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attn: Freepers Its time to start watching Intrade.
Intrade ^

Posted on 05/15/2012 3:15:17 PM PDT by mamelukesabre

Obama appears to have started his freefall. It started today.

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: election; intrade; obama
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If he follows the same pattern as the Republican candidates that began a freefall like this in the primaries, in another month he will be in hopeless territory by the numbers according to Intrade.
1 posted on 05/15/2012 3:15:25 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre
If he follows the same pattern as the Republican candidates that began a freefall like this in the primaries, in another month he will be in hopeless territory by the numbers according to Intrade.

Is it still early enough for a change in venue?

Photobucket

2 posted on 05/15/2012 3:21:35 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: mamelukesabre; Jim Robinson

It’s time to donate and end this FReepathon or we’ll be sitting on the sidelines with no voice in November.


3 posted on 05/15/2012 3:27:19 PM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (FR: Now, More Than Ever.)
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To: EGPWS

That’s as bad as Helen Thomas.


4 posted on 05/15/2012 3:27:26 PM PDT by liberalh8ter (If Barack has a memory like a steel trap, why can't he remember what the Constitution says?)
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To: EGPWS

Hitlery is already gay so it might work for her if she challanges him.


5 posted on 05/15/2012 3:28:11 PM PDT by unkus (Silence Is Consent)
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To: EGPWS

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa! MY EYES!!!!!


6 posted on 05/15/2012 3:32:54 PM PDT by JaguarXKE
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To: EGPWS

What if he played the “gay card” so that Hillary would not run? that way he would play the Homophobe card on her if she did?


7 posted on 05/15/2012 3:33:18 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature ($1.84 - The price of a gallon of gas on Jan. 20th, 2009.)
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To: EGPWS

Man that is one ugly heifer..


8 posted on 05/15/2012 3:34:42 PM PDT by goseminoles
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To: goseminoles

Man that is one ugly heifer..


My rancher brother would say that “heifer” has a “Bad eye”.


9 posted on 05/15/2012 3:39:50 PM PDT by unkus (Silence Is Consent)
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To: goseminoles

Inside and out!


10 posted on 05/15/2012 3:45:03 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: mamelukesabre

Huh? Zero is still close - at 57.5% compared to Mittens at 38.7. What am I missing? Last I checked (about a month ago) Zero was close to 60%


11 posted on 05/15/2012 3:47:58 PM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Cheerio

I don’t know what you are missing, but you are missing something.

60 to 57.8 in one day is HUGE.


12 posted on 05/15/2012 3:53:20 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: EGPWS
Say. She's hawt.
13 posted on 05/15/2012 3:57:08 PM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult (Liberals make unrealistic demands on reality and reality doesn't oblige them.)
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To: EGPWS

Just damn, that image of Hitlery was a shock to my fight or flight reaction, I chose flight.


14 posted on 05/15/2012 4:08:54 PM PDT by Sea Parrot (I'll be a nice to you as you'll let me be, or as mean as you make me be.)
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To: Sea Parrot
"Just damn, that image of Hitlery was a shock to my fight or flight reaction, I chose flight."

I had just the opposite response....her face just begs to be punched..

15 posted on 05/15/2012 4:21:37 PM PDT by blasater1960 (Deut 30, Psalm 111...the Torah and the Law, is attainable past, present and forever.)
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To: mamelukesabre

Those markets are useless as a predictor of outcomes. They just rise or fall with how the ‘winds’ are blowing, or with the poll numbers in general. They were interesting the first year or so.


16 posted on 05/15/2012 4:24:28 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: EGPWS

That photo made my liver quiver.


17 posted on 05/15/2012 4:29:14 PM PDT by tumblindice (Our new, happy lives.)
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To: KoRn

I don’t place any value on that site either. For one reason, I believe Americans cannot place real money wagers on that site. So the only people putting real money down are non-Americans.


18 posted on 05/15/2012 4:32:01 PM PDT by wrcase
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To: EGPWS

Laz hit-proof!


19 posted on 05/15/2012 4:40:23 PM PDT by 6SJ7 (Meh.)
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To: Kevmo; Perdogg; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks mamelukesabre.


20 posted on 05/15/2012 4:53:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: mamelukesabre

In 2008 I called Obama a one-term wonder who would preside over a sour economy his entire term. Its the economy, stupid. People say he can’t lose to Romney. He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election.


21 posted on 05/15/2012 4:58:33 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
"He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election. "

Exactly. He's toast.

It didn't matter what Republican won the primary.

22 posted on 05/15/2012 6:19:59 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Reading your comment suddenly gave me the dreaded “oh noes”. I got a flashback of jimmy carter saying “I’m ok with romney as president”. If democrats and the 5th column and the george soros types decided early on that they had no chance of keeping obama another 4 years, then they would do whatever they could to make the obama replacement as unobjectionable to them as possible.

