Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2016 (Obama vs Romney) Debt, GDP & Money Supply
St Louis Fed, Treasury Direct, Masters Degree, Microsoft Excel | now | me

Posted on 09/01/2012 1:18:57 AM PDT by ExxonPatrolUs

Obama's dramatic slowing of the velocity of money has kept prices from rising faster than many had expected while he spreads the wealth around.

As the US borrows astronomical amounts of money from the world to finance Federal spending, the resulting effect is to crowd out the common man and small businesses from borrowing. And this leads those with money to invest more and more into the black hole of US federal spending, even while the US bond rating falls, because the big money lenders know this will soon be the highest yielding investment on the planet, because no other investment will pay off.

Velocity * Money Supply = Nominal GDP

Term
Ends
Prez M1
Velocity
M1
Trillions
Nom GDP
Trillions
Nat Debt
Trillions
1980 Carter 7.02 $0.38 $2.70 $0.83
1984 Reagan 7.21 $0.52 $3.75 $1.37
1988 Reagan 6.52 $0.75 $4.90 $2.35
1992 Bush 1 6.70 $0.90 $6.01 $3.60
1996 Clinton 6.81 $1.13 $7.70 $4.99
2000 Clinton 8.72 $1.13 $9.82 $5.78
2004 Bush 2 8.79 $1.30 $11.45 $7.00
2008 Bush 2 10.31 $1.37 $14.14 $9.23
2012 Obama 6.96 $2.20 $15.30 $15.99
2016 Obama 3.62 $3.02 $16.46 $22.00
2016 Romney 9.55 $1.78 $17.04 $12.98

treasurydirect.gov: Debt to the Penny
stlouisfed.org: M1 Velocity
stlouisfed.org: M1
stlouisfed.org: GDP


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: debt; gdp; obama; romney

1 posted on 09/01/2012 1:19:07 AM PDT by ExxonPatrolUs
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ExxonPatrolUs

Ok, I’ll bite. Where do the 2016 number come from?


2 posted on 09/01/2012 1:28:20 AM PDT by JLS
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JLS

Obama
M1 Velocity = Fail! Changing to 5.45 so V = GDP / M1
M1 Stock = Forecasted by how fast he increased it already
Nom GDP = Forecasted by how fast Ben Bernanke increased it.
National Debt = Forecasted by how fast Obama increased M1 Supply

Romney
M1 Velocity = Average of 2008 and 2012 velocity
M1 Stock = Average of 2012 and Obama’s 2016 number
Nom GDP = Velocity * Money Supply
National Debt = Forecasted by the rate at which Romney reduces the M1 Stock

Can’t be any worse than Geithner’s taxes!


3 posted on 09/01/2012 1:50:06 AM PDT by ExxonPatrolUs ("Trizzle, trazzle, trozzle, trome, time for this one to come home" - Mr Wizard)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ExxonPatrolUs

We do not trust Obama to do the right thing and the media could care less about what happens to this country. We have to believe the American people are smart enough to fire someone who does not perform at the job.


4 posted on 09/01/2012 5:24:32 AM PDT by FreedBird
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson