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Seven Products, Concepts, and Ideas That Won't Exist by 2025
Motley Fool ^ | 08/21/2012 | Sean Williams

Posted on 08/21/2012 2:33:22 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

I'm sort of ashamed to admit that Friday night's baseball game between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies is the inspiration for this article. As a sidebar to the actual game itself, the broadcasters noted that someone had built a replica DeLorean hovercraft and was riding it around McCovey Cove in San Francisco, Calif.

This got me thinking (yes, a replica hovercraft DeLorean inspired me; laugh all you want), what if we could travel into the past, or better yet, into the future to see what products, concepts, and ideas survived and which ones drifted away. Back to the Future II wasn't exactly the best predictor of what the future would be like. According to the movie, in three years we're supposed to have flying cars and a Pepsi is expected to cost close to $50. Neither of those predictions looks even remotely feasible, although I will give the movie credit for correctly predicting a baseball team in Miami.

So today, I'm going to give you my best Doc Brown and highlight seven products, concepts, and ideas that won't exist by the year 2025. I could well be wrong, but these seven things are a long way from hitting 88 MPH and sending themselves back to better times.

Products

Concepts

Ideas

Foolish roundup
There you have it -- 1.21 gigawatts of products, concepts, and ideas that are destined for extinction by 2025. Let me and your fellow Fools know your take on the above ideas in the comments section below, as well as other products, concepts, and ideas that could fall by the wayside over the next decade.

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TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet; Society
KEYWORDS: products; technology
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1 posted on 08/21/2012 2:33:25 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
That doesn't mean the U.S. won't hold its lead in innovation and manufacturing....

Real knee slapper here.

2 posted on 08/21/2012 2:41:47 PM PDT by Last Dakotan
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To: SeekAndFind
He is partially wrong on the cameras, But "point and click" models will prbably be overtaken by camera phones. Truth is, my 50 digital camera blows away the best picture from a cellphone. By 2025, that wont be the case, I would hope anyway!

That said, there is still a very large market for upscale cameras, and superzooms. You simply can't pack that kind of camera-ing in a small package, it violates the laws of optics. (That said, there might be some cool stuff coming eventually with thin film wave guid lensing).

3 posted on 08/21/2012 2:42:45 PM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Not a bad list. They got 2 right out of 7 guesses: 3D TV and the EU.


4 posted on 08/21/2012 2:44:25 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I disagree about the 3-D televisions. People are buying them and 3-D movies are being made. What will eventually change is the need to wear glasses. Eventually this technology will be incorporated into the TVs themselves.


5 posted on 08/21/2012 2:45:21 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The only one I agree with is the EU, and that is conditional. I think some sort of EU like union will exist but it will be smaller and less powerful.


6 posted on 08/21/2012 2:46:53 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: SeekAndFind

“Digital cameras: With new smartphones sporting 8MP cameras, and resolutions increasing yearly, why wouldn’t digital cameras go extinct?”

I disagree with him on this one. The law of physics is never going to allow the same amount of light to be captured by your digital phone as the large lense on a real camera will. There will always be a market for cameras with a variety of lenses.


7 posted on 08/21/2012 2:47:47 PM PDT by MNDude ( Victimhood is the Holy Grail of liberalism)
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To: SeekAndFind
Chances are that if you own a smartphone, the camera in your phone has a higher resolution than the digital camera you own.

1) False even as stated.

2) Pixel count on the focal plane isn't everything. If the lens is crap, the image will be crap.

3) I wonder how much this guy knows about optics? Even with adaptive optics and deformable lenses, size matters. Aperture is king.

8 posted on 08/21/2012 2:50:05 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Paradox

I think the only surviving camera model (unless you’re a serious photographer) will be the camera-printer “instamatic” model. I just saw one the other day, tiny, basic, but prints out a 2x3 photo instantly. That’s exactly what a lot of people want, just a little physical souvenir to give to the subject of the photo.

Other than that, my only difference is that I’d say that the US will remain a superpower...if we get rid of Obama in this election, wipe up every trace of his foul passage through our national history, and go on with our lives.


9 posted on 08/21/2012 2:50:54 PM PDT by livius
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To: SeekAndFind

The stories of US demise are greatly exaggerated. Most of China’s money comes from the US. Without us buying their junk, who are they going to sell it to?


