lose !

I agree. That's why I spent a few hours yesterday going door-to-door trying to get Republicans to fill out absentee ballot applications. I'm probably be out again next Saturday.
45 posted on 09/10/2006 7:17:14 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
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