The republican establishment would also figure it out if obama couldn’t win and their strategy would then change. You and I would think this is our chance to really sock it to them(the democrats) and make america great again. But if I was a republican party loyalist first and an american citizen second, I would only care about getting an “R” in the whitehouse and would go with a completely different strategy. My strategy would become one of hedging and caution. I would want a candidate that would NOT fire up the democrats and drive them to the polls in opposition to the Obama challenger. I would want a candidate who would be boring. I would want a candidate that would make jimmy carter and the rest of the democrat voters say “eh, he’s not THAT bad...he’s better than Bush.”


23 posted on 05/15/2012 7:39:30 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: EGPWS

Is that Hillary Clinton?


24 posted on 05/15/2012 7:45:59 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Why would the numbers drop so much today and not over the weekend after the gay-marriage flip flop?


25 posted on 05/15/2012 7:51:10 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Do people make money buying and selling on Intrade predictions like this?


26 posted on 05/15/2012 7:52:58 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre
Obama's popularity has always been a bubble waiting to pop. Once the average voter sees that Obama isn't "cool", and is in fact a complete douchebag, that's something that you can't un-see.

Thanks to the narcissistic incompetence of the Obama camp, people are starting to see this truth in large numbers.

27 posted on 05/15/2012 7:55:01 PM PDT by Junior_G (Funny how liberals' love affair with Muslims began on 9/11)
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To: mamelukesabre

Could Obama use the “I’m ok with Romney as president” state from Carter to hurt Romney? As in the worst President to date endorses my opponent?


28 posted on 05/15/2012 7:55:55 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: mamelukesabre

Yep, and it was overdue. I’m as bought in as I want to be.


29 posted on 05/15/2012 7:58:47 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (\=)
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To: EGPWS

She missed her chances.


30 posted on 05/15/2012 8:00:02 PM PDT by ctdonath2 (Cloud storage? Dropbox rocks! Sign up at http://db.tt/nQqWGd3 for 2GB free (and I get more too).)
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To: mamelukesabre
60 to 57.8 in one day is HUGE.

-

Correct. For context, I ran the numbers. That's equivalent to a 450 one-day drop in the Dow Jones Industrials.

Have been watching intrade now for a while pretty steady. This week was the first time I've seen Obama break 59 to the downside. And that was yesterday. Today now the drop accelerated. It's not hugh, but sure looks significant to this poster.

31 posted on 05/15/2012 8:01:54 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Vote for the straight guy.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
People say he can’t lose to Romney. He isn’t running against Romney. He is running against an economic depression and doesn’t stand a chance of re-election.

I've been saying the same thing for months on end, now. The Repubics could have run a rubber chicken, and they'd still beat Obama.

No matter what people say outwardly, most of them are going to vote their wallets in this election.

32 posted on 05/15/2012 9:25:43 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: tbw2

yes, and lose money


33 posted on 05/15/2012 9:49:00 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: FrogMom

Ping


34 posted on 05/15/2012 10:54:35 PM PDT by FrogMom (There is no such thing as an honest democrat!)
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To: SunkenCiv

Thanks for the ping.

I don’t think 3 points in one day on Intrade is all that big of a deal.


35 posted on 05/16/2012 10:47:24 AM PDT by Kevmo (Palin 2012. It's just me in the voting booth. 100% straight republican ticket.)
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To: SunkenCiv

BTW, does that mean you are running a de facto Intrade ping list?


36 posted on 05/16/2012 11:08:33 AM PDT by Kevmo (Palin 2012. It's just me in the voting booth. 100% straight republican ticket.)
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To: Windflier

Obviously I agree.

There is a huge nation outside of Free Republic that does not vote on morals or principal but on self-interest. That self-interest is going to do what they have to do to reclaim a job, or see that the fired husband can get a job, or see they are no longer cowed by annual pink slips, or see that their 28 year old twin sons are in an apartment working instead of living at home.

It is beyond me how we can be in an economic depression, the worst US economic conditions since 1936, and most of Free Republic things these are conditions an incumbent politician can survive. I’m baffled by their thinking.

People want anybody who will promise them a job opportunity. Yes, this will be against all the people who want anybody that will give them free stuff, but we’ve been fighting against them for decades. This year, the people who want a job or want to be secure in a job, are the ones calling the shots.

After 4 years under Romney, maybe not so much.


37 posted on 05/16/2012 6:30:38 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: blam

We are on the same page. Now we just have to push that idiot Romney to sign the Obamacare repeal, to get drilling for oil, and to decommission the TSA and strangle the EPA.

We are going to be in the fight of our lives just to push our conservative demands through Romney and the liberal GOP leadership.


38 posted on 05/16/2012 6:32:24 PM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (REPEAL OBAMACARE. Nothing else matters.)
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To: Freedom_Is_Not_Free
It is beyond me how we can be in an economic depression, the worst US economic conditions since 1936, and most of Free Republic thinks these are conditions an incumbent politician can survive. I’m baffled by their thinking.

One word: fear.

