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Data Points-Hugh Hewitt
Self | 9/28/2012 | Self

Posted on 09/28/2012 3:52:21 PM PDT by Signalman

Hugh Hewitt just stated, on his show, the following:

In 2008, GOP voters requested a total of 144,300 absentee ballots.

As of today, with 39 days left to go to the election, GOP voters in OH have already requested 145,400 absentee ballots, about a 1% gain.

In 2008 Democrat voters requested 288,270 absentee ballots.

As of today, Democrat voters have requested 177,000 absentee ballots. A drop of 38.5%

Voter Registration: Voter registration in Ohio is down 490,000.

44% of that drop is in Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, Democrat strongholds.

Ohio is going Romney.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: hewitt; ohio; vanity

1 posted on 09/28/2012 3:52:29 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman
This needs to be a blowout of epic proportions. Nothing short of a devastating repudiation of The Won and his commie america hating agenda will do.
2 posted on 09/28/2012 3:54:35 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: LS

ping


3 posted on 09/28/2012 3:59:52 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: Signalman
Hewitt failed to notice the new independent registrations. They're roughly equal to the Democrat losses.

I bet they'll vote anyway.

4 posted on 09/28/2012 4:02:42 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
Hewitt failed to notice the new independent registrations. They're roughly equal to the Democrat losses.

Good point. And since, historically, 80% of Indies vote for the challenger, that's even worse news for Obama.
5 posted on 09/28/2012 4:04:31 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

Ohio is going Romney.
///
yep.
that is what some of us have been saying for many weeks.
while people like Rove were telling us the opposite.


6 posted on 09/28/2012 4:09:32 PM PDT by Elendur (It is incumbent on every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Signalman
Could be, but if you caught my bit on the run away robocall system the Dems had in use this last year for state and local election support, the demographics on Indies may well have changed.

May mean nothing but a wash. Or, some really POd Democrats.

7 posted on 09/28/2012 4:12:10 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Signalman
Voter Registration: Voter registration in Ohio is down 490,000. 44% of that drop is in Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, Democrat strongholds.

This will just be proof that THE ELECTION SO STOLEN!

8 posted on 09/28/2012 4:12:38 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: Elendur

Rove has no idea.


9 posted on 09/28/2012 4:12:53 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
Sure they will. But will they vote D? All polls, even ones we don't like, pretty much have Romney slightly-to-greatly ahead among Is.

So in my spreadsheet analysis I assumed a 50/50 break---even though the rule of thumb is that Indies go for the challenger.

10 posted on 09/28/2012 4:23:27 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: muawiyah

You’re not following our thread on absentees. The percentages have changed dramatically. We’re talking sea change if these hold up. Franklin, which went for Obama by 21 points, now has over 5500 R advantage in requested absentees. That’s unheard of. Red counties, which were up by 10 points for McCain, are now coming in 2:1, 3:1. Hamilton, which went for Obama, will clearly go Romney. Follow the thread. There’s some great stuff there.


11 posted on 09/28/2012 4:26:23 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Those are signs of rampaging carnage just like in 1994 and 2010. Note both times the sleeping conservative-moderate giant woke up and rampaged at the polls, being terrified by what they saw from new leftist administrations.


12 posted on 09/28/2012 4:36:06 PM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: LS
Boomers are getting older ~ 4 years older ~ so you'd expect more absentee ballots from older Republican boomers.

Democrats have a higher death rate ~ which sounds strange doesn't it, but it's true, and with 40% of their field voting strength being black folks, should suggest a much higher death rate than almost any other group.

So, there'd be a decline in the number of older black voters asking for absentee ballots.

Two numbers ~ one going up, one going down ~ and that would easily account for the observed phenomenon.

What you want to find is a massive drop off in the Democrat yout' vote ~ they've had another 4 years of joblessness ~ might be tired of it ~ or 'that ol' fruit don' mean nothin' ('bama doesn't care) ~ and they might just sit out the election entirely ~ which is normal behavior for 'yout'.

13 posted on 09/28/2012 4:44:30 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: MrDem
BTW, as much as folks think of 2010 as a time of overwhelming voter triumph, Republicans had a 15 million dropoff from 2008 and Democrats had a 30 million dropoff from 2008.

We beat them in the voter suppression game apparently ! (Bwahahahahahaaaa!)

14 posted on 09/28/2012 4:47:00 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
Well, we have the statistics we have. I'd say just the opposite on Republicans: those who grew up in the habit of going to the polls will still go. Blacks generally don't do a lot of absentees either, nor do "yuts," so I don't think this holds up and certainly it's not measurable. I can speak from anecdotal experience as a college prof that the "yuts" simply won't be there for Zero in anywhere the same numbers.

So, when you cut through all that, the statistics we have seem pretty staggering: Dem registrations down, huge. Absentee requests by Rs up, huge. When you throw in registration declines with underperformance, you have the makings of a pretty solid Romney victory here. Absentee requests by Dems down, significantly.

15 posted on 09/28/2012 5:31:47 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: muawiyah

One more reason that your “black/older” theory doesn’t hold up so well: we are seeing this change/phenomenon across every single county, not JUST in urban or “black” counties, and not just in older but also in Franklin, with OSU, and Hamilton, with three universities.


