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Vanity - interesting fact about WasPo/ABC Daily Tracking polls (Pay attention Eeyores)
https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher ^ | NumbersMunchers

Posted on 10/28/2012 9:27:47 PM PDT by Perdogg

Per Twitter

WaPo/ABC tracking poll has Romney up 1, 49-48. Sample moved from D+4 Fri to D+6 Sat to D+7 today. Romney up 15 w/ indies.

WaPo/ABC tracking Thur-Sat has same turnout adv for Dems as 08. In 08 Obama won by 7%, today he loses by 1.

Yep... moved from D+4 two days ago to D+7 today. Yet Romney maintained 1 point lead even through the shift.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; poll; polling; polls; wp

1 posted on 10/28/2012 9:28:01 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg

Do you know what their ‘rationale’ is for changing the weighted average?


2 posted on 10/28/2012 9:30:01 PM PDT by madameguinot (Our Father's God to Thee, Author of Liberty)
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


3 posted on 10/28/2012 9:30:12 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

Nice!

Why in the heck doesn’t a single poll EVER error on the side of more R’s??


4 posted on 10/28/2012 9:31:06 PM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: madameguinot

Uh, to keep the not close, to too close to call.


5 posted on 10/28/2012 9:31:42 PM PDT by Professional
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To: madameguinot

What would be the obvious? I am not trying to sound ugly, please forgive if I do.


6 posted on 10/28/2012 9:32:11 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: madameguinot

yea to depress the republican turnout which if you read about 30% of the posts around here seems to be working. JUST GO VOTE AND OBAMA IS TOAST.


7 posted on 10/28/2012 9:32:23 PM PDT by ping jockey (Candy Crowley IS A DUMBASS)
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To: Perdogg

Bump


8 posted on 10/28/2012 9:33:58 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: madameguinot

They claim they don’t include party affiliation as a factor in deciding the composition of the sample. They just ask voters (registered or likely) and the sample just turns out that way.


9 posted on 10/28/2012 9:34:31 PM PDT by kabar
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To: tatown
To keep up enthusiam on the D side for as long as possible.

Consider, if they report that O is down by 10, what will the MSM have to report all next week? Benghazi? Sandy?

Begging D's to turn out anyway?

The "dog whistle" is when the MSM starts reminding everyone that it's also about the "down ticket" races, so that if the D's are disillusioned about Obama they'd still turn out to vote for House, Senate, and Governor races.

-PJ

10 posted on 10/28/2012 9:35:38 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: Perdogg

Good work uncovering that.

Axelrod must have made his phone call to them earlier this week.

Less than a week left before the major pollsters are forced to start reporting accurate numbers.


11 posted on 10/28/2012 9:36:46 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Perdogg

Heh! I expect the poll to be D+12 by the end of the week!

It’s all an expectations game...


12 posted on 10/28/2012 9:36:46 PM PDT by Deagle (quo)
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To: kabar

Thanks!


13 posted on 10/28/2012 9:37:33 PM PDT by madameguinot (Our Father's God to Thee, Author of Liberty)
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To: tatown

Well, this is PPP. What do you expect? I know what you’re saying, though.


14 posted on 10/28/2012 9:55:52 PM PDT by CaspersGh0sts
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To: Perdogg

If they actually showed how far ahead Romney is ahead, the Dem base would not show up and they’d get slaughtered in the down ticket as well.


15 posted on 10/28/2012 10:09:17 PM PDT by 1035rep
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Let them play their D + eleventy-billion games. That will make it all the sweeter when Obummer gets absolutely crushed. These polls only help our side, as if the R’s think its close it motivates them more to go the extra mile to kick Emperor Nero Kardashian Narcissus to the curb.


16 posted on 10/28/2012 10:30:26 PM PDT by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: 1035rep
"If they actually showed how far ahead Romney is ahead, the Dem base would not show up "

Also the campaign contributions would dry up.

17 posted on 10/29/2012 1:01:02 AM PDT by circlecity
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To: circlecity
Also the campaign contributions would dry up.

King Barry needs to pay for his new palace in Hawaii.

18 posted on 10/29/2012 1:04:52 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: madameguinot

Wow. You verified the democrat over sampling?

If so, that’s just bizarre. They just keep upping the Ds in every poll to make sure Romney stays down. Going to be some shocked lefties on Nov 6th lol


19 posted on 10/29/2012 4:23:42 AM PDT by IsaacDian
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To: IsaacDian
Wow. You verified the democrat over sampling?

If so, that’s just bizarre. They just keep upping the Ds in every poll to make sure Romney stays down. Going to be some shocked lefties on Nov 6th lol

All very well, until the Ds start talking about the telephone polls being the real thing and the Nov 6 ballot doesn’t matter . . .

20 posted on 10/29/2012 4:57:01 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which “liberalism" coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: madameguinot
Do you know what their ‘rationale’ is for changing the weighted average?

It is the same old game. If Republicans are winning most polls will show it a neck and neck race until the last week when they have to get their numbers to look sort of accurate so next election they can point to that last week and say see how accurate we were.

If a dem is winning they always show it.

The problems for the republican in reading polls before the last week of the election is deciding whether the republican is winning or is it close (which usually means a republican win).

If this thing was even 1 point win for Obama the media would be shouting it from the rooftops.

21 posted on 10/29/2012 7:03:22 AM PDT by Lady Heron
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