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Monkeypox Risk Mapped
Emerging Health Threats ^ | Wednesday 17 November 2010

Posted on 11/26/2010 4:56:12 PM PST by nickcarraway

Hunting rope squirrels for food could be fuelling cases of monkeypox in the Congo basin

Researchers probing risk factors for human cases of monkeypox in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a ‘hotspot’ of the disease, found that people living near dense forests favoured by rope squirrels are more likely to contract the virus.

“Our finding... is consistent with the fact that rope squirrels are the only natural host that have been demonstrated to transmit the monkeypox virus directly to humans in Africa,” write Trevon Fuller and colleagues this month in EcoHealth.

The study suggests that the scant resources available for surveillance should focus on areas with a high density of rope squirrels to prevent monkeypox from spreading beyond the region, which has seen incidence rates of the disease soar over the past three decades.

This trend was documented in a previous study co-authored by scientists working with Fuller. The research also suggested that transmission of the virus from person to person may be on the rise, encouraged by the fall in immunity levels since the 1970s when vaccination against the closely related smallpox virus ended.

For the current study, Fuller and colleagues worked in the DRC’s Kasai Oriental Province, in Sankuru district — a rural area where about one million people live 3–5 km from the forest, subsisting on agriculture and hunting. Bushmeat from rope squirrels and other wild animals makes up most of the protein in the diet of Sankuru residents.

But the monkeypox virus can survive for at least seven hours when rope squirrel meat is kept at outdoor temperatures, putting people at risk for contracting the disease. “Rope squirrels may be a particularly potent source of monkeypox infections because they occupy areas frequented by older children who are unvaccinated against smallpox,” note the authors.

They focused their research on environmental factors behind the transmission of monkeypox without considering features of the virus or the population at risk. Using data collected through active surveillance for the disease and satellite remote sensing, they put together models to analyse the relationship between human cases and the local environment — the climate and vegetation, as well as the density of human residents and areas suitable for animals known to carry the virus.

Although initially the authors considered four groups of animals that could play a part in the transmission of the disease, initial modelling ruled out two of them. They then assessed forest density and habitat suitability for the remaining two species — dormice and rope squirrels — alongside rainfall and temperature as possible predictors of monkeypox cases in the area.

Forest vegetation and the presence of rope squirrels were the most important predictors of the monkeypox virus, say Fuller and colleagues. “The odds of contracting human monkeypox are 32% greater near dense forests with rope squirrels in Sankuru than in nonforested sites.”

Climatic factors were not significant predictors of risk, but the authors say their influence may be shown more clearly with analyses at a larger geographical scale.

A total of 201 human cases of monkeypox had been recorded in 156 parts of the district between 2005 and 2007. According to the model, areas at risk of the disease are concentrated in central parts of Sankuru which lie near primary forest and have the highest population density.

Fuller and colleagues created ecological risk maps at a fine scale (1 km2) that can help local public health staff to plan control efforts. “Future surveillance could prioritize oil-palm forests that are rope squirrel habitat for increased monitoring, and should measure poxvirus seroprevalence in other species that share the same habitat.”

Enhanced monitoring is a key part of efforts to prevent the virus from spreading beyond Africa. Currently, cases of monkeypox are being reported from the DRC, and occasionally from nearby Republic of Congo and Sudan. There has been one outbreak of the disease outside the continent, in 2003, when 71 pet owners in the USA caught the virus from rodents imported from Ghana.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Miscellaneous; Pets/Animals
KEYWORDS: africa; congo; contract; disease; ghana; monkeypox; smallpox; squirrels; sudan; vegetation

1 posted on 11/26/2010 4:56:14 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

“Hunting rope squirrels for food could be fuelling cases of monkeypox in the Congo basin”

Well that just shoots my week end plans to go squirrel roping all to hell.


2 posted on 11/26/2010 5:08:09 PM PST by Stormdog (A rifle transforms one from subject to Citizen)
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To: nickcarraway
I think this is a rope squirrel:

Source says this one was photographed in Namibia, and they are also called striped squirrels.

3 posted on 11/26/2010 5:10:28 PM PST by null and void (We are now in day 675 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
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To: null and void

Are we supposed to know what monkey pox is and it’s implications? I didn’t see that in the article, just the incidence of it,etc. I may have skipped it but what is it anyways?


4 posted on 11/26/2010 5:25:13 PM PST by hulagirl (Mother Theresa was right)
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To: nickcarraway
"Hunting rope squirrels for food could be fueling cases of monkeypox in the Congo basin"

I think folks in the Congo need to take a long, hard look at what they eat and what they diddle.

5 posted on 11/26/2010 5:59:52 PM PST by billorites (freepo ergo sum)
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To: nickcarraway
Hunting rope squirrels for food could be fuelling cases of monkeypox in the Congo basin

Huck is Deeply Disappointed.

6 posted on 11/26/2010 6:33:02 PM PST by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: billorites

“I think folks in the Congo need to take a long, hard look at what they eat and what they diddle”
_________________________________________________________________________

That continent is hopeless. It’s just “monkey see, monkey do”....

“the kids watch excitedly as Chief waba-waba whacks the monkeys cranium off with a machete and scoops out the brains
with his fingers”

MMM..MMM.... finger likin good!


7 posted on 11/26/2010 7:02:32 PM PST by NeverForgetBataan (To the German Commander: ..........................NUTS !)
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To: hulagirl
Are we supposed to know what monkey pox is and it’s implications? I didn’t see that in the article, just the incidence of it,etc. I may have skipped it but what is it anyways?

The short answer is, basically it's smallpox. Those of us who are immunized against smallpox have a lower rate of infection and mortality, but it's not 100%.

8 posted on 11/26/2010 7:35:50 PM PST by nina0113
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To: nickcarraway

Does anything good ever come out of Congo?


9 posted on 11/26/2010 8:14:44 PM PST by constitutiongirl ("Nietzsche was stupid and abnormal."---Leo Tolstoy)
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To: constitutiongirl

Hunting rope, isn’t that over by North Carolina some where?

Or are these squirrels from the Congo like they said.


10 posted on 11/26/2010 8:58:39 PM PST by jimpick
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To: Stormdog

If I could save just one life by posting this...


11 posted on 11/26/2010 9:11:33 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: martin_fierro; AdmSmith; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; bigheadfred; ColdOne; ...
LOL! Nice double whammy!
Larry High

Larry High
High, Larry is a State Farm agent.
12 posted on 11/27/2010 7:31:36 AM PST by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
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To: nina0113

A mutated form no less, oh goodie. Just what we need coming out of Africa;

First:
AIDS
MALARIA
Nelson Mandela

and now:
MONKEYPOX = A mutated form of smallpox.


13 posted on 12/01/2010 11:04:33 AM PST by Niuhuru (The Internet is the digital AIDS; adapting and successfully destroying the MSM host.)
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To: constitutiongirl

No. It’s part of Africa. Anything part of Africa brings nothing but misery with it. That said, I’m more than sure that there are specialists at VECTOR and the CDC having heart attacks over this.


14 posted on 12/01/2010 11:06:01 AM PST by Niuhuru (The Internet is the digital AIDS; adapting and successfully destroying the MSM host.)
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To: NeverForgetBataan

THIS IS WHY FOREIGN AID HAS ALWAYS BEEN A BAD IDEA!!!!!


15 posted on 12/01/2010 11:08:00 AM PST by Niuhuru (The Internet is the digital AIDS; adapting and successfully destroying the MSM host.)
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