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Romney Will Lose If He Continues To Play It Safe
Rightwing Wing Nuts Blog ^ | 10/26/12 | John Alan

Posted on 10/26/2012 4:28:18 PM PDT by not romney

If you only listen to Fox News and Rush Limbaugh you believe Romney is winning. He's not, he's losing. Both Real Clear Politics and Intrade have Obama with 281 electoral votes with 11 days til the election. You only need 270 to win. Intrade predicted every state correctly in 2004 and had two states reversed in 2008.

Move your cursor over each state "click here" to see the candidates chance of winning. Notice Virginia has moved back toward Obama and has more chance of going for Obama than Ohio does of going for Romney. There have been a lot of one-off polls showing Pennsylvania and Michigan in play, however Intrade shows otherwise. Colorado is a toss up and currently leans Obama. Iowa and New Hampshire are trending Obama, while Wisconsin and Nevada are currently dark blue.

This is a far different picture from the one being painted by Sean Hannity, Dick Morris and Karl Rove. So then why is Romney pulling his punches on Benghazi? It's becoming clearer every day Obama refused to send in a rescue mission because he's haunted by the Jimmy Carter failed rescue attempt back in 1980.

I believe the Benghazi scandal has the potential of becoming one of the biggest in U.S. history. So again, why is Romney sitting with his arms folded? Because he's just as risk averse as Obama. He's terrified the media will again accuse him of politicizing the death of these four men. What, and Obama is not playing politics by withholding virtually all information, for nearly two months, until after the election?

Forget about the politics for a moment, only Romney has a megaphone large enough to force the media to get off their butts. The families deserve the truth and the American people deserve the truth. Once the truth comes out, the political consequences for Obama will be well deserved. If people knew Obama did nothing for seven hours while four of our men were being murdered, the election would be over. The problem is most people don't know. Now imagine how you'll feel on Nov. 7th if Romney loses because he played it safe by letting Obama off the hook on Benghazi.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: benghazi; intrade; needsazot; obama; romney; troll; vikingkittybait
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1 posted on 10/26/2012 4:28:21 PM PDT by not romney
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To: not romney

that intrade map is WAY OFF as far as Pennsylvania...


2 posted on 10/26/2012 4:30:34 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: not romney
Intrade predicted every state correctly in 2004

Yeah, not need to read any further. Bull*!!!. I remember seeing with my own eyes, Kerry up to 90% on Intrade on election day. Only after actual election returns started coming in did Intrade crash and put Bush ahead.

3 posted on 10/26/2012 4:31:05 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: not romney

Nixon played it safe in 1968 and managed to squeak through. Romney must be trying the same gambit, might not work, for 69 million may still believe in Obama.


4 posted on 10/26/2012 4:32:14 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Annoy the Establishment! Vote for Akin!)
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To: not romney

The answer is the polls don’t work anymore. The response levels are so low that the narrow interests of special interests are over-represented.


5 posted on 10/26/2012 4:32:21 PM PDT by muawiyah (quack quack quack stomp stomp SQUAWK! oh, mommy, look what the mean man did to my Obamaduck)
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To: not romney

Me thinks someone is trying to lure Romney into a trap. Romney is doing just fine.


6 posted on 10/26/2012 4:34:14 PM PDT by annieokie (O)
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To: not romney

FWIW, it’s not just the Intrade market predicting Obama to win it, but also others:

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2012presidentindividual

A potential caveat is I’m sure many Intrade bettors also make plays at these other sites as well.

Food for thought.


7 posted on 10/26/2012 4:34:30 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State)
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To: not romney

not romney
Since Feb 22, 2012

view home page, enter name:

~ About ~ Links ~ Contact ~ In Forum ~ Mail To ~

Return
not romney hasn’t created an about page

This guy is a CLASSIC “Concern Troll”: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2112236/posts AND http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2594943/posts GO AWAY TROLL!


8 posted on 10/26/2012 4:35:19 PM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: not romney

If Romney’s playing it safe, it is because he is way ahead.

They are spending a huge amount of money on ads in the remaining close states and still visiting ones where he has a lead to keep them won. They are doing the right things, as far as I see it.


9 posted on 10/26/2012 4:37:29 PM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: not romney

” not Romney “ is your screen name ?

LOL....no agenda here....