16 posted on 09/28/2012 5:33:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
Remember, very very very very important ~ the Dems got 10 million more to the polls in 2008 than we did!

They have voters to waste!

For some unaccounted reason we failed to do a massive "Republican" voter registration drive, and lord only knows what's in line for 'Get out the Vote' ~ we don't even have campaign signs around here for anyone.

17 posted on 09/28/2012 5:35:44 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: LS

4 years is a long time for the older folks ~ those death rates are substantially higher than for the 30-55 range. Remember, the first Boomer was born in 1947 ~ 66 years ago ~ http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/09/21/health/a-troubling-trend-in-life-expectancy.html?ref=us ~ interesting display, but it says 65 is toward the top end for blacks! Frankly, i think the big deal is loss of older black voters because they moved to the other list ~


18 posted on 09/28/2012 5:43:08 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
I'd like to see how many of that 9.7 million (not ten, if we're nit picking) was "yuts," whose numbers---either through not voting or switching (as some polls suggest they will) account for. Say 2m. Then there was what many people will think is a one time spike in black and Hispanic votes. Whether you like him or not, Dick Morris does his own polling and has found them, yes, underperforming by 2-3%. Nationally, that's a helluva lot of people.

I agree a national GOP registration drive would be nice, and by the way in most states, yes, the GOP did have big registrations in 2011-2012.

But nobody ever has "voters to waste," and these numbers, as I will state for the umpteenth time, show that ACROSS THE BOARD, EVERYWHERE, EVERY COUNTY Dem underperformance by significant to huge levels. I don't know how else to explain that they WON Franklin Co. by 21 points and in percent absentees are now trailing by 5!!!!!!

That's a 26 point swing, and those "voters to waste" would be eaten up in one or two big states at that rate.

Finally, this 9.7 million figure, as I've shown you before, is heavily padded in three states that we do not need or care about---CA, IL, and NY. when you take Obama's edge out there, the 9m evaporates.

19 posted on 09/28/2012 5:52:08 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
OSU is immediately adjacent to a part of the Columbus SMSU that reminds me of VCU in Richmond more than any other large public university I've ever seen.

Ghetto isn't the word ~ but they even have Somali operated gas stations!

20 posted on 09/28/2012 5:53:41 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

Some of us don’t want to think it’s that big a deal :) But I know what you mean. Still, I think that the “early voting” phenomenon of 2008 convinced a lot of non-older voters it was ok to vote absentee, though probably not in huge numbers.


21 posted on 09/28/2012 5:55:47 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: muawiyah

Seriously? Ugh. UD isn’t that bad . . . yet. I will say that we have had a very, very significant influx of Muslims, and I find it troubling at a supposedly Christian school. If the goal were to convert them, that would be one thing. But I don’t think that’s the goal.


22 posted on 09/28/2012 5:57:36 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS
Dick is one of my readers. He steals my stuff even if you guys don't like it.

10 million is a lot of difference to make up ~ but I can see the black "spike" dying off at a phenomenal rate during the period of hardships created by the Obama regime. Put those old people in fear of getting medical care and their high hypertension rate ought to be taking them out left and right.

With the black voters being 40% of effective Democrat voting strength in states where there are many black voters (The blue states), broad changes in the black demographic should show as a major impact on the Democrat voting base.

Add to that older black people driven to near madness through ROBOCALL abuse and there you have it ~ maybe 20% of black people who voted in 2008 aren't going to vote this year because they can't ~ except through supernatural intervention.

It simply isn't required for them to be discouraged.........

23 posted on 09/28/2012 6:04:59 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

Hey, don’t “ you guys” me-—I like Dickie. I think he knows polling, but is particularly bad at prediction (which concerns me). So explain the “robopoll” thing. Why would that in particularly upset blacks?


24 posted on 09/28/2012 6:22:34 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Try #10 at http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/2937703/posts


25 posted on 09/28/2012 6:41:02 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

What city was this?


26 posted on 09/28/2012 6:57:38 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Fairfax county ~ some with a Springfield address and some of the state senatorial district with an Alexandria address (which is not really part of Alexandria ~ the postal service area is larger than just that city) ~ the robocall system activated at every level in the DNC command structure overcalled ~ lot. I’d imagine the Dems did this to their black supporters in 2011 elections ~ just another one of their failed ideas.


27 posted on 09/28/2012 7:06:47 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; Evil Slayer; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll ping.


28 posted on 09/28/2012 9:12:10 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: muawiyah
Could be, but if you caught my bit on the run away robocall system the Dems had in use this last year for state and local election support, the demographics on Indies may well have changed. May mean nothing but a wash. Or, some really POd Democrats.

Don't forget all the PO'd conservatives that want to disassociate from the Republican Party. I'd wager that most in that category will vote Romney just to dump Obama.

29 posted on 09/29/2012 2:28:28 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: trebb
hey, i'm an hereditary republican with a straight line of republican ancestors all the way back to the foundations ~ and i want to dissociate the GOP-e ~ and get them out of the party. When George Romney walked out on Barry Goldwater, that should have been the end of that crowd.

It's not too late.

30 posted on 09/29/2012 4:34:38 AM PDT by muawiyah
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