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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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1 posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:14 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative

First!?


2 posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:51 PM PDT by KoRn (Just Say NO ....To Liberal Republicans - FRED THOMPSON FOR PRESIDENT!)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

GO SOX !!!!!!!!!!!!!!


3 posted on 10/23/2007 5:51:22 PM PDT by dfwddr (Duncan Hunter '08 -- the real thing.)
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To: #1CTYankee; Airborne1986; AmericanMade1776; andy58-in-nh; beansox; big'ol_freeper; bikepacker67; ...

I just noticed we've been using the ALCS thread for WS stuff.

4 posted on 10/23/2007 5:52:53 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Go Red Sox!!!!!!

5 posted on 10/23/2007 5:53:03 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

They are starting the game six minutes earlier on Thursday because they know that Schilling has a slower delivery.


6 posted on 10/23/2007 5:57:44 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 34 days away from outliving Freddie Mercury)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
better dead than red.
7 posted on 10/23/2007 6:05:41 PM PDT by the invisib1e hand (Keep The Heat On Hillary.)
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To: All

Game 1 Notes

Hall of Famer Carl Yastrzemski, who won Baseball’s Triple Crown and the American League Most Valuable Award in 1967, will throw out the ceremonial first pitch prior to Game 1 of the 2007 World Series on Wednesday night at Fenway Park.

John Williams, reknowned American composer and conductor and five-time Academy Award winner will conduct America’s orchestra, the Boston Pops, in the playing of the Star Spangled Banner prior to Game One. Recording artist Ashanti, will sing God Bless America during the seventh inning stretch.

Yastrzemski, who amassed 3,419 hits and 452 home runs in a 23-year major league career, will be joined by manager Dick Williams and 20 players from the 1967 Impossible Dream Red Sox: Mike Andrews, Gary Bell, Dennis Bennett, Darrell Brandon, Galen Cisco, Hank Fischer, Russ Gibson, Dalton Jones, Bill Landis, Jim Landis, Jim Lonborg, Dave Morehead, Jerry Moses, Rico Petrocelli, Bill Rohr, Jose Santiago, Norm Siebern, Lee Stange, Jerry Stephenson, and George Thomas. Richie Conigliaro, the brother of the late Tony Conigliaro, will also participate in the pre-game ceremony.

There will also be a flyover from the 158 Fighter Wing of the Vermont National Guard.

8 posted on 10/23/2007 6:07:17 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Oh well, it happens!

Go Sox!!!

9 posted on 10/23/2007 6:07:48 PM PDT by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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To: dfwddr

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1915355/posts


10 posted on 10/23/2007 6:08:41 PM PDT by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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To: KoRn
Why not get a Super Bowl thread going too?

ML/NJ

11 posted on 10/23/2007 6:53:58 PM PDT by ml/nj
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To: GraniteStateConservative

I’m a die hard Cub fan (flame suit ready) but I’ve been rooting for the BoSox through the playoffs. They used to be just like us (no WS for close to 100 years)if it can happen to them, maybe it can happen to us.

Plus I’m just a passionate baseball fan and man do I love watching Beckett pitch. Curt Schilling being a pubbie is pretty cool too.

So, go Sox and it sux that in a week and a half, I’ve gotta wait for months to see baseball again.


12 posted on 10/23/2007 7:26:48 PM PDT by marine86297 (I'll never forgive Clinton for Somalia, my blood is on his hands)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
The Colorado Rockies have voted to give a share to the widow of Mike Coolbaugh.

The Tulsa Driller (Rockies farm team) coach was killed this season by a line drive to his head.

Rockies are a class act and I hope they win.

There are 13 former Tulsa Drillers on the Colorado Rockies.

13 posted on 10/23/2007 7:51:52 PM PDT by battlegearboat
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Did AccuScore predict the Rockies winning 21 of their last 22 games?

That’s what I thought...


14 posted on 10/23/2007 8:02:51 PM PDT by TheRealDBear
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Go Boston BSoxs from Biggirl!!!!

My prediction: Boston in 5 games taking the championship. :)


15 posted on 10/23/2007 8:14:51 PM PDT by Biggirl (A biggirl with a big heart for God's animal creation.)
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To: All

Sorry for the typo, it should be, Go Boston RSoxs!!!!


16 posted on 10/23/2007 8:16:06 PM PDT by Biggirl (A biggirl with a big heart for God's animal creation.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Gag-me is STILL on the roster? If Francona needed an 11th pitcher, why not Tavarez?

At any rate, LET’S GET IT ON!!!


17 posted on 10/23/2007 8:25:35 PM PDT by ssaftler (Which Al is more deadly: Al Qaeda or Al Gore?)
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To: TheRealDBear

Strange arithmetic on Game 3....


18 posted on 10/23/2007 8:38:53 PM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Why would the Red Sox pick Kyle Snyder over Julian Tavarez for the final pitchers spot? Tavarez can definitely pitch more innings with a better result than what Snyder can do IMHO. I pick Colorado to sweep Boston, but I do hope that I’m wrong on this and that the series ends up going the full seven games no matter who ends up winning it. The TV ratings should be decent with the Boston Red Sox still in it.