10 posted on 10/26/2012 4:37:40 PM PDT by Popman (November 7th...will be a good day for America..)
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To: not romney

Given your screen name I presume you are hoping Romney continues to play it safe and loses.


11 posted on 10/26/2012 4:38:14 PM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: not romney

This guy has the states all wrong. The only necessary state yet to be decisive for Romney is Ohio. Colorado is won, Iowa is likely to go our way, and Wisconsin is tied.


12 posted on 10/26/2012 4:40:24 PM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: muawiyah

“The answer is the polls don’t work anymore...”

With all of those early voters having cast their ballots, why doesn’t or can’t they report to the public the ongoing tally of results?


13 posted on 10/26/2012 4:41:27 PM PDT by equaviator (There's nothing like the universe to bring you down to earth.)
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To: not romney

Obama going down in landslide wave election.
http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/10/the_wave_that_breaks_the_liberal_bubble.html

More a loss for liberalism than a victory for Mitt - but its coming.


14 posted on 10/26/2012 4:41:32 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright ("You Might Be a Liberal" (YMBAL) Coming out Sept 1 by C. Edmund Wright)
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To: not romney
Romney made his decision about how to play this a year ago.

Right or wrong, it's his to play. If he loses, there will be hell to pay in the GOP civil war.

If he wins? I will man up and say I was wrong and he was right.

His strategy is to let Obama be Obama. Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.

If the People elect what they saw during the 3 debates, we are f***ed anyway. If they elect Romney, he won't have to deal with being the guy who ripped apart that nice man Obama.

He won the right to run the campaign his way. We get the answer soon.

Good luck, Mitt.

15 posted on 10/26/2012 4:41:40 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: not romney
Romney had every opportunity to blast Obama on Benghazi but he and his brain trust chose not to do so. I trust their judgment. Benghazi is now 100% in Obama’s court and it is becoming too big for him to hide.
16 posted on 10/26/2012 4:42:59 PM PDT by JPG (Make it happen)
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To: not romney

How do you explain the massive crowds for Romney and the weak ones for Zero?


17 posted on 10/26/2012 4:44:13 PM PDT by 23 Everest (When seconds count. The police are just 23 minutes away. 831 Bonnie)
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To: not romney

Chuckle...

Better inform the candidate’s themselves of this, because ROMNEY acts like a WINNER and OBAMA acts like a LOSER.


18 posted on 10/26/2012 4:45:35 PM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: not romney

This article is crap.

Futhermore, if Americans re-elect this murderer of heroes, then Americans deserve no country.


19 posted on 10/26/2012 4:47:32 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: not romney

             



From this thread:

- - - - - -

I remember reading a couple FReepers' thoughts following the 3rd debate that their 'sense' was that both R & Ø acted like they knew something had or was about to happen.

They then proceeded to (mainly) sidestep the entire Libyan situation, with much wailing / gnashing of teeth here re Romney's 'missed opportunity' to stick the foreign policy knife in deeply.

And now, as this TREASON is finding the light of day, perhaps the mystery of that debate 'something' becomes clear as well.

Perhaps Mitt figured out, or was advised, to steer well clear of the entire CF and allow the MaggØt to hoist himself on his own traitorous petard ?

20 posted on 10/26/2012 4:49:36 PM PDT by tomkat (it's a shame that HANGING TRAITORS has gone out of fashion)
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To: Popman; Homer_J_Simpson; not romney

Wow, how short peoples’ memories are. I have a Freepmail from Jim Rob earlier this year imploring me not to criticize Gingrich, because Romney was so terrible. Now you guys are telling me Jim Ron, and all the other Freepers who supported a conservative (or who supported Newt Gingrich) are terrible and should be shunned? This used to be a conservative web site.


21 posted on 10/26/2012 4:50:13 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Doogle; All
Intrade is being manipulated by Obama supporters (probably Soros). By buying Obama lots and pushing those share up, Romney shares automatically fall (this is a zero sum game--a bettor can buy long and sell short--thereby making money on spread--this means that Obama's share price and Romney's will always add up to 100% minus Intrade expenses).

This is still a low volume period for Intrade so it can be manipulated for effect for not a lot of money.

Take a look at volume for Obama and Romney today. Last time I looked (an hour or so ago), the Obama volume is twice what the Romney volume is...yet Obama doesn't have twice the enthusiasm in this country or around the world.

