Skip to comments.Vanity - The corollary between the National vote and the Ohio vote
Posted on 10/14/2012 10:53:32 AM PDT by Perdogg
National: Obama 52.87 McCain 45.60
Ohio: Obama 51.38 McCain 46.80
National: Bush 50.73 Kerry 48.27
Ohio: Bush 50.81 Kerry 48.71
National: Bush 47.87 Gore 48.27 Nader 2.73
Ohio: Bush 49.97 Gore 48.71 Nader 2.5
National: Clinton 49.23 Dole 40.72 Perot 8.4
Ohio: Clinton 47.38 Dole 41.02 Perot 10.66
National: Clinton 43.01 Bush 37.45 Perot 18.91
Ohio: Clinton 40.18 Bush 38.35 Perot 20.98
National: Bush 53.37 Dukakis 45.65
Ohio: Bush 55.00 Dukakis 44.15
Since 1988, There is a very close relationship between the overall national vote and the Ohio vote. With the exception of 2004, but not by much, the democrat always underperforms in Ohio relative to the national vote. If Romney is up 2 Nationally, he will probably win Ohio by 3 to 4 points.
Exactly! This why any talk of Romney winning the popular vote by 2 or 3 and losing the EV is retarded.
I think that is that is true, it must be especially true this year, when there has been such a dramatic shift in our favor in the party registration numbers.
Given today’s Gallup, I feel really good with this info.
David Limbaugh just pinged this on Twitter. Good work.
Thank you. A good perspective.
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