Skip to comments.Mitt Romney's Ohio Problem
Posted on 02/13/2012 5:12:57 AM PST by ak267
Weve all heard the axiom, as goes Ohio, so goes the nation. In fact, no Republican has ever won the Presidency without winning Ohio. And for this years GOP presidential primary, Ohio is the top prize in what is turning out to be a critical Super Tuesday on March 6th.
In fact, just yesterday analyst Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics identified Ohio as the key state between a Romney runaway and the possibility of a brokered convention.
So the viability of a three-way split probably comes down to Ohio, which has a fair number of evangelicals, though not to the degree that Tennessee, Oklahoma and Georgia do. Santorum has some strengths he can draw on in the Buckeye State, as his blue-collar message could play well even among Republicans there. If he wins, it means that we probably do have a deeply divided GOP, with Gingrich taking the anti-Romney vote in the South, and Santorum taking the anti-Romney vote in the Midwest.
(Excerpt) Read more at thirdbasepolitics.blogspot.com ...
John Kasich was almost solely responsible for the balanced budgets of the late 1990s. His retirement was a major loss.
Gingrich was beating Romney 2:1 in Ohio initially but Mitt managed to overcome that sometime after Florida. What is worse than this however is that Ohio will probably fire Gov. John Kasich and swing for Obama this time around. I say this as a Buckeye. Then there’s the Senator Sherrod Brown problem. He’s polling pretty well. I think he can be beaten but it will not be easy. I early voted for Donna Glisman to run against him because I feel that a female will be able to pull votes out of one of his key demographic groups, women-plus she sounds very conservative and I like what I have seen of her so far.
I’d vote for Mitt if I had to, but I’m beginning to dislike his tactics. “Detest” may be a better description.
It sounds like Ohio has swung hard left... if that's the case, any hopes of winning in November are even slimmer.
Santorum failed to file a slate of delegates in the 6th, 13th and 9th districts for the Primary. The 6th and 13th border PA and WV. Gingrich is the only legitimate challenger to Romney in the Ohio Primary and would be a significant firewall in Romney’s “inevitability.”
Is Kasich on the ballot? Doesn’t he have three more years? I am not aware of a recall option in Ohio...so if there is something on the horizon, I am not familiar.
Kasich screwed up. He and Gov. Brown hijacked the tea party movement and stole our momentum with union busting laws that were “unexpectedly” extremely unpopular across the political spectrum. That was their top priority, not ours. Kasich is not very popular right now and that’s why and that definitely helps Obama. I have been saying for many months that we need to focus on holding our ground in the house and taking the Senate because we’re trying to roller skate uphill in this Presidential race. The EVs aren’t there but the Dems have to defend 22 senate seats and we only need four of them.
BTW, in 2004, Rove had the perfect plan for OH. I worked the ground that day, and had detailed maps with readouts on who leaned where, and all sorts of other info. In 2008, both Obama and McCain took the Rove plan, except Obama doubled the funding, and McCain cut it in half.
his unpopularity will very likely be reflected in the 2012 presidential race and if we have a republican nominee that doesn’t motivate Ohio republicans to get out the vote, it will be even worse.
I would bet a paycheck that Mittens would not attack Obama as vigorously as he has Newt and Santorum. He just cannot attack a fellow liberal.
I’m in Ohio and I guarantee you that if Romney is the nominee he will not get my vote in November.
Agreed. As a guy with great communication skills, I don’t get how he has let this happen. Hopefully, he does this year.
I don’t know where he lives in Ohio but that is not what I see here.Gov Kasich is not on the ballot until 2014 so not sure how that swings anything for Obama? Incase no one is noticing the budget is balanced and most people here like Kasich.I do not think Obama has a snowballs chance of carrying Ohio again.
I think you are very wrong and BTW Kasich is not unpopular where are you getting that idea?
If this becomes well-known here in Ohio, Romney should just skip Ohio altogether.
Ohio’s true conservatives have a chance to turn this election to one of our conservative candidates, if we INSIST we will REFUSE to support Romney in either the primary or the general election.
If the GOP-E is clear that Ohio will lose enough conservative votes that Romney will lose Ohio...and the nation...then we might just cause them to rethink Romney.
I, for one, will NEVER support Romney. It won’t happen.
Can not speak for the 13th District; but Rick Santorum is on the Ohio 6th ballot. Would you kindly share a link to a story concerning Santorum delegates, because nobody's delegates appear on the smartvoter.org 6th sample ballot.
The dominant Ohio River Valley talk radio station, WVHU 800AM, the Tom Roten FB page participants and callers seem to lean towards Rick Santorum, then RuPaul before Newt Gingrich. WVHU is a Clear Channel station.
Believe Myth Romney is a serious candidate in the ORV region? Wanna buy a slightly used bridge between Ironton and Russell?
Union-busting should be a MUCH higher priority for every conservative than it is currently. Unions masquerade as being “for workers” but in reality they contribute more to big government and to an essentially bureaucratic view of labor— no wonder they donate so much money to Democrats!
I think YOU are very wrong Chris. Don't get mad at the messenger here just because the message isn't to your liking. Kasich effed up. His priorities may have cost us everything and they gained us NOTHING. NOTHING. NOTHING. NOT A GD THING.
A smart general knows how to pick his battles and his battlefields. An idiot general, not so much. Kasich is of the latter. He should have known better. as I stated in the previous upthread post, his lack of political sense may have cost us everything and by everything I mean the Senate and the white house, and he gained us nothing.
I don’t put much weight on polls conducted by PPP.I listen tot he people I hear around em who are fed up with the democrats.Kasich isn’t on the ballot until 2014 so not sure how you come up with what you have?
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