Manipulating Intrade is a cheap and easy form of political advertising for Obama.

Watch what happens 48 hours before the election.

22 posted on 10/26/2012 4:51:16 PM PDT by RoosterRedux (Obama: "If you've got a business -- you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen.")
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To: Popman; Homer_J_Simpson; not romney

For the record, I think Romney will win by a lot. But he’s still a socialist and hated conservatives. Funny how people who used to be against Romney, now think think he’s the greatest thing ever, and have adopted socialism etc.


23 posted on 10/26/2012 4:52:14 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: not romney

Wrong. Dude is gonna win no matter what, at this point.


24 posted on 10/26/2012 4:53:11 PM PDT by Lazamataz (The Pravda Press has gone from 'biased' straight on through to 'utterly bizarre'.)
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To: JPG

Exactly. Romney receives intel briefings now. Not only that the Obama admin threw the intel community under the bus a few weeks ago. Remember Obama doesn’t really like the briefings because he’s so smart, he can figure it out himself??? I was angry too that Romney didn’t go after Obama for Benghazi during the foreign policy debate. Maybe Romney knew what was coming down the pike because he actually attends his intel briefings and decided to let it the forthcoming info do Obama in itself. Smart move if that’s the case. I like it.


25 posted on 10/26/2012 4:53:13 PM PDT by rangerwife (Proud wife of a Purple Heart Recipient)
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To: tomkat
Trolling', trolling, trolling,

Keep those assholes trolling'

Keep those newbies rollin', rawhide!

26 posted on 10/26/2012 4:53:30 PM PDT by johniegrad
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To: muawiyah
The answer is the polls don’t work anymore. The response levels are so low that the narrow interests of special interests are over-represented.

I have come to the same conclusion. Your insight has helped me reach it.

Thanks

27 posted on 10/26/2012 4:53:57 PM PDT by marktwain
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To: Utmost Certainty

I happen to think that the analyses here:

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/2012electorate.cfm

and here:

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_02.cfm

have the described situation precisely as it is.

Romney: 53.974%, Obama 46.026% nationally. No one with this margin of victory in the national popular vote has ever lost in the electoral college.


28 posted on 10/26/2012 4:54:43 PM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: Jim Noble

Well said, Jim !


29 posted on 10/26/2012 4:54:47 PM PDT by tomkat (it's a shame that HANGING TRAITORS has gone out of fashion)
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To: not romney

Is your last name Axelrod?


30 posted on 10/26/2012 4:55:21 PM PDT by mplsconservative ($7.75 for a block of Velveeta cheese? Let's have an anti-Obama grilled cheese revolt!)
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To: not romney
We here at Free Republic are truly blessed to have shared in the amazing insight and political genius of John Alan, whoever that is.

Thank you, not romney!

/s
31 posted on 10/26/2012 4:56:16 PM PDT by 867V309
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To: annieokie

Agree....and isn’t he launching a huge ad offensive the last week?


32 posted on 10/26/2012 4:57:21 PM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: johniegrad
L O L !
33 posted on 10/26/2012 4:57:31 PM PDT by tomkat (it's a shame that HANGING TRAITORS has gone out of fashion)
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To: johniegrad

always pick out the trolls, they never respond to a post...like drive by’s, they hit and scoot


34 posted on 10/26/2012 4:57:39 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: US Navy Vet; Old Sarge; TheOldLady; Vendome; Larry Lucido; humblegunner
I think you nailed it.

 

Look at his posting history. Nothing but anti-Romney remarks and threads as far as you can see. Has also tussled with the anti-blog pimp FReepers too.

And now this??

 

35 posted on 10/26/2012 4:58:13 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (NO LIBS. This Means Liberals and (L)libertarians! Same Thing. NO LIBS!!)
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To: not romney

Notice Virginia has moved back toward Obama and has more chance of going for Obama than Ohio does of going for Romney.

BULLDINKY. Rasmussen has Romney up 3 in Virginia, and Ohio tied. You Lie. Get lost.


36 posted on 10/26/2012 4:58:36 PM PDT by heights
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To: not romney
If you only listen to Fox News and Rush Limbaugh you believe Romney is winning.

I'm not sure what is really happening with these state polls, but this statement is correct. Both sides surrogates and supporters seem to believe they are winning. Rush, Hannity, many personalities on Fox, etc, seem convinced Romney is winning and might even run away with it. On the other side, Nate Silver, InTrade, MSNBC, CNN, the networks, KOS, etc, seem absolutely certain that Obama is headed to a narrow election win.

