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attn: Freepers Its time to start watching Intrade.
Intrade ^

Posted on 05/15/2012 3:15:17 PM PDT by mamelukesabre

Obama appears to have started his freefall. It started today.

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: election; intrade; obama
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To: mamelukesabre

In 2008 I called Obama a one-term wonder who would preside over a sour economy his entire term. Its the economy, stupid. People say he can’t lose to Romney. He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election.


21 posted on 05/15/2012 4:58:33 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
"He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election. "

Exactly. He's toast.

It didn't matter what Republican won the primary.

22 posted on 05/15/2012 6:19:59 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Reading your comment suddenly gave me the dreaded “oh noes”. I got a flashback of jimmy carter saying “I’m ok with romney as president”. If democrats and the 5th column and the george soros types decided early on that they had no chance of keeping obama another 4 years, then they would do whatever they could to make the obama replacement as unobjectionable to them as possible.

The republican establishment would also figure it out if obama couldn’t win and their strategy would then change. You and I would think this is our chance to really sock it to them(the democrats) and make america great again. But if I was a republican party loyalist first and an american citizen second, I would only care about getting an “R” in the whitehouse and would go with a completely different strategy. My strategy would become one of hedging and caution. I would want a candidate that would NOT fire up the democrats and drive them to the polls in opposition to the Obama challenger. I would want a candidate who would be boring. I would want a candidate that would make jimmy carter and the rest of the democrat voters say “eh, he’s not THAT bad...he’s better than Bush.”


23 posted on 05/15/2012 7:39:30 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: EGPWS

Is that Hillary Clinton?


24 posted on 05/15/2012 7:45:59 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Why would the numbers drop so much today and not over the weekend after the gay-marriage flip flop?


25 posted on 05/15/2012 7:51:10 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Do people make money buying and selling on Intrade predictions like this?


26 posted on 05/15/2012 7:52:58 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre
Obama's popularity has always been a bubble waiting to pop. Once the average voter sees that Obama isn't "cool", and is in fact a complete douchebag, that's something that you can't un-see.

Thanks to the narcissistic incompetence of the Obama camp, people are starting to see this truth in large numbers.

27 posted on 05/15/2012 7:55:01 PM PDT by Junior_G (Funny how liberals' love affair with Muslims began on 9/11)
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To: mamelukesabre

Could Obama use the “I’m ok with Romney as president” state from Carter to hurt Romney? As in the worst President to date endorses my opponent?


28 posted on 05/15/2012 7:55:55 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Yep, and it was overdue. I’m as bought in as I want to be.


29 posted on 05/15/2012 7:58:47 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (\=)
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To: EGPWS

She missed her chances.


30 posted on 05/15/2012 8:00:02 PM PDT by ctdonath2 (Cloud storage? Dropbox rocks! Sign up at http://db.tt/nQqWGd3 for 2GB free (and I get more too).)
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To: mamelukesabre
60 to 57.8 in one day is HUGE.

-

Correct. For context, I ran the numbers. That's equivalent to a 450 one-day drop in the Dow Jones Industrials.

Have been watching intrade now for a while pretty steady. This week was the first time I've seen Obama break 59 to the downside. And that was yesterday. Today now the drop accelerated. It's not hugh, but sure looks significant to this poster.

31 posted on 05/15/2012 8:01:54 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Vote for the straight guy.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
People say he can’t lose to Romney. He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election.

I've been saying the same thing for months on end, now. The Repubics could have run a rubber chicken, and they'd still beat Obama.

No matter what people say outwardly, most of them are going to vote their wallets in this election.

32 posted on 05/15/2012 9:25:43 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: tbw2

yes, and lose money


33 posted on 05/15/2012 9:49:00 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: FrogMom

Ping


34 posted on 05/15/2012 10:54:35 PM PDT by FrogMom (There is no such thing as an honest democrat!)
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To: SunkenCiv

Thanks for the ping.

I don’t think 3 points in one day on Intrade is all that big of a deal.


35 posted on 05/16/2012 10:47:24 AM PDT by Kevmo (Palin 2012. It's just me in the voting booth. 100% straight republican ticket.)
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To: SunkenCiv

BTW, does that mean you are running a de facto Intrade ping list?


36 posted on 05/16/2012 11:08:33 AM PDT by Kevmo (Palin 2012. It's just me in the voting booth. 100% straight republican ticket.)
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To: Windflier

Obviously I agree.

There is a huge nation outside of Free Republic that does not vote on morals or principal but on self-interest. That self-interest is going to do what they have to do to reclaim a job, or see that the fired husband can get a job, or see they are no longer cowed by annual pink slips, or see that their 28 year old twin sons are in an apartment working instead of living at home.

It is beyond me how we can be in an economic depression, the worst US economic conditions since 1936, and most of Free Republic things these are conditions an incumbent politician can survive. I’m baffled by their thinking.

People want anybody who will promise them a job opportunity. Yes, this will be against all the people who want anybody that will give them free stuff, but we’ve been fighting against them for decades. This year, the people who want a job or want to be secure in a job, are the ones calling the shots.

After 4 years under Romney, maybe not so much.


37 posted on 05/16/2012 6:30:38 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: blam

We are on the same page. Now we just have to push that idiot Romney to sign the Obamacare repeal, to get drilling for oil, and to decommission the TSA and strangle the EPA.

We are going to be in the fight of our lives just to push our conservative demands through Romney and the liberal GOP leadership.


38 posted on 05/16/2012 6:32:24 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
It is beyond me how we can be in an economic depression, the worst US economic conditions since 1936, and most of Free Republic thinks these are conditions an incumbent politician can survive. I’m baffled by their thinking.

One word: fear.

Obama has violated so many of our nation's established traditions and protocols, and has assumed (and executed) so much unauthorized authority over every aspect of our government, that many people have simply been pummeled into believing that he's capable of anything - including casting aside the US Constitution, and declaring himself Dictator For Life.

39 posted on 05/16/2012 8:09:46 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Kevmo

;’) Not a chance, but nice try! ;’)


40 posted on 05/16/2012 8:43:28 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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