Skip to comments.Colorado: R50/O46 (Drudge developing...)
Posted on 10/22/2012 7:12:00 AM PDT by tatown
Colorado: R50/O46 developing....
(Excerpt) Read more at drudgereport.com ...
Colorado living up to its names meaning!
My on the ground friends and my wife visiting last week confirm this to be true and perhaps a tad understated.
The really good news is the challenger is at or above 50%. I don’t see His Excellency coming back from that.
Going to early vote in about 15 minutes.
This is a big one, right? My head swims trying to keep my “important swing states” straight.
We’ve known this for a while on the ground in CO. I’m in the swing county. We’ve talked to a lot of independents. Romney is going to win Colorado.
Big one indeed! Romney can win IA, NV and CO and not even need OH. CO is looking good.
We need to see better numbers out in IA & NV to feel safe. Screwy stuff can get us when a state is won at the margins.
I keep thinking that there’s just too many Mormons in NV for Mitt to lose it. Who knows about Iowa...that state has never exactly been in love with Romney.
I just find that amazing.
Romney now leads Independent Voters in swing states 50-37
That is good. Now if only we could replace Romney with Santorum...I am just dreaming...don’t worry.
Romney will win PA I think. I am in the suburbs around Philly and the Romney signs are dwarfing the Obama signs. I mean they are everywhere.
“This is a big one, right?”
Only 9 EVs, but Colorado figures in almost all of the various combinations of battle ground states necessary to arrive at a winning number of EVs. So, very important from that perspective.
Thanks for the tip. My brother just sent me a link to a website that runs down these important swing states.
That's not a dream; that's a nightmare.
Pray for Nevada, it is going to be very tough. I have been spending every Saturday working down there from Utah. The Dems have a very large registration advantage in Clark. I was in an area where union workers were in number. I talked to one guy, who had just gotten back to work after being off of work for 2 years, tell me “I am going to support my union”. I told him “my husband belongs to the Teacher’s Union and he works every day for Romney. You already pay dues to your union, they don’t own your vote.” I always hit em with the secret ballot thing. Now, this guy lives on a street where 1/3 of the homes are obviously bank owned. It is astonishing that this election can be this close given the shape that Clark County is in. The “knuckleheads”, low IQ voters are going for Obama. The key is a 10 point lead or better, in turnout. Don’t get me wrong, there are pockets that are Romney 10 to 1. The other problem down here is that 25-30% of all of the people on my list were wrong addresses or empty homes. If you live in Southern Cal, we are running buses into Clark for the next 2 weeks. Call HQ in Summerlin. Turnout is EVERYTHING!
Me too! Early voting opens today in Texas. I will be OOT visiting my mother in Virginia on election day just as I was in 2000. We were glued to Fox News for that whole fiasco.
Or Wisconsin, Nevada, and Colorado. For some reason I think Obama’s going to win Ohio and Romney’s going to win Wisconsin, Nevada, and Colorado.
I think Romney gets Ohio.
The Obamunist carried Ohio by 230,000 votes last time, and sine 2008 there have been 400,000 purges off the voter rolls, particularly in Cuyahoga which is predominantly Democrat.
Also, 2008 turnout levels are not realistic for Democrats.
“Romney can win IA, NV and CO and not even need OH. CO is looking good.”
Nevada looks like it’s going to Obama. Rasmussen’s last poll shows him leading there, 50-47%.
Despite all kinds of optimism here on FR, Ohio still looks to be tough for Romney, and will likely be as close on election night as was Florida in 2000 (I would enjoy being proven wrong on this). So, as it stands today (hpefully things will change in the next two weeks), I believe Romney’s path to victory must exclude OH.
If Romney can hold Colorado (9 electoral votes), he could combine Iowa (6) and New Hampshire (4) to overcome the loss of Ohio (18 votes).
I’m not going to be lulled into notions that this election will be a runaway for Romney. It will be excruciatingly close in the places that count (states like Utah, Oklahoma, California, Illinois, Vermont or New York don’t “count” because we know they will vote “top heavy” for either Romney or Obama).
Most people have already made up their minds, and the struggle for the few “undecideds” (where on earth do these folks come from?) or “waving wheats” (folks who “change their support” for reasons only they know) is going to elevate to a crescendo in the next 14 days, with more and more riding on “less and less”, insofar as the issues are concerned.
One consolation is that something like 90% of people (at least in some instances) simply refuse to talk to pollsters at all. With only one in ten are willing to talk to them, it makes me wonder what “the 90%” are really thinking. Also makes me wonder what percentage of these “refuseniks” support Romney in their secrecy, and how many support Obama. A lot of reticence out there — and a lot of anger.
“That is good. Now if only we could replace Romney with Santorum...I am just dreaming...dont worry.”
If you thought the “war on women” was bad with Romney and Ryan as candidates...
No, I don’t think Santorum would be able to handle it. Or Newt, for that matter. We need more professional conservatives otherwise we’re going to get stuck with professional RINO’s.
I agree that Nevada is toughest on that list. I just don’t feel as optimistic about the Midwest as you. I don’t see us winning WI but losing OH....but hey, I’d really rather you be right than I be right.
Coal is going to win PA. Also the fact that the Catholic Church is at War w the Obama admin over healthcare... PA could turn red.
The reason I see us winning WI is the Dems threw EVERYTHING at us this Summer w the recall of Gov Walker. It was a dry run for what ground game was needed this Nov. Expect to see nearly the same results for Romney and Thompson. Maybe a little less Like 50-48
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.