10 posted on 08/21/2012 2:54:19 PM PDT by IronJack (=)
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To: Jonty30
I disagree about the 3-D televisions. People are buying them and 3-D movies are being made. What will eventually change is the need to wear glasses. Eventually this technology will be incorporated into the TVs themselves.

I think the sales of 3D TVs are deceptive. Most new TVs and Blu-ray players are 3D whether the consumer wants it or not. I went ahead an bought a couple of pairs of active 3D glasses for my new 3D TV this year; but I'm not blown away by the technology. For the most part, 3D is just various 2D images which seem to be in 3D in relation to each other. the objects themselves still look 2D.

I admit I am looking forward to the Blu-ray releases announced for later this year from the golden age of 3D: Dial 'M' for Murder, House of Wax and Creature from the Black Lagoon.

11 posted on 08/21/2012 2:54:27 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: SeekAndFind
Regular digital cameras maybe (OK, probably), but digital SLR cameras will still be around for professional use.

3D TV: I can believe this one, unless they go to the IMAX type of thing, with polarized goggles instead of those stupid click-shutter need-to-be-connected-via-USB glasses. Then they need to make movies and such that don't try to wow you with the whole "3D experience". Make the 3D more subtle and it will seem more realistic.

12 posted on 08/21/2012 2:54:44 PM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: Paradox
He is partially wrong on the cameras, But "point and click" models will prbably be overtaken by camera phones.

I agree. I don't care how many megapixels a camera has if it has a crappy little lense. With cameras, optics are everthing.

13 posted on 08/21/2012 3:00:08 PM PDT by Inyo-Mono (My greatest fear is that when I'm gone my wife will sell my guns for what I told her I paid for them)
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To: jeffc

My 3D glasses are passive. I just put them on, similar to Imax.

However, the technology has developed to the point where it’s built into the tv itself, at least within the laboratories, which means commercial viability isn’t too far off.


14 posted on 08/21/2012 3:04:02 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: SeekAndFind
He didn't mention flat screens. I don't think they'll exist in another decade, except in the same sense that people still have CRT televisions kicking around in the basement. Holography and iGlasses will be sufficiently advanced that people will want to throw a pair on and go into the frame rather than just view a flat version on a screen.

I could be wrong but so what, wanna fight about it?

http://gizmodo.com/5923321/would-apple-iglass-be-better-than-googles-glasses


15 posted on 08/21/2012 3:04:21 PM PDT by Sirius Lee (Goode over evil. Voting for mitt or obie is like throwing your country away.)
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To: Inyo-Mono

Have you checked the Nokia purview? It’s supposed to be a generational leap for smartphone cameras. Im not saying it’s the equivalent of lens cameras.


16 posted on 08/21/2012 3:06:08 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Televisions are a passing fad. I’m betting big on radio. I think we’ll all be huddled around large radio cabinets soon.


17 posted on 08/21/2012 3:08:19 PM PDT by youngidiot (The name's Bond. James Bond. James Bond Jovi.)
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To: SeekAndFind
For some perspective, here are things that "Those In The know" have decreed will be obsolete by this year.

Here, too.

And here.

18 posted on 08/21/2012 3:08:27 PM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: Sans-Culotte

When 3D movies first came out, I didn’t think too much of it either. When I went to see Avatar 3D I got sick during the scenes when the protagonist was trying to ride his bird.

But I find it enjoyable when a 3D action causes me to react as if something is coming at me.


19 posted on 08/21/2012 3:10:57 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Simply put, people will be looking toward China to dictate global growth in the future first, not the United States.”

B.S.

The only reason such an oppressive slave-state grew in the last few decades is because of traitors transferring wealth and knowledge from “free” states like ours.

Innovation and development are always stifled in a slave state. There hasn’t been a single Chinese invention under communism that even came close to the constant breakthroughs coming from the USA. People can’t invent or think out of the box when they live in a Chinese factory (aka prison) their entire lives and do nothing but assembly line work.

They simply take our designs, processes, machines etc and make slaves execute it. Often times, even their best engineers can’t figure out our machines. Several colleagues of mine were often sent to China for consulting work when their own engineers were stumped.

China, in its present political state, can only become temporarily “first” if the free world rots...


20 posted on 08/21/2012 3:22:44 PM PDT by varyouga
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To: All

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/08/16/is-this-office-supplys-swan-song.aspx

2 of the 3 largest will be gone ?


