Skip to comments.2012 Presidential Election (Barkie Below 50% on Intrade)
Posted on 08/12/2011 10:38:27 AM PDT by redfog
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012: 49.6%
How did Intrade do predicting the stock market reaction to the dumb Dept Ceiling approval?
Not even a mention of Newt? That seems rather unscientific.
InTrade can be gamed and it’s not terribly expensive when volume is low, so keep this in perspective. The estimate is probably more or less accurate, but it’s still a 50-50 chance according to them that communism will win a second term and America will come to an end as a free country. It’s a good reason to feel slightly more secure, but don’t get overconfident. We need to work for our nominee (NOT Romney!), and we need to watch the polls carefully for fraud in each precinct. It’s not over until the fat lady sings and the final court ruling is announced, and even then not until the next president of the United States is sworn in with the new First Dude holding the Bible for her . . . and our national nightmare returns to Kenya/Indonesia/Hawaii/Chicago or wherever he feels at home.
Obama should take up with a music band instead.
Barkie Bark and the Funky Crunch.
Clinton was elected and then reelected with less than that percentage.
I like to watch the trend on intrade. In this case, the Won is down from 55-56% in the last 10 or so days.
49.6% isn’t Obama’s approval rating, or the percentage of the vote that he is expected to get; it’s the percentage of dollars bet on Intrade that were bet on his winning the 2012 elections.
Still close enough for him to cheat and win.
On other fronts, Hussein's been at the -22 approval rating on Rasmussen for 3 days now, so that's good.