Posted on 11/17/2006 6:12:42 AM PST by edcoil
OK, so it's an estimate based upon a guessed cost of components. I don't believe for a second that Sony is going to put a product on the market that costs them more to produce than they earn on the sale. In business that's called suicide. Without knowledge of Sony's negotiated prices with suppliers the guess is isn't worth much.
Now, having said that, I think they would they produce the first units at a loss expecting the unit price to drop at the manufacturing becomes more efficient. But according to iSuppli's analysis, Sony will never make a profit on the PS3. Sorry, I'm still skeptical.
LOL!
I have an aunt who told me of getting into a snatching fight with another woman over some doll that was popular back in the mid-60's, so this is nothing new.
I guess the short supply of these things around Christmas, followed by the ensuing violence generates free publicity.
It is NO accident that there is always a limited supply before Christmas.
John Edwards can get it for you cheaper at Wal-Mart.
Heck, just think of the yearly fights as some stores open for their Christmas sales. It's crazy.
But then, I can think of no better way to honor the birth of Jesus than raining blows down upon the man or woman who tried to grab the sale item I was going after.
"I don't believe for a second that Sony is going to put a product on the market that costs them more to produce than they earn on the sale. In business that's called suicide."
Could be they're banking on keeping the price on the unit low enough so that they can recoup and profit on game sales. Don't know for sure, but I'd guess the margins on the games are pretty high.
$75 S&H? LOL.
It was pointed out to me on another thread that the royalties and fees for the games sales could help makeup the difference. Like cell phone hardware being the loss leader for the service contract.
But if that's the case then my original point, that consumer complaints about the hardware cost and poor sales following the holiday (big if), would lead to the price of the PS3 by next summer being dramatically reduced.
It is similar to selling razors and razor blades. The razor might be cheap, but the razor blades are expensive. Games at $59.99, extra controllers, and other accessories that have jacked up prices. Plus Sony is trying to get Blu-Ray players established in people homes instead of HD-DVD (Toshiba). Large companies are willing to take an upfront loss for future profits. Sony is gambling literally billions of dollars on their gaming unit. If the PS3 fails, Sony could be in trouble.
Thats the nature of the beast. The real money is not made on the equipment anyways its made on accesories and games. iSupply is right on when considering the fact you have new technologies in the cell processor(which is only getting 30% yields), a top of the line power pc processor, a brand new format and drive and controllers that are newly designed. The turn around on profit on the machine itself will not happen until manufacturing each component drops precipitously then you will see a price drop on the machine as a whole. If you actually think they are making money on the machine right now then I suggest you do some research.
I forgot to mention MS lost 4 billion on the original x-box, and they readily admitted to it. They said in order for them to take over the business they had to overspend. Its a common business tactic when entering a new market if you are a major company.
"Sony is intentionally under supplying the market to create hype."
As was pointed out to me which I included in post 48, the system is brining in more money than just the hardware. Sony may be taking a loss on the hardware (although I'm still skeptical of any analysis that doesn't include Sony's internal cost numbers) but I'll garantee they are not taking a loss on the project as a whole. And upon considering other income sources, that point seems appropriate. So that takes me back to my original assertion, which you refuted by using the hardware costs, that the console price may well drop, like the PS1 and PS2 did, within a year of their introduction. I guess only the reality of time will tell.
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