It's weird that both sides are so convinced they are right. Usually one side just pretends to have momentum, but you can tell even they think they are losing. Everyone has been part of that and it's horrible. We all knew McCain/Palin was going down last time, but had to try to keep our spirits up and put on a good show. This time around it genuinely seems like both sides think they are winning.

37 posted on 10/26/2012 4:59:12 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: John Valentine

Dunno, the Unskewed Polls site seems sketchy to me… what the heck is QStarNews, anyway? Never remotely heard of this outfit before.


38 posted on 10/26/2012 5:01:27 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State)
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To: Longbow1969
On the other side, Nate Silver, InTrade, MSNBC, CNN, the networks, KOS, etc, seem absolutely certain that Obama is headed to a narrow election win.

Liberalism is a mental disease.

39 posted on 10/26/2012 5:03:10 PM PDT by mplsconservative ($7.75 for a block of Velveeta cheese? Let's have an anti-Obama grilled cheese revolt!)
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To: not romney
American on-line betting laws have changed making it very hard for us to use Intrade. Most of those bets are from Europeans and they have no idea what is happening.
40 posted on 10/26/2012 5:04:01 PM PDT by TWfromTEXAS
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To: not romney

I hate Romney more than most...but you are wrong, he will win in a landslide. I take no happiness from this, but that is the way I see it. We’ll talk on Nov. 7th.


41 posted on 10/26/2012 5:05:28 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: johniegrad

Thanks, LOL. Now that song is stuck in my mind.


42 posted on 10/26/2012 5:06:43 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (Ignorance is bliss- I'm stoked)
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To: Longbow1969

The key is to get away from places like FR and take an objective look at hard numbers. The polls support the narrow Obama victory side of things. They are all close but the EV count still favors Obama. Can Romney pull it off? Sure, but the euphoria that pervades places like FR tend to leave you heartbroken.


43 posted on 10/26/2012 5:06:49 PM PDT by paul544
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To: Responsibility2nd

He’s a pimp himself.


44 posted on 10/26/2012 5:07:16 PM PDT by humblegunner
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To: marktwain
I'm disturbed by my own insights ~ can't be I'm the only person seeing these problems ~ but then again not all that many people have spent as much time as I have over the decades dwelling on the minutiae of statistical sampling.

Gallup and Rassmussen have 'splained some of what they are doing to mitigate these problems ~ which means they read these threads of ours where we have people looking at what's going on with polling technology.

We may well have helped solve the problem

45 posted on 10/26/2012 5:07:58 PM PDT by muawiyah (quack quack quack stomp stomp SQUAWK! oh, mommy, look what the mean man did to my Obamaduck)
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To: annieokie
Me thinks someone is trying to lure Romney into a trap.


Yep, 0bama wants to blame Bush (and Romney by proxy) again, since it seems the leader of the attack was A.Q. released from Gitmo in 2007.

46 posted on 10/26/2012 5:08:26 PM PDT by SecondAmendment (Restoring our Republic at 9.8357x10^8 FPS)
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To: not romney

Obama’s only hope is that Romney makes a blunder in going aggressive at this point.

The only folks that don’t want Romney to “play it safe”, are those in the Obama camp.

This is a great opportunity to fund down ticket conservative candidates, in close races.
This has the advantage of getting the vote out, for (R)’s up and down the ticket.


47 posted on 10/26/2012 5:12:25 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: not romney

Your concern is duly noted.

Thanks, Romney Campaign


48 posted on 10/26/2012 5:12:43 PM PDT by 98ZJ USMC
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To: Lazamataz
Dude is gonna win no matter what, at this point.

True dat. Unless video of Romney beating a child to death surfaces, he's got this thing in the bag. Even then, it depends on whether the kid is ugly.

49 posted on 10/26/2012 5:19:23 PM PDT by Sloth (If a tax break counts as "spending" then every time I don't rob a bank should be a "deposit.")
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To: JPG

We were all upset that Romney didn’t hit zero more on Libya. However, in hindsight, he played it smart. Its all unraveling right now without soundbites from him for the MSM to play ad nauseum.


50 posted on 10/26/2012 5:19:54 PM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
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