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Earliest Lake Superior freeze in recent memory
Duluth News Tribune ^ | December 26, 2008 | John Myers

Posted on 12/26/2008 7:41:10 AM PST by DManA

Ice has formed on Lake Superior off the Twin Ports and near Bayfield, among other places. It is the first time in years that ice has formed on the lake this early in the winter season.

The western tip of Lake Superior has frozen over in December for the first time in recent memory, and that could mean a long season of ice angling that hasn’t been seen in years. . . . Francisco said in the rare years recently when Lake Superior has partially frozen, it’s usually in February or early March, after months of cold weather. Anglers and ice skaters had a few weeks of good ice in February 2007, for example, before temperatures rose and the ice blew out. . . . Not only is December ice rare on Superior, but thick ice has become the exception during any winter month.

. . . December’s average temperature at the Duluth office of the National Weather Service has been an unusually cold9.3 degrees below normal, with a dozen nights below zero and one as cold as22 below.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; Outdoors; Weather
KEYWORDS: agw; globalcooling
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More proof of absolutely nothing.
1 posted on 12/26/2008 7:41:10 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA

Oh noz!


2 posted on 12/26/2008 7:41:58 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: DManA
More proof of absolutely nothing.

It indicates that those who know for sure are just as wrong as those who were wrong previously until they were proven correct.

3 posted on 12/26/2008 7:45:32 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (Too many conservatives urge retreat when the war of politics doesn't go their way.)
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To: DManA

But! it isn’t the first time...


4 posted on 12/26/2008 7:52:43 AM PST by thinking
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To: DManA

Must be due to global warming.


5 posted on 12/26/2008 7:56:41 AM PST by Paleo Conservative (Drill Here. Drill Now. Pay Less.)
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To: Erik Latranyi
For many years, I managed the fuel bunkering business with a small lighter vessel in Duluth/Superior Harbor with land based fuel stations at Two Harbors, Silver Bay and Taconite Harbor, MN. The coldest day of my life was a clear January day when I covered for one of my tankermen at Taconite Harbor; it was 25 below with a 30 mile an hour breeze coming off the lake. I'd had two or three cups of coffee and had two layers of coveralls on to ward off the chill. I had to stand on the oil pump dead pedal and listen to the two way radio while we put 75,000 gallons of hot oil aboard an ore carrier. It was something beyond cold...
6 posted on 12/26/2008 7:57:07 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: DManA

Where are the greenhouse gasses when you need them?


7 posted on 12/26/2008 7:58:36 AM PST by Dog Gone
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To: Paleo Conservative

Try to keep up PC. Now it’s “ global climatic disruption”.


8 posted on 12/26/2008 7:58:53 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA; WL-law; Genesis defender; proud_yank; FrPR; enough_idiocy; Desdemona; rdl6989; ...



Beam me to Planet Gore !

9 posted on 12/26/2008 8:00:20 AM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

I hear the carriers are putting up early this year. Slowing demand for ore.


10 posted on 12/26/2008 8:00:36 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA
Bush's Fault.

L

11 posted on 12/26/2008 8:01:13 AM PST by Lurker ("America is at that awkward stage. " Claire Wolfe, call your office.)
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To: Dog Gone

I’ve been doing my part by running my dirty two cycle snow blower every day.


12 posted on 12/26/2008 8:03:14 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA

What happened, did algorejr exhale some CO2 on it.


13 posted on 12/26/2008 8:04:43 AM PST by Waco (Oath? What oath?)
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To: DManA

And this morning in Kansas City, it’s about 50 degrees (after the deep-freeze we had last week).

Climate is what you expect... Weather is what you get!


14 posted on 12/26/2008 8:09:53 AM PST by MortMan (Those who stand for nothing fall for anything. - Alexander Hamilton)
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To: DManA

The government telling us several weeks ago that 2008 was the 9th warmest on record.

Either affirmative action is at work here or their bias is showing.


15 posted on 12/26/2008 8:13:06 AM PST by VeniVidiVici (All hail the Obamasiah! Kneel before Obamohammad!)
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To: DManA
More proof of absolutely nothing.

Shows what you know about Science. Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory (AGWT) is extremely robust with respect to data. All observations confirm it. Rain, snow, drought, warm weather or cool, all events confirm global warming, “with probability one.”

16 posted on 12/26/2008 8:14:13 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (The Democratic Party strongly supports full civil rights for necro-Americans.)
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To: VeniVidiVici
I was puzzled by that because several sources indicate 2008 was the COLDEST on record.
17 posted on 12/26/2008 8:19:26 AM PST by mad_as_he$$ (Nemo me impune lacessit.)
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To: DManA

I predict that at some point CN will scrap all but the 1000 footers and move most of the ore by rail. They own nearly all the pieces of railroad to do it. The big comittment would be for ore cars, which have to be specially built because of the weight of the ore.


