Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Intrade Odds 79.0 Obama 20.6 Romney
Intrade ^ | Current | Intrade

Posted on 09/28/2012 11:24:51 AM PDT by stocksthatgoup

Obama 79 Romney 21

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; electionodds; intrade; obama; romney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-118 next last
Just a question. With polls so skewed isn't this a good opportunity to pick up a few bucks before we get to close the election. I have to believe that the odds are going to remain so skewed. I believe one could buy a Romney bet today and sell it on Nov 5th for a nice profit. What do you all think?
1 posted on 09/28/2012 11:24:53 AM PDT by stocksthatgoup
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

If this is being manipulated, whoever is doing the manipulation has gone to great lengths to manipulate each of the battleground states as well.


2 posted on 09/28/2012 11:27:10 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

I’m surprised that the 0 campaign is spending so much of their campaign funds on betting at Intrade.


3 posted on 09/28/2012 11:27:31 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Buy it....odds are not going to get better before the election.....

Nothing would be sweeter than having a Romney win and a pile of cash....


4 posted on 09/28/2012 11:29:22 AM PDT by nevergore ("It could be that the purpose of my life is simply to serve as a warning to others.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Same market that was 90:1 that Obamacare would be overturned by USSC. Yep, they’re infallible.


5 posted on 09/28/2012 11:31:15 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

“Obama 79 Romney 21”

R I I I I I I I I I I I I I I G G G T


6 posted on 09/28/2012 11:31:46 AM PDT by ICE-FLYER (God bless and keep the United States of America)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Or, you can donate the same money to Romney to guarantee a R victory.


7 posted on 09/28/2012 11:32:34 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

OK, this has to be manipulation. Even if you believe the polls, there’s nothing about the current state of the race that means “Obama is a sure thing.” Just the fact that both camps are saying it’s tight should be enough to deter someone.


8 posted on 09/28/2012 11:34:13 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Odds with bookmakers in the UK (William Hill, Ladbrokes) are even more skewed: Obama 83 / Romney 17.


9 posted on 09/28/2012 11:35:49 AM PDT by Zajko (Never wrestle with a pig. You'll both get dirty, but the pig likes it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mr. Silverback

Exactly! How long ago were we driving in fear of encountering a Toyota Prius on the road? Oh, the HORROR!!!


10 posted on 09/28/2012 11:37:09 AM PDT by caprock
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Mitt Romney’s vice president choice July 2012

Paul Ryan Intrade chances: 4.1%

Rob Portman Intrade chances: 32%


11 posted on 09/28/2012 11:37:20 AM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Any idea what Intrade says that the odds are that America will no longer exist after the Kommie Kenyan is reelected?


12 posted on 09/28/2012 11:37:47 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Proud to be a 53 percenter American.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Zajko
bunch of gambling site odds all together
13 posted on 09/28/2012 11:38:13 AM PDT by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: LS

What’s the total amount being wagered on the election? I bet it’s quite small, and therefore easy to manipulate.


14 posted on 09/28/2012 11:41:30 AM PDT by TheConservator ("I spent my life trying not to be careless. Women and children can be careless, but not men.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup
My question on this is if the figures are true, then how many Republicans are voting for Obama? Assume the percentages of voters are 1/3 Dims, 1/3 Independents, and 1/3 Republicans. To get almost 80% of the vote means that all the Dims, all the Independents, and almost half of the Republicans are voting for Obama.

Something does not compute. (Of course I did not allow for dead people, illegals, felons, and multiple votings)

15 posted on 09/28/2012 11:42:46 AM PDT by ProudFossil (" I never did give anyone hell. I just told the truth and they thought it was hell." Harry Truman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS
Same market that was 90:1 that Obamacare would be overturned by USSC. Yep, they’re infallible.

Predictions about a Supreme Court ruling bear no resemblance to predictions about election results. Markets like this work by "pricing in" information relevant to the prediction. The Supreme Court is, effectively, a black box: until a decision is released, there is very little information with which to make a prediction. With an election, on the other hand, there is an almost endless stream of information one can use to: polls (even skewed polls provide useful information, as long as the internals are released), economic data, other external indicators, etc.

16 posted on 09/28/2012 11:43:51 AM PDT by Conscience of a Conservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

One of the few “polls” that I’d trust.
Stop relying on “oh, the polls are wrong” and start relying on convincing people to vote R.


17 posted on 09/28/2012 11:44:38 AM PDT by ctdonath2 ($1 meals: http://abuckaplate.blogspot.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ProudFossil
To get almost 80% of the vote means that all the Dims, all the Independents, and almost half of the Republicans are voting for Obama.

Intrade is not saying that Obama will get 80% of the vote. It is saying Obama has an 80% chance of winning.

18 posted on 09/28/2012 11:45:11 AM PDT by arista
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

Intrade had Kerry up 90 to 10 on election day 2004 when the bad exit polls were being leaked.

The gamblers betting on Intrade are not “in the know.” ... They’re simply playing off the same conventional wisdom that you see in the media.


19 posted on 09/28/2012 11:45:27 AM PDT by Arthurio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: stocksthatgoup

http://money.cnn.com/2001/11/29/investing/q_enronanalysts/index.htm


20 posted on 09/28/2012 11:46:44 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Read SCOTUS Castle Rock vs Gonzales before dialing 911!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-118 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson