Skip to comments.Regarding Connecticut&New Mexico Leaning Tossup.What Are The Explanations?
Posted on 08/20/2012 6:32:56 PM PDT by Ryan_Rubio_2016
Could Connecticut and New Mexico going from "Obama" to "Lean Obama" become a sign of things to come? What has happened in a blue New England state may hopefully be a new trend going into November. Maybe Connecticut turning purple is primarily due to the number of "Wall Street" residents living there and knowing what will happen to their fortunes or incomes if Obama is re-elected. Hopefully the trend will continue in September when New Jersey, Nevada and Minnesota turn purple giving Obama more states to worry about and less money and time to campaign in.
Connecticut has high taxes, increasing crime and a dwindling industrial base. The financial services industry is under assault, particularly the health insurance industry. If RINOs count, it’s turning purple.
Alot of people who live in Connecticut work in Manhattan’s financial district.
Or maybe I should say USED to work there. Many people have lost their jobs on Wall Street and in the banking industry in NYC. Others who still have jobs are worried about losing them in a tough economic climate, which they know will only get worse in a second Obama term. Most are probably fed up with Obama’s demonization of the “rich.”
I live in Northern CT. This time in on people couldn’t stop talking about how great Obama was. Now it’s like Obama doesn’t exist or outright hatred of him.
Thanks Ryan_Rubio_2016. And Illinois? Michigan? New York? The Obama Recession leads directly to the Obama Implosion — and Zero’s starting another shooting war (with Syria or Iran, or both) will wreck his prospects, even among the straight-party-ticket a-holes on the left. And if you hear one ranting and raving, remind them that they are PRO-WAR.
Where have these two states been called “Lean Obama” ?
I hope the Catholics and Christians get us out from under obama’s stinky boot.
Keep in mind that around this same point in time, Carter was polling ahead of Reagan. With the Ryan addition to the campaign, they finally have some Romney........ignorant comments by Akin aside.............they are having success, the Obummer campaign is throwing the kitchen sink at them and saying basically ANYTHING at this point and they are still flailing, as Obama is the incumbent, things will only get worse for him from here on out.
My only other thought is that Conn and NM have been polled fewer times due being solid BHO states, hence a poor sampling overall.
Regarding New Mexico, where did that information come from?
I don’t care where Nevada is in the polls, if Romney can get out close to 100% of the LDS vote, which he will, then he wins Nevada.
Do you have some links for that polling?
I’ve been a Connecticut resident for 62 years.
Since the 80’s, the state has been tipping further and further left, to the point where it’s essentially “toppled over”. I don’t believe there currently is a single Republican representing the state in Congress (House/Senate).
Linda McMahon is making a second attempt for the Senate, but she lost last time despite spending millions, has spent millions again this time to fend off a couple of primary challengers, will spend millions more between now and November, and.... probably lose again. (Aside: one can’t help think that she’s trying to buy the office, a la John Corzine.)
Romney may get close here, but I doubt he’ll win. I’d say his chances here are about as good as they are in Massachusetts next door...
I’d enjoy being proven wrong this November...
and lets keep in mind Pennsylvania, we all know Romney would win assuming no voter fraud. the GOP voters need to come out in full force to take the state. Now that would be the October Surprise. “Romney Leads Obama By 10 Points In Pennsylvania”!
giving Obama more states to worry about and less money and time to campaign in.
BINGO! You nailed it. Obama and team blew their wad this summer and it has not hurt Romney in the polls. Now, Obama’s cash flow is tanking and Romney has about $40 Million more on hand for the final two months of the campaign than Obama has. PLUS....Romney’s Super Pacs have a gazillion dollars to spend. The Obama team miscalculated badly.
Tell us Matt: What do you think are the chances that Romney will carry CT? Realistically.
You know, some people have said that Obama was not above starting a war before the Election. But, I don’t think that would help his Election chances. As you said, the leftist a-holes would not get excited about turning out to vote for him; and this Election is so close, turn-out is key. And the people who hate Obama wouldn’t vote for him if he single-handedly whooped Iran.
...the Catholics and Christians....
LOL... Catholics ARE Christians Sarah. They’re not Muslims, Jews, Buddhist, Hindu....... They are Christians; they believe in Christ.
Not all Connecticut Nutmeggers are democrats.
My little town has been Republican for years. Only twice in my lifetime, I’m in the fifty’s nifty club, has a democrat been elected first selectman. And both times, the town went bak to republican leadership after one term.
Don’t judge the whole state by the few, albeit big, sewers in the state.
if Romney can get out close to 100% of the LDS vote, which he will, then he wins Nevada.
There are also a gazillion LDS church members in Colorado. I’ve felt all along that the Mormons in America will mobilize for Romney. That’s about 4-5 million foot soldiers; eh?
” by the few, albeit big, sewers in the state.”
They are not all big - Willimantic comes to mind . My hometown BTW .
I now ask you the same question I asked Matt in Post #19.
Could we have you back in CT to help us out?
Hi I have lived in CT for 18 year’s. I can’t believe how bad the state has become because of the unions power over everything.
I will vote for Linda McMahon because that vote is better than a union vote.
I am not concerned about how much Linda spends, its her money not our’s which us what the union money is with all Obama money from the stimulus $$.
I know. :) I meant Protestant Christians and Catholic Christians.
I have a relative who is very high up on the corporate ladder of a global chain you’ve certainly heard of. He lives in a rich area of Connecticut. It’s the kind of town where you’ll get pulled over by the local police force if your car is over 5 years old.
I was recently at his house for a party and overheard some of his friends talking politics. I heard at least three different people - all from this same “class” of people - say for the first time they are going to vote Republican. They were saying it like they were teenagers sneaking out of the house at night for the first time and I believed it when I heard them.
These folks aren’t dumb with their money. After 3+ years of Obama attacking “the rich”, “the rich” have gotten the message. The conversations I overheard - and the polls discussed here - are the reprecussions. I suspect this is represented in the polls showing CT as a toss up.
Can you please explain what "regionalization" is? Haven't heard that term used in a political context. Didn't know it was a hot issue anywhere.
I believe it will be closer than the Obama campaign thinks and they will ave to spend money to win it.
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