18 posted on 12/26/2008 8:24:56 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets
we are all wrong. They are using the Bizzaro theory of Global warming.
19 posted on 12/26/2008 8:27:39 AM PST by JimC214
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

[Shows what you know about Science. Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory (AGWT) is extremely robust with respect to data. All observations confirm it. Rain, snow, drought, warm weather or cool, all events confirm global warming, “with probability one.” ]

Global Warming for certain periods has probability one, but Anthropogenic Global Warming has quite a bit of uncertainty and is in any event not the same as saying “all Global temperature changes are caused by humans”. The driving potential of the solar cycle is just now being separated from the anthropogenic effects and may well be the predominant factor.


20 posted on 12/26/2008 8:36:05 AM PST by FastCoyote (I am intolerant of the intolerable.)
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To: Paleo Conservative
Must be due to global warming.

It's now being called global climate change. That way they can sell those carbon credits if the temperatures go up or down.

21 posted on 12/26/2008 8:42:29 AM PST by TruthWillWin
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To: FastCoyote

A “theory” which is not falsifiable by observation is an ideology, not science. Karl Popper famously remarked that pyschoanalysis was an ideology not a scientific theory in that there is no observation that can refute any of its hypotheses.

Global Warming is kinda like that, rain, snow, drought, warm weather or cool, all events confirm global warming, “with probability one.”


22 posted on 12/26/2008 8:48:17 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (The Democratic Party strongly supports full civil rights for necro-Americans.)
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To: DManA

I’ve had five feet of snow since Dec. 1st where I live in Michigan. Clearly, not normal. Oh, and most of it will disappear with heavy rain and Thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow. Only in Michigan...


23 posted on 12/26/2008 8:50:08 AM PST by rintense
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To: DManA

Oh no, this is absolute proof that colder means warmer!


24 posted on 12/26/2008 8:52:29 AM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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To: TruthWillWin
It's now being called global climate change. That way they can sell those carbon credits if the temperatures go up or down.

But colder temperatures could make naked short selling of carbon credits less comfortable.

25 posted on 12/26/2008 8:58:40 AM PST by Paleo Conservative (Drill Here. Drill Now. Pay Less.)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

The 1000 footer yes but how can it be economic to maintain 800 miles of track when the lake is free?


26 posted on 12/26/2008 9:00:31 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA
I'm not sure about the cost of maintaining track. Trains require 3 or 4 guys to operate. Great Lakes carriers typically require 29 or 30 guys.
Rail runs year round. The Lake system operates March 28-January 14.
27 posted on 12/26/2008 9:03:13 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

Seems they are able to supply the demand in 10 months.

How many trains does it take to ship one 1000 footer’s worth?

(I don’t know, but I wonder).


28 posted on 12/26/2008 9:08:06 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA

I guess that means not as much lake effect snow for Indianhead this year.


29 posted on 12/26/2008 9:10:30 AM PST by irish guard
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To: SouthTexas
Oh no, this is absolute proof that colder means warmer!

I think you might have it bass ackwards. All of us weather scientist dudes know that warmer means colder.

30 posted on 12/26/2008 9:11:24 AM PST by dearolddad
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

If the direct reduction process proves economical they might just end up shipping pure iron and reduce the tonnage by half.


31 posted on 12/26/2008 9:12:18 AM PST by DManA
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To: DManA
I'm not sure how many cars of ore a single train can pull. It takes four engines to do a 110 car tail of coal from Gillette, WY to the Midwest. Coal cars carry 100 tons. Ore cars are usually 85 or 90. The 1000 footers carry about 60,000 tons more or less. Fuel costs are different, too.
Most of the ore carriers run on 280/320 CST black oil. Trains run on distillate. One round trip from the Lakehead to a SW Indiana steel mill consumes 75,000 gallons. Not sure of the RR's consumption.
32 posted on 12/26/2008 9:15:01 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: SouthTexas

Well, you see we had said in 1998 that temps would rise non-stop, we’d reached the tipping point. Oh, they haven’t? They’ve fallen? I got it, the MELTING of the poles has actually driven DOWN temps so that it’s MASKING the real warming that’s going on! See, once the ice is all melted then it will be EVEN HOTTER! So cold and ice are actually OUT OF CONTROL WARMING!


33 posted on 12/26/2008 9:15:56 AM PST by sobieski
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To: DManA
I heard there is a direct reduction project in the works on the Iron Range. Can't remember who is doing it.
BTW; I witnessed one of the very last shipments of red ore sail out of Tac Harbor aboard one of the Interlake boats.
34 posted on 12/26/2008 9:17:22 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: DManA

If this Global Warming doesn’t stop soon we’re all going to Freeze to Death.