19 posted on 10/23/2007 8:42:31 PM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore
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To: marine86297
Everyone has heard how slow the computers were in selling World Series tickets for the Rockies.

The only thing slower is the computer selling World Series tickets for the Cubbies...
20 posted on 10/23/2007 10:13:10 PM PDT by politicket
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Well I got a good night’s sleep last night because we’re not going to get much of it.


21 posted on 10/24/2007 2:08:17 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: GraniteStateConservative

It seems if Deval Patrick isn’t much of a Red Sox fan(shocking)

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2007/10/24/governor_fouls_off_questions_on_home_team/


22 posted on 10/24/2007 5:17:20 AM PDT by GQuagmire (Giggety,Giggety,Giggety)
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To: GQuagmire
It seems if Deval Patrick isn’t much of a Red Sox fan(shocking)

Well, I won't harrass him for that. Not everybody cares about baseball. It's not like there is a requirement that the governor of a state has to be a fan of every professional sport in that state.

Heck, even in New York City, the Mets hardly ever got an encouraging word from Giuliani when he was mayor.

Rooodi, by the way, is cheering for the Red Sox in this World Series. I, on the other hand, would like to see the National League do well, so I am pulling for the Rockies.

23 posted on 10/24/2007 5:28:55 AM PDT by CT-Freeper (Said the frequently disappointed but ever optimistic Mets fan.)
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To: CT-Freeper

You are right,but if you’re going to make public comments about the team, take five or ten minutes before you face the press and get a few facts before sounding like a dope.


24 posted on 10/24/2007 5:31:15 AM PDT by GQuagmire (Giggety,Giggety,Giggety)
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To: TheRealDBear

They predicted them to make the World Series, and that was pretty unpredictable.


25 posted on 10/24/2007 5:38:50 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: ssaftler

I think that Tavarez may not be available physically. Because Tito selected both Gagne and Snyder over him and Tavarez seemed to be a no-brainer for the WS games in Denver.


26 posted on 10/24/2007 5:43:17 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

I think that Tavarez may not be available physically. Because Tito selected both Gagne and Snyder over him and Tavarez seemed to be a no-brainer for the WS games in Denver.


27 posted on 10/24/2007 5:45:25 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: TheRealDBear

The Rockies have lost a grand total of 1, count ‘em, 1 game over the past 39 days.


28 posted on 10/24/2007 6:47:17 AM PDT by So Cal Rocket
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To: So Cal Rocket

Cool, they’re obviously way over due :)


29 posted on 10/24/2007 6:53:34 AM PDT by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
30 posted on 10/24/2007 8:29:17 AM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: GraniteStateConservative

The 1967 A.L. pennant race ... the best ever.


31 posted on 10/24/2007 8:33:55 AM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: La Enchiladita

Hope you are out of harms way and can check in tonight.


32 posted on 10/24/2007 8:47:54 AM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Rudy being Rudy

33 posted on 10/24/2007 9:14:41 AM PDT by llevrok (Born a ham and never cured.)
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To: marine86297
I’m a die hard Cub fan

You have one of my all time favorite managers in Lou (formerly of my home town Mariners). There is hope!!

34 posted on 10/24/2007 9:16:14 AM PDT by llevrok (Born a ham and never cured.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Thanks for putting up this World Series thread. Were you going to put up a thread every day or will this be the ongoing thread for the entire series? If this is the main live thread for the series, then I will earmark it.


35 posted on 10/24/2007 10:09:21 AM PDT by randita
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To: randita

Yeah, it’s the whole series thread. The ALCS thread hit 3000+ posts and it was kind of neat that it was so massive.


36 posted on 10/24/2007 10:18:37 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

if i were colorado the only thing i would be doing is going back to that one game that cut the streak in two, and see what went wrong. im glad to see a team like colorado make it to the WS, but theyre going to lose in six. go sox!


37 posted on 10/24/2007 10:28:13 AM PDT by Disciplinemisanthropy (...and that, people, is what grinds my gears.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative; misterrob; big'ol_freeper; #1CTYankee; nutmeg; Boston Blackie; ...
The DH Issue:

In game 3 at Coors Field, who sits for the Red Sox, Youkilis, Ortiz, or Lowell? Youk had a hot bat in the ALCS. Ortiz big bat protects Manny as Manny bat protects Ortiz, and taking Lowell's out of the line up hurts too.

Youk and Lowell are interchangeable at third. I don't think you put Ortiz anywhere else except at first base. Will Francona put Lowell or Youk in the outfield?

This will probably come down to game day decisions by Francona. Tito should start the 2 hottest bats.



What say you?

38 posted on 10/24/2007 10:53:55 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel
"What say you?"

Listened to an interview at lunch with Francona, depends on Ortiz's knee, if he can play first it will be Lowell sitting Youk at third. He won't even entertain the thought of Youk in the outfield or Lowell and second.

