Skip to comments.Vanity-Which campaign's position would you rather be in?
Posted on 10/12/2012 1:39:40 PM PDT by Osama Obama
This probably would have been a more difficult question to answer a week and a half ago.
The MSM is calling this presidential election a tie right now. Putting politics aside, here is the question...
With just over 3 weeks to go, 2 debates down and 2 debates to go, with the current state of the polls and current momentum, would you rather be in their (Obama's) position or our (Romney's) position?
They have the media. They have incumbency. They have the Chicago vote stuffing aparatus. But,
I think unquestionably Romney is in the most advantageous position at this point. Polls are trending his way. There are a number of Obama policy issues on the verge of blowing up. The crowds and excitement seem to be on the Romney side. And, it should not be forgotten that the church-going crowd (including me) are overwhelmingly praying for a Romney victory.
The betting pools have Obama as the favorite, but I think we're in the better position at this point.
I really don’t see what Obama can possibly say at this point to flip independents back over to his side.
His options are narrowing quickly.
1) October Surprise - bomb something and count on the “rally around the flag” effect to get him through.
2) Super-charge his base to turn out in massive numbers with a huge vote-buying scam like Student Loan Forgiveness.
3) Instigate some type of crisis and try to use it as an excuse to postpone the election.
I personally think he’ll try Option 2.
It’s too late for student loan forgiveness.
He can’t do it by EO and no one is in Congress.
That had to be done before the election recess. Bringing it up now won’t work.
I am going to answer this question like this:
Nate Silver is back peddling and UC Boulder is doubling down: Which campaign would you rather be?
He doesn't actually have to do it. He just has to promise it to fire up his base. When the college kids wake up on November 7 owing just as much as before, Obama won't need them and kick them to the curb like a one night stand.
He would not have to actually deliver Student Loan Forgiveness. Just make a speech at some university promising it would be his “top legislative priority in a second term”. Throw in a lot of mumbo about how it will “free up disposable income for consumers to get the economy moving again” and they’ll lap it up like Jello Pudding.