The ticket will be shared with someone who can deliver either a swing state necessary to a win, or someone who can deliver a large populated state which yields meaningful delegate numbers, or someone who can cap off a particular region where the nominee may need a boost.
The need will unfold over time, but Newt may need Pennsylvania because it is generally purple, making it a swing state. And Texas has increased delegates this year, enough to make up for NOT being on the dang ballot in Virginia. Santorum or Perry may be useful on the ticket along with others.
Newt swings for the fences. He always has.
You make valid points and I certainly think Perry would be a strong VP candidate. However, given his past history, I think Newt will want to make history and pick either a female or an African-American to be his running mate. He will look for a strong campaigner and someone who can bring him a few points in all states. He understands the demographic game and has a history of bold and brash moves.
We will see. Regardless, it is a great day to see Romney lose by 14 points when he was “supposedly ahead” just a few weeks ago.