21 posted on 08/21/2012 3:26:09 PM PDT by Einherjar
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To: SeekAndFind
In addition to what others have already said about cameras, let me add that a dedicated camera will always take better pictures than any multi-use gadget of comparable price, and people will want good pictures. And not just professionals and hobbyists.
22 posted on 08/21/2012 3:27:50 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: Paradox

I shoot RAW images, camera phones can’t handle RAW format, can they?


23 posted on 08/21/2012 3:28:16 PM PDT by ropin71 (God Bless our Troops!)
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To: Jonty30

I hope not. I have a hard enough time seeing the 2D TV.


24 posted on 08/21/2012 3:32:57 PM PDT by Fledermaus (Democrats are dangerous and evil. Republicans are useless and useful idiots.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Digital cameras aren’t going away, there’s still a large chunk of the population not doing smartphones.

Energy drinks will get tweaked but they’ll still exist. In the end they’re just sugar and caffeine bombs.

Credit cards might change but they’ll still exist.

USPS is in the Constitution, it’s not going away either.


25 posted on 08/21/2012 3:37:58 PM PDT by discostu (Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends.)
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To: Jonty30

Actually people aren’t buying the 3D TVs, they’re already dead. And the movies are starting to wane. Now if they ever figure out how to do it without glasses all that changes, but so far all the ideas for that are insanely expensive and not terribly practical.


26 posted on 08/21/2012 3:40:24 PM PDT by discostu (Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends.)
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To: martin_fierro

I disagree about flash drives. As long as there is information for my eyes only, I will use a flash drive over the cloud. I will also be the last man alive in using software I own over software I have no control over using.

In regards to GPS and encyclopedia, they also will always exist. The physical forms might change, but that doesn’t stop them from existing. My phone has a GPS and the encyclopedia is the internet.


27 posted on 08/21/2012 3:42:06 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: discostu

3D televisions, without the need for glasses, already exist in the labs and should be out within 5 years.

What is interesting is that television sets are already going beyond 1080p. The first 4k televisions are on the marketplace, for only $30 grand :), but that price will drop quickly.

What is also potentially available and being tested is qled television. Instead of millions of pixelations, we are talking billions of pixelations, with each pixel having the capability of showing the complete visible light spectrum.


28 posted on 08/21/2012 3:48:30 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: discostu

3D televisions, without the need for glasses, already exist in the labs and should be out within 5 years.

What is interesting is that television sets are already going beyond 1080p. The first 4k televisions are on the marketplace, for only $30 grand :), but that price will drop quickly.

What is also potentially available and being tested is qled television. Instead of millions of pixelations, we are talking billions of pixelations, with each pixel having the capability of showing the complete visible light spectrum.


29 posted on 08/21/2012 3:49:33 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: Jonty30

Porn will never have looked so real.


30 posted on 08/21/2012 3:50:39 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

There are some things i don’t want to see as real as possible.


31 posted on 08/21/2012 3:53:13 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: Jonty30

The quantity of things that “should be out in 5 years” for the last 30 or 40 years is epic (cure for cancer, viable solar power, half a dozen replacements for gas). Until it’s actually out I never believe them. One of the big problems all the no glasses 3D has is view angle, in the average American living room most people don’t sit in the sweet spot, so the 3D has to look good on a wide range. Most of the glassed 3D doesn’t look good in a wide range. Meanwhile the market is showing people just aren’t that into it, 3D does OK in theaters but not great, and in TV sales was dead until they turned into a “standard” feature, now people get it and don’t use it.


32 posted on 08/21/2012 3:58:25 PM PDT by discostu (Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends.)
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To: SeekAndFind
i guess the boy never tried to hook up a telephoto zoom lens to a camera phone then...
33 posted on 08/21/2012 4:03:53 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Paradox
I don't think he is wrong at all on cameras.

He just forgot to mention one of the innovations that goes with the switch from film to digital: the development of new flat surface lens mounting systems.

This lets you have an array of real optical lenses to gather the image for your phone or tablet's sensors.

With a big enough sensor, eventually this will get you to what you can do with a DSLR.

34 posted on 08/21/2012 4:04:51 PM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Jonty30

As long as USB ports are faster than ethernet ports the flash drive is alive and well. It takes me 10 to 20 minutes to move 4GB around the network at work (depending on how many other people are at work distracting the routers from my important stuff), 2 minutes to move it from my computer to a flash drive. And that’s with both ends in house, if one end is the internet now you’re talking closer to an hour to put 4GB in one direction then an hour on my destination computer, again vs 2 minutes on the flash. And I’m just at USB2, when I make the jump to USB3...