Obama has violated so many of our nation's established traditions and protocols, and has assumed (and executed) so much unauthorized authority over every aspect of our government, that many people have simply been pummeled into believing that he's capable of anything - including casting aside the US Constitution, and declaring himself Dictator For Life.

39 posted on 05/16/2012 8:09:46 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Kevmo

;’) Not a chance, but nice try! ;’)


40 posted on 05/16/2012 8:43:28 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: EGPWS; ButThreeLeftsDo; liberalh8ter; JaguarXKE; IllumiNaughtyByNature; goseminoles; unkus; ...

The tumble continues. Today achieved another low water mark.


41 posted on 05/19/2012 6:16:58 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre

Thanks for the update.


42 posted on 05/19/2012 6:29:31 PM PDT by unkus (Silence Is Consent)
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To: mamelukesabre; EGPWS; ButThreeLeftsDo; liberalh8ter; JaguarXKE; IllumiNaughtyByNature; ...

Another low water mark today.

for those of you that are still doubters...you’d best start watching what’s going on. This tumble to oblivion does not appear to be temporary. It is steady and persistent and regular. I do not think this is a blip.

check back in 5 days and see for yourselves. Then in another 5 days.


43 posted on 05/20/2012 9:28:42 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre; EGPWS; ButThreeLeftsDo; liberalh8ter; JaguarXKE; IllumiNaughtyByNature; ...

https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?contractId=743474&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com

My ignorant opinion is he is headed for 40% and once he gets there he will never see 50% again and will lose the election in an embarrassing loss.


44 posted on 05/20/2012 9:34:54 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre
This tumble to oblivion does not appear to be temporary. It is steady and persistent and regular. I do not think this is a blip.

I've thought for a long time, that the real election would be the Republican primary, and that whoever prevailed in that, would become the next president without question.

Obama has committed more egregious transgressions and errors in his term in office, than any president I've seen (or even imagined) in my lifetime. There isn't another president who comes close to his level of abject incompetence, mixed with illusions of grandeur and power, in our entire history. He's not just a personal failure, he's the American people's failure.

And what a monstrous failure it's been. His awful polling numbers reflect that. We're not the only ones who are aware of what a complete disaster this guy's been. He's hopelessly lost a great many of those who got caught up in the history of electing him president, and has no possible chance of getting them back, now that he's destroyed so much of the basic economics they rely on.

Frankly, I don't think Mittens has to do much of anything to take the White House this November. He may not win in a landslide, but it's looking more and more like he'll beat Obama handily. That's how unbelievably rotten Obama is.

45 posted on 05/20/2012 9:44:24 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: mamelukesabre

It’ll probably be closer than that, but then again Zero’s gangs of cheaters have never had to face the Romney machine, or any other meaningful opposition. I mean, seriously, just put a D after your name and TRY not to get elected in Illinois.


46 posted on 05/20/2012 9:44:58 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: mamelukesabre
...and will lose the election in an embarrassing loss.

That's certainly what I'll be praying for every day! I don't just want to see him loose, I want to see a loss that will make Walter Mondale's loss to Reagan look like close race!

47 posted on 05/20/2012 9:47:30 PM PDT by JaguarXKE (If my Fluffy had a puppy, it would look like the puppy Obama ate!)
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To: JaguarXKE

that will be hard to do

The 1984 election was one for the history books. It will stand for a good many more elections.

But I like your sentiment.


48 posted on 05/20/2012 9:52:49 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre

I’ve been watching now for almost 2 months, and I agree with you. This is new territory on the downside, and it’s unmistakable.

Funny thing I’ve noticed is, even though the trend is clearly down, it seems like someone is trying to manipulate the price. The price will spike up, then once is starts to lose lift, drop back down. It almost seems like someone is trying to create the appearance of market strength, but then get back out of the position before they lose money.

Leaving the price each time after that cycle, a bit lower than the time before.

Right now it’s at 56 even, which is down almost a full point today alone.

Lowest I’ve seen it.


49 posted on 05/20/2012 9:56:02 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (America doesn't need any new laws. America needs freedom!)
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To: mamelukesabre
My ignorant opinion is he is headed for 40% and once he gets there he will never see 50% again and will lose the election in an embarrassing loss.

I don't think your opinion is ignorant at all. At this point in the race, Obama should be doing far better than he is. Even the much hated Jimmy Carter had a much better approval rating in the summer leading up to the 1980 vote.

If the Repubics were running a beloved and respected conservative right now, Obama's numbers would be even worse. I believe that Mittens will become the next president by default, only because people perceive that he's not as bad as Obama.

A lot of Americans will be willing to vote for a turd sandwich, if it means getting rid of Obama.

The Democrats have never had a crisis quite like this before. In LBJ's time, he and his advisors understood that he didn't stand a chance of re-election, and so he bowed out early enough for others to mount serious campaigns against the Republicans. The fact that Team Obama are going forward, despite the horrifying poll numbers, just shows you how sick in the heads they are.

50 posted on 05/20/2012 9:56:16 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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