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2007 VK184 Earth Impact Risk Summary [ 1 on the Torino Scale ]
NASA JPL Solar System Dynamics ^ | January 2008 to present | Near Earth Object Program

Posted on 07/15/2009 5:58:06 AM PDT by SunkenCiv

2007 VK184
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 1
Palermo Scale (maximum) -1.83
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -1.82
Impact Probability (cumulative) 3.4e-04
Number of Potential Impacts 4
Vimpact 19.19 km/s
Vinfinity 15.63 km/s
H 22.0
Diameter 0.130 km
Mass 3.3e+09 kg
Energy 1.5e+02 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
101 observations spanning 60.013 days
(2007-Nov-12.13904 to 2008-Jan-11.15189)
Orbit diagram and elements available here.

(Excerpt) Read more at neo.jpl.nasa.gov ...


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: 2007vk184; catastrophism; impact

Impact Probability: 3.4e-04

0.034000000% chance of Earth impact

or

1 in 2,940 chance

or

99.96600000% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth


1 posted on 07/15/2009 5:58:08 AM PDT by SunkenCiv
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To: 75thOVI; aimhigh; Alice in Wonderland; AndrewC; aragorn; aristotleman; Avoiding_Sulla; BBell; ...
 
Catastrophism
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2 posted on 07/15/2009 5:58:34 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: SunkenCiv

I’ll still drink beer like it’s my last days on earth! :)


3 posted on 07/15/2009 5:59:17 AM PDT by Travis T. OJustice (I can spell just fine, thanks, it's my typing that sucks.)
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To: SunkenCiv

WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!


4 posted on 07/15/2009 6:00:25 AM PDT by frithguild (Can I drill your head now?)
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To: SunkenCiv

*shrug*

It would be an improvement...


5 posted on 07/15/2009 6:00:48 AM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 176 of our national holiday from reality.)
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To: SunkenCiv

2048? I’ll be dead by then, so the rest of you will have to just man up and take your licks.


6 posted on 07/15/2009 6:04:50 AM PDT by ZX12R
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To: SunkenCiv

Bush’s fault!

And Cheney told NASA NOT to tell Congress. Pelosi wants a hearing.


7 posted on 07/15/2009 6:07:15 AM PDT by eCSMaster
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To: SunkenCiv

Very interesing. Thanks for posting.


8 posted on 07/15/2009 6:07:55 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: SunkenCiv

There may not be much left to destroy after 2004 MN4 (Apophis- interesting name) pays its visits(s)


9 posted on 07/15/2009 6:09:20 AM PDT by silverleaf (Save the earth. It's the only planet with chocolate!)
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To: SunkenCiv
We're doomed!

Photobucket

10 posted on 07/15/2009 6:25:33 AM PDT by b4its2late (Ignorance allows liberalism to prosper.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Not a world killer: It would hit with the energy of a large nuke. A 130m ateroid also could be substantially vaporized by a large nuke, and if hit early enough, few of the fragments would hit Earth.

In other words, WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!!


11 posted on 07/15/2009 7:50:48 AM PDT by piytar (Take back the language: Obama axing Chrystler dealers based on political donations is REAL fascism!)
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To: piytar
It would hit with the energy of a large nuke

The kinetic energy yield is listed at 150 Megatons. that's 3 times larger than any nuke we have ever touched off.

Admittedly this will ruin someone's day (most likely a patch of ocean), but it's not worth freaking out about.

12 posted on 07/15/2009 8:40:16 AM PDT by Centurion2000 (Only feces and dead fish go with the flow.)
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To: Centurion2000

Yeah, I goofed - used a 100m rock as a measure, not 130m. And didn’t look at the energy yield given.

OK, so a REALLY BIG nuke. Or a few.

But I stand by my statement that WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! (because, in the end, we all do...)


13 posted on 07/15/2009 9:27:11 AM PDT by piytar (Take back the language: Obama axing Chrystler dealers based on political donations is REAL fascism!)
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To: piytar
But I stand by my statement that WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! (because, in the end, we all do...)

On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.

Cheers

14 posted on 07/15/2009 2:40:43 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Only feces and dead fish go with the flow.)
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