39 posted on 10/24/2007 11:18:31 AM PDT by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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To: Red Steel

I think all 3 will sit one game out but be the pinch hitter when needed. Youk will certainly be Ortiz’ defensive replacement.


40 posted on 10/24/2007 11:28:25 AM PDT by misterrob (Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
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To: GQuagmire

Just like Kerry, who was asked about a fave Boston player
(from the past) and he mentioned “Eddie Yost”. Yost
never played for the Sox (but was a 3B or 1B coach
for a few years) and of course there’s:

“I tell ya...Manny Ortez (sic) and...uh...y’know...uh...
Manny Ortez (sic)—DAVID Ortez and...”

http://liveshot.cc/Audio/Manny%20Ortez.mp3


41 posted on 10/24/2007 11:49:08 AM PDT by raccoonradio (Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
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To: raccoonradio

And of course Fatboy...Mike McGwire..Sammy Soocer...cue the booze flowing,Happy


42 posted on 10/24/2007 11:51:46 AM PDT by GQuagmire (Giggety,Giggety,Giggety)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Thanks for the ping! I’m so excited I can’t wait for this work day to end. I hope rain isn’t too much of an issue tonight.


43 posted on 10/24/2007 12:03:39 PM PDT by UlmoLordOfWaters
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To: GQuagmire

Yup...Bob Hedlund (fill in for today on ‘RKO) mentinoed
Ted K saying “Mike McGwire, Sammy Sooser” but he incorrectly said that Ted was talking about Kerry. Actually I believe
he was talking about Meehan and Markey...

Note: Red Sox on radio
Red Sox radio network will have WEEI 850 tonight and
for game 6. Other games will be on flagship WRKO 680.
Other Red Sox network stations, AFAIK, can carry
the games but due to MLB regulations they have to carry
the ESPN coverage, not Sox network. (Though this does
not apply in Boston area—thus WBOQ Gloucester may
not have either Sox OR ESPN coverage—not sure...)


WTIC’s site now confirms it’ll have Sox via ESPN during the WS:
“Please note that all of the affiliates on the Red Sox Radio Network must carry the ESPN Radio broadcasts. This is per Major League Baseball. Only the flagship station, WRKO in Boston, can continue to broadcast their regular season broadcast team.” http://www.wtic.com
(note: ...add “WEEI” to “WRKO”, as in tonight and in game 6)

So I guess this also means if you’re up in Burl VT you can hear the ESPN feed on both WCAT 1390
(ESPN affiliate) and WJOY 1230 (Sox network affil.)...for example!


44 posted on 10/24/2007 12:04:46 PM PDT by raccoonradio (Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
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To: raccoonradio

FOX-TV will broadcast for fans who like video with the audio.


45 posted on 10/24/2007 12:37:49 PM PDT by La Enchiladita
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To: Boston Blackie

Thank you, Boston Blackie!
I am out of harm’s way, but air quality is very baaad....
Staying in and will be checking the Series tonight.


46 posted on 10/24/2007 12:39:25 PM PDT by La Enchiladita
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Thanks for the ping. I am reading on the MLB site, steady rain at Fenway tonight...:(


47 posted on 10/24/2007 12:41:19 PM PDT by La Enchiladita
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To: La Enchiladita
Latest from Boston.com:

More weather
By Amalie Benjamin, Globe Staff

"Just got off the phone with meteorologist Mark Rosenthal, and I wanted to report back on the potential weather implications of tonight.

He said that the forecast looks like occasional showers, with some downpour action. But, unlike when he looked at the forecast this morning, he thinks the game will be played tonight with the forecast becoming less threatening. There appears to be some rain around Western Pennsylvania and southwest of Washington that should be watched.

He predicted gametime temperatures of the low to mid 50s, chilly but not freezing."

Its been raining all day here in Northeastern Maryland, but recently stopped. Hopefully the weather will cooperate up in the Hub.

48 posted on 10/24/2007 12:51:18 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: All; Lil'freeper
From BDD:

Rox
Sox
Rox on Fox
Sox on Fox
Rox vs. Sox on Fox
Sox vs. Rox on Fox
Sox vs. Rox in Coors Bandbox

Sox have Jocks
Rox have Jocks
Jocks in Field or Batter's Box
Jocks with Money Box of Stocks
Papi strong as Wild Ox

Fox ex-Jocks sit in Press Box
Listen to Tim McCarver's Vox!
The insanity he Talks and Squawks
Joe Buck oughtta clean his Clocks

Rox beat Sox
Sox beat Rox

No one claims the games are Locks
And on some wood a Nation Knocks
But if the Rox Outfox the Sox
Or Gagne Walks or Beckett Balks
It surely would cause Mocks and Shocks
Requiring Whiskey on the Rocks


49 posted on 10/24/2007 1:00:12 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Once again the Rockies enter a series with no expectations. And oddly even though they keep winning and winning, it doesn’t change.

How many times did Beckett face the Rockies this year and win?
Who scored the most runs in their matchup?

The Rockies are the team of destiny. They are this year’s Marlins.


50 posted on 10/24/2007 1:10:53 PM PDT by romanesq
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