35 posted on 08/21/2012 4:07:00 PM PDT by discostu (Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends.)
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To: discostu

A working standard is certainly an issue. The other main problem in this area is that the although people have the technology to receive these wonderful displays, broadcasters are not ready to upgrade to deliver on these wonderful displays. Many broadcasters just upgraded to 1080p and are not quite willing to go to 4k yet, not until their costs for 1080p have been paid for.


36 posted on 08/21/2012 4:07:13 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: Jonty30

Broadcasters were looking like they were ready to make the jump to 3D, then 3D TV sales tanked.


37 posted on 08/21/2012 4:11:57 PM PDT by discostu (Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends.)
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To: Chode

The idea of a true macro lens apparently never registered either. I like my 100 mm fixed.


38 posted on 08/21/2012 4:28:19 PM PDT by wally_bert (There are no winners in a game of losers. I'm Tommy Joyce, welcome to the Oriental Lounge.)
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To: Jonty30

There could be numerous opportunities for Adobe After Effects people to fix all those glaring imperfections.


39 posted on 08/21/2012 4:31:01 PM PDT by wally_bert (There are no winners in a game of losers. I'm Tommy Joyce, welcome to the Oriental Lounge.)
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To: wally_bert
bingo, different tools for different jobs cause one size does NOT fit all...
40 posted on 08/21/2012 4:33:46 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Chode

Out of what I have in Canon land being the 18-55, 100 macro, 70 300 telephoto and 28-135, the 135 and 100 get the most use and the 100 is my favorite all around when I can use it.


41 posted on 08/21/2012 4:38:04 PM PDT by wally_bert (There are no winners in a game of losers. I'm Tommy Joyce, welcome to the Oriental Lounge.)
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To: IronJack
Pretty much.

Why do you think Japan has been stuck in a perpetual recession for the last 20 years?

Because we stopped buying their crap and started buying Chinese. The rise of China has been financed on the backs of the American consumer base....at least partly. Once that base is gone, China will have to find a new host.

42 posted on 08/21/2012 4:42:57 PM PDT by Carbonsteel
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To: wally_bert
i use the 70-300 the most on mine
43 posted on 08/21/2012 4:49:32 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Chode

One size fits all ... It’s called 0bamacare.


44 posted on 08/21/2012 4:49:39 PM PDT by reg45 (Barack 0bama: Implementing class warfare by having no class!)
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To: reg45
yeah kinda like a one size fits all coffin...
45 posted on 08/21/2012 4:57:44 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: MrEdd
With a big enough sensor, eventually this will get you to what you can do with a DSLR.

This is true, and like I said, there are lens technologies in the future as well that will flatten things. Another poster referenced the PureView 808 from Nokia. It is nothing short of amazing. With enough pixels, you can do a lot. I'm thinking of something like a phased array sort of thing perhaps.

46 posted on 08/21/2012 4:59:43 PM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: discostu

“The quantity of things that “should be out in 5 years” for the last 30 or 40 years is epic (cure for cancer, viable solar power, half a dozen replacements for gas). Until it’s actually out I never believe them.”

The predictions were off but the last 30 or 40 years have been pretty amazing. I’m willing to bet the next 30 or 40 will be jaw dropping.


47 posted on 08/21/2012 5:22:48 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (The democratic party is the greatest cargo cult in history.)
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To: Sans-Culotte

In real life much of what you see looks 2D as well.


48 posted on 08/21/2012 6:11:31 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
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To: SeekAndFind
With new smartphones sporting 8MP cameras, and resolutions increasing yearly, why wouldn't digital cameras go extinct?

Some people just like to hear themselves talk. Being delusional helps them redefine words and concepts.

Cell phones already went extinct. Digital cameras, just got smaller and dumber, and they happen to have an embedded cell phone function.

Make them with decent zoom lenses and automatic stabilization and flash control, and the digital camera lives! with cell phone and gps attached.

Gheeez Louise!

49 posted on 08/21/2012 6:24:37 PM PDT by publius911 (Formerly Publius 6961, formerly jennsdad)
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To: MrEdd

Optical lens basics have been unchanged for 500 years but you think that it will all be thrown out in the next 13?


50 posted on 08/21/2012 8:27:03 PM PDT by mwilli20 (BO. Making communists proud all over the world.)
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