Skip to comments.Dick Morris: Romney will win in a 'landslide'
Posted on 11/03/2012 8:56:38 AM PDT by Signalman
O'REILLY: "Campaign 2012 Segment" tonight, as you may know, Dick Morris predicting a big landslide for Mitt Romney even though, as we mentioned, a "New York Times" poll out today says the President will most likely win in three vital swing state.
Morris, the author of the big new bestseller, "Here Comes the Black Helicopter"; he joins us now Dick Morris from Detroit.
So you, I'm sure, repudiate the "New York Times" poll?
DICK MORRIS, FOX NEWS POLITICAL ANALYST: Yes. And let me go through the numbers because it's important for people to get in.
In Florida, the "Times" says Obama is going to win by one. But their sample has seven points more Democrats than Republicans. Pollster John McLaughlin and I went through the actual results of the last four elections and on average the Republicans had one percent more than the Democrats. So that poll is off by a factor of eight. So instead of Obama winning by one, Romney would win Florida by seven.
In Ohio, Obama is shown as winning by five in the "Times" poll. But they had eight points more Democrats than Republicans. And historically there were only two points more D's than R's. So that's 6 points off. So, instead of Romney losing by five, he wins Ohio by one.
And in Virginia they have Obama winning by two. But they have eight points more Democrats than Republicans and historically there is one point more Republican than Democrat. That's off by a factor of 9. Romney wins Virginia by seven.
O'REILLY: All right. That's pretty much what Rove did on his little board.
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ROMNEY ROMP.. RR.. BIG!
Ok, I’ll put up or shut up.. If I am wrong, it will be PASTA for every FReeper! All of you, PASTA ITALIANO, toto.. :)
Morris revised this October 31 prediction yesterday,sez Sandy favored the incumbent
As Glenn Beck would say, pray for Divine Providence.
I don’t see how Sandy would favor the incumbent. From what I’m hearing, the recovery effort has been a total SNAFU.
Dick Morris is full of sh!t, and has been for years. This is how a paid media hack operates.
Dick Morris cannot make up his mind. Think I’ll just wait and see.
AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka firing up canvassers in Columbus
I figured he was going to blame his prediction failure on Sandy. No doubt Obama is getting a Sandy bounce, but not enough to explain away Morris's obviously ridiculous predictions of a Romney landslide.
What is his new prediction?
NY Slimes and CBS hired QU a polling firm
Created by their former employees !
QU is the worst polling firms with a sorry track record .
In 2010 called the Fl gov race for Slink by
5 pts . Scott won it by 1 pt so s 6 pt swing on Election Day poll !
QU other predictions in 2010 were just as off .
Kaplan heads the CBS news div ,he ran CNN and the Clinton war room during Monica gate ! He made CNN the Clinton News Network !
Now his push polling along with Nate Silver I’d being exposure as pure propaganda !
That his dog will write another book in 2013.
The election will show how far off the polls have been.
The SNAFU in NY and NJ is not going to alter those races and both states are pretty much in obozo’s camp. With the media not showing a whole lot of the bad verses the good they manufacture about His Excellency’s visit, it could have a positive affect among indy’s, not as large a group now as we are very close to the election and anyone who can be swayed now was probably going that way anyway, so it could give Bozo a few points. Given the pre sandy Gallop was 7 for Romney, give him 2-3 decline, he still wins going away. Raz confirms the 2 point shift in his latest poll too but significantly, it has Romney ahead by a few tenths percentage. It is going to be close, Romney should win with 275 or so EVs IMO. Hard to get the incompetent incombent out unless it was a Carter who was depantsed on national TV every night by his own ineptness.
Was he lying then or is he lying now. What a piece of excrement.
Still four years later, Glenn Beck comes on your show and points out that he is a Marxist revolutionary (albeit a lazy one) and you STILL scoff at the idea.
After this happens, O’Reilly will praise Morris for about 10 seconds, and then go back to treating him like dirt.
Also Sandy too close to the election to matter much. As it goes on, it will be a negative for incumbents. Challengers have no downside in this.
To be fair to Morris, Obama is obviously getting a Sandy bump and I think it stopped Mitt’s momentum. But Morris was going to be wrong anyway, this isn’t going to be a landslide election either way. Such predictions were always stupid. Now he is trying to find a way to give himself an out when his predictions don’t come true.
That is almost, ALMOST, enough for me to hope you are wrong! But not quite.
Now, Carlo, suppose Romney does win big. In celebration, would you make me a nice Chicago Italian beef?