I have the feeling that Romney is going to win a state that no one currently expects him to win.
Why would Michigan be a Romney “lock”? His family hasn’t lived there in decades. Few voters were voting when his dad was Gov.
Mr. RomneyCARE won’t even win Massachusetts
where he is hated for RomneyCARE and death panels.
Romney ain’t a lock for North Carolina. It’ll depend on whether the rats can get my African-American friends to the polls.
Does Romney need to start calling Obama an extreme liberal. Was today the start?
“The very idea of raising taxes on small businesses and job creators at the time we need to create more jobs is the sort of thing only an extreme liberal could come up with,” Romney said.
As long as everyone’s standard of living is going DOWN at the same rate, Detroit will always vote for Socialism.
As an Indiana resident I’d pretty much bet my next Social Security check on Romney winning here.
We’ve got a very popular R candidate for gov (Mike Pence) and a motivated Tea Party contingent for Richard Mourdock who took out Liberal Lugar,
“We can all assume that North Carolina,Indiana,Michigan,New Hampshire and Florida are a lock for Romney,we still need to wait and see future polling in Wisconsin and Iowa.”
Obama beat McCain in Michigan by over 16 points in 2008. If Michigan were a lock, Romney would be winning in a landslide.
Romney needs FL, IN, NC and OH. This would bring him to 253, leaving 16 to tie. The most likely winning result would be VA plus one other state, although something like IA plus another state might be possible instead. The West looks to be trending more Dem while the Midwest Rep, so Romney could lose ground Colorado/Nevada/NM/AZ but gain ground in IA/WI/MN/OH, which is obviously a plus for him, given the respective electoral votes involved.
Also NH could hardly be called a lock, although it’s winnable.
I think it’s too early to get so specific.IMO a place to start is to look at states that W carried in 2000 but Osama carried in ‘08.Also,recent events in WI could be promising.One thing we can be sure of is that blacks won’t turn out in *higher* numbers for Osama this year whereas fewer whites will go for him and at least as many will go for Romney as went for McLame....very probably more.
He’d better not count on NH.
Just asking that question is one hell of a joke..............
Romney will have a very hard time winning OH and WI, IMHO. Michigan MAY be his if he's lucky.