TCJ’s polls in the other races are all in line with most major polls. Why would they make up results in Delaware?
She’s closed the gap somewhat; all the hysteria in the Coons’ campaign, including bringing in the big hitters and dumping more money in, would tend to verify that.
She’s in a position to make a race out of it. In the primary, she surged past Castle in the last fourteen days. The day before the election, she polled ahead of him by 2 or 3 points and won by 6. Ig she can get it under 5 by election day, i think she wins in one of the greatest upsets in political history.
And she will owe the RNC and the state GOP nothing! Their worst nightmare-a high profile Senator with impeccable Tea Party credentials who can thumb her nose at those RINO losers!
I think that the tcj polls are all made up, not just in Delaware. Or, they could be all made up. Have you actually ever seen a poll? or just numbers.
Hey, here’s the Truthfreedom poll. Christine is down by 4. It’s the best result yet. Everyone, go talk about how Christine is surging in the polls.
I happen to think the tcj research results are probably most accurate. But I see no evidence that an actual poll was actually taken. Usually, there’s either 1) reputation (in Rasmussens case) or 2) a fairly detailed pdf showing a whole bunch of numbers.
With TCJ there’s nothing of the sort. Now they’re saying they’re talking to 1000 likely voters. No actual poll data available anywhere, just one topline.
It just doesn’t look like a real poll to me - none of the TCJ polls leave the impression that they actually took a poll.
Don’t get me wrong, I’m not negative about Christine. I think she’ll win. I just don’t believe that TCJ is actually making phone calls. I think the “results” of the “poll” are more accurate than the polls that talked to so few Republicans and so many Democrats. The real polls can only guess who the likely voters are going to be. And they’ve been guessing that a lot of Democrats are going to vote. The early voting is showing that Republicans are voting and the Democrats aren’t.
One think that’s interesting about Delaware that isn’t really mentioned too much is that there’s only one state, Hawaii, with a smaller percentage of Conservatives. Delaware is 29% Conservative. Hawaii is 28% Conservative.
Rhode Island is 29%, Mass is 30% Conservative. No one on either side will deny Christine is a Conservative.
If Christine wins, and I think she will, it means a Conservative can win anywhere.
There really isn’t any big argument saying very much if she didn’t win. Some could argue that a Conservative couldn’t win in Delaware, Hawaii or Rhode Island.
There are more Conservatives in Maryland. More Conservatives in New York. More Conservatives in Vermont. More in Oregon. All of those states have US Senate races this year, and no one is talking about blaming Palin.
If we lose in Maryland, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we lose in Vermont, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we can’t defeat Schumer in NY, it’s the GOP’s fault. If we lose in Oregon, it’s the GOP’s fault. All of those states have more conservatives than Delaware.