Pray for America and Our Troops


35 posted on 12/26/2008 9:18:03 AM PST by bray (Gov Palin isn't corrupt enough for DC)
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To: irish guard

True. Most of the lake is still open though.


36 posted on 12/26/2008 9:18:04 AM PST by DManA
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To: dearolddad; tubebender
I think you might have it bass ackwards. All of us weather scientist dudes know that warmer means colder.

I stand corrected. LOL

37 posted on 12/26/2008 9:18:55 AM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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To: sobieski

There was a thread the other day where it was said that the melting ice IS using up all the heat, that’s why it’s colder!


38 posted on 12/26/2008 9:21:17 AM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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To: SouthTexas

Now that’s funny! Freezing is evidence of warming!

I hadn’t realized they were that craven.


39 posted on 12/26/2008 9:46:22 AM PST by sobieski
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To: sobieski
And no sunspots today...precursor to a new mini ice age

See http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/sunspots/

(Thats's a nascom not nascar)

40 posted on 12/26/2008 9:54:53 AM PST by spokeshave (0bambi wants to kill babies and raise taxes, Sarah wants to raise babies and kill taxes)
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To: sobieski

The colder it gets, the more freaked out they become. They are losing their “proof’ so have to come up with something else.

Total idiocy.


41 posted on 12/26/2008 9:55:24 AM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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To: DManA

This global warming thing is getting old... or should that be cold?


42 posted on 12/26/2008 10:07:54 AM PST by b4its2late (Ignorance allows liberalism to prosper.)
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To: SouthTexas

That’s why Hussein needs to ‘hit the ground running’ on GW, since colder weather is a direct his on it. They aren’t stupid, they know that we’re in for a cold spell.

It’s like Federal Motors selling Volts as gasoline goes to $1/gllon. A better bailout for GM et al would’ve been gas stamps to bridge the Fed induced lunacy of commodity price hikes.


43 posted on 12/26/2008 10:08:45 AM PST by sobieski
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Gore’s speechifying has stopped global warming.

He deserves another Nobel Prize.

I must say to Al, “I’m impressed!”
“You’ve completed each goal of your quest.
Temp records aren’t fooling,
They show the earth’s cooling.
Go back to your farm. Get a rest.”


44 posted on 12/26/2008 10:08:57 AM PST by syriacus (OBAMA'S CHOICE ----> is to leave a newborn's fate in the hands of 2 people who wanted to kill her.)
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To: spokeshave

Wow! Great site.

Is there aset of steps that represent us grinding into an Ice Age. I had read a 0.5 degree annual drop over 10 years, and we’ve done that in 2007 and 2008.


45 posted on 12/26/2008 10:10:32 AM PST by sobieski
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To: SouthTexas
Total idiocy.

He took the day off...

46 posted on 12/26/2008 10:21:33 AM PST by tubebender (Retirement...The art and science of Killing time before it Kills you...)
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To: SouthTexas

It’s almost like half the time it’s warmer than average and the other half it’s colder.


47 posted on 12/26/2008 10:47:11 AM PST by Dutch Boy
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To: DManA

“More proof of absolutely nothing.”

Technically corrrect. But the battle over Global Warming is partly science and partly PR.

The AGW folks have had great PR success with pictures of polar bears on icebergs (”The Last of the Polar Bears”) and reporting everytime Bambi breaks a sweat. No scientific merit at all. But great PR value.

For the AGW folks, the science is at best inconclusive. But they are desperately pushing for government and international treaties that will be almost impossible to undo if, as I expect, they turn out to be wrong. IMHO, their goal is socialism and GW is the horse they intend to ride there, regardless of scientific merit. So it is critical to them that they get there before the science is resolved. Hence, the use of terms like “deniers” and a shameless use of the grant process to silence debate.

They know the war they are fighting is political and scientific. If we constrain ourselves to a fight about science, we will have global governance, a UN with a permanent source of funding and will have transferred trillions of dollars

It is equally critical to lovers of freedom that we prevent irreversible actions by the government until we know whether the AGW folks can empirically validate their hypothesis on real data not known when the models were parameterized on, not just the backfit performance of parameterized computer models. That will probably take decades.

Stories like this help in the later regard. People make decisions all the time based on anecdotal evidence. Plus, ridicule is a powerful tool. Use it. It may be the only way to stave off the socialists until the science is in.


48 posted on 12/26/2008 11:33:04 AM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: tubebender

Sounds like a good idea!

think I’ll go find a BBQ or something.


49 posted on 12/26/2008 12:40:55 PM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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To: Dutch Boy

ROFLMAO and I doubt if they would get that.


50 posted on 12/26/2008 12:41:28 PM PST by SouthTexas (And a Blessed Christmas to all!)
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