Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Any predictions on this years Black Friday sales numbers?
Vanity

Posted on 11/14/2012 6:58:12 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

I have been to the local mall and to several retailers this past week and I'm wondering what sort of numbers we will see this year for Black Friday. Have there been any forecasts on what retailers are expecting? I know that there is so much uncertainty right now economically and socially, how will that translate into our willingness to purchase this year? Will we have a last "Hurrah!" or will we simply set on the sidelines and await the coming "Whateverthehellisgoingtohappennext"?


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Society
KEYWORDS: blackfriday; economy; obamanomics; vanity

1 posted on 11/14/2012 6:58:20 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

down from last year I suspect


2 posted on 11/14/2012 7:01:48 AM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Whtever it is, it will be “unexpected”.


3 posted on 11/14/2012 7:02:52 AM PST by stevecmd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GeronL

Wondering if they will factor in gun sales to show an increase in spending?


4 posted on 11/14/2012 7:06:03 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
It will very likely be high, IMHO, as people get what they can while they can, as you said a last huzzah.

Either way, it will be reported by the LSM as "unexpectedly high," because "nation-wide economic confidence following historic election" will "fuel sales rates."

5 posted on 11/14/2012 7:07:13 AM PST by Wyrd bi­ ful arŠd (Gone Galt, 11/07/12)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
up. Up! UP!!!!

At least until the revised numbers are quietly released in January. Can't have the peasants getting spooked by anything unexpected.

6 posted on 11/14/2012 7:08:23 AM PST by KarlInOhio (Big Bird is a brood parasite: laid in our nest 43 years ago and we are still feeding him.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Reality: I predict a big downturn from last year. Best Buy did not even wait until after Christmas to shut down their stores. People are going to cut back, and save a little for the storm to come.

Media Reporting: Best Christmas EVER!!! Sales up a Million and Eleventy Percent!!!1!1! Happy days are here again!


7 posted on 11/14/2012 7:12:05 AM PST by gridlock (ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

My prediction: Black Friday sales up, overall Holiday Season sales down. Seems to be the trend.


8 posted on 11/14/2012 7:13:28 AM PST by wolfman23601
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
Wondering if they will factor in gun sales to show an increase in spending?

I know what I am asking for for Christmas!

9 posted on 11/14/2012 7:13:35 AM PST by gridlock (ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
Reserved. Maybe a little early Christmas shopping, but belts will be a little tighter this year.
The MSM is hiding the real economic numbers right now, but I believe people can sense things, and I think people will be a little reluctant to pass out the big bucks this time.
Those who do spend are ignoring that little voice of common sense.
10 posted on 11/14/2012 7:15:08 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gridlock

“Media Reporting: Best Christmas EVER!!! Sales up a Million and Eleventy Percent!!!1!1! Happy days are here again!”

“Tramplings Down — Shoppers more civil — Praise Obama!”


11 posted on 11/14/2012 7:15:09 AM PST by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

“UNEXPECTED”, a DISASTER FOR RETAILERS


12 posted on 11/14/2012 7:16:10 AM PST by The Sons of Liberty (Never Underestimate the Power of Evil or Evil Doers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Black Friday will get no support from me this year. I despise the traffic and don’t want to fight it or the crowds. It’s just not worth it.


13 posted on 11/14/2012 7:16:24 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

I’ll be working that day, making money, getting some laughs, enjoying the camaraderie. Spending? NO. Stopped that gift-among-adults-gig about 10 years ago. The adult children were second-guessing at first but after a few seasons they’re all on board and have been ever since.

If you need essentials, there may be deals.

Prepare. Persevere.


14 posted on 11/14/2012 7:16:34 AM PST by PGalt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

It will not matter, because increasingly it is all imported anyway.

The only jobs created, are the unloader at the dock, and the cashier.


15 posted on 11/14/2012 7:17:04 AM PST by Cringing Negativism Network
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Predictions of sales in both cash and credit carried over with interest charges. Both fuel the economy in different ways. If people spent credit it may reflect optimism in their personal finances; if cash it just says folks are living within their means or discretionary income - this type of spending means pent up customer demand, or maybe just enough to pay the utilities and taxes. Each year we consume more and more as the population rises, therefore just gauging actual dollars or merchandise does not necessarily indicate we are spending more individually, only collectively. Spin it Mr. DJ.


16 posted on 11/14/2012 7:17:15 AM PST by Jumper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: treetopsandroofs

Families rediscover the importance of personal connections at Christmastime, now that the distractions of consumerism have been removed...


17 posted on 11/14/2012 7:17:26 AM PST by gridlock (ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Any predictions on the casualty counts?


18 posted on 11/14/2012 7:17:56 AM PST by tacticalogic ("Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Actual, or reported? Actual will be down, reported will be flat to mildly up.


19 posted on 11/14/2012 7:18:36 AM PST by Cboldt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
Because the Oboma policies have the price of food and fuel so high (and growing), expendable cash will be at a minimum. I don't think people will have the money this year to be careless.

Too many people have lost their jobs. Those who are still working may be using their extra funds for stocking up and prepping for what is to come.

I just don't see people being being filled with holiday cheer this time. Who can blame them? The gates of hell have been opened up.

20 posted on 11/14/2012 7:22:40 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

IPad or Asus Transformer ?


21 posted on 11/14/2012 7:25:02 AM PST by ▀udda▀udd (>> F U B O << "What the hell kind of country is this if I can only hate a man if he's white?")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PGalt
We thought about it for a long time, "Endeavor to persevere." And when we had thought about it long enough, we declared war on the Union.


22 posted on 11/14/2012 7:26:55 AM PST by DeFault User
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: xzins

Exactly. I did “Cyber Monday” last year and did my entire Christmas shopping task in 10 minutes with the click of a mouse. Best decision I ever made.


23 posted on 11/14/2012 7:28:22 AM PST by wolfman23601
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: tacticalogic

Ya, the fighting and violence are sad side effects of this black Friday mayhem.

Last year, some woman pepper sprayed other shoppers to get an X Box. I wonder if we will see anything like that again.


24 posted on 11/14/2012 7:36:56 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego ('s)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: wolfman23601

I agree. It’s kinda nice have UPS drive up and drop off your purchases. It sort of reminds me of mail call back in the Army of the 1970’s. Mail call was such a great event when you got something.


25 posted on 11/14/2012 7:38:35 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True supporters of our troops pray for their victory!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Dilbert San Diego

I expect so. If anything, the “entitlement mentality” will be even more widespread this year.


26 posted on 11/14/2012 8:00:25 AM PST by tacticalogic ("Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

I never participate. I may do some shopping at a local venue..but it will be very little this year. Why bother with Black Friday? we’ll only be treated to another view of TV and media coverage on the tramplings. I’m done with it.


27 posted on 11/14/2012 8:08:23 AM PST by SueRae (It isn't over. In God We Trust.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wolfman23601

It is indeed.

I’ll be giving family and friends emergency prep kits and other supplies.


28 posted on 11/14/2012 8:11:53 AM PST by SueRae (It isn't over. In God We Trust.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: ├čudda├čudd

Ipad of course

The quality level of slave labor is definitely a selling factor. You don’t have to worry about getting a bad one made on a Monday or Friday.


29 posted on 11/14/2012 8:17:26 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

News story this morning stated that luxury sales over the last year are up but middle and low income retailers are down. I predict that either there will be an increase from last year due to large luxury purchases by a few or there will be millions of people Christmas shopping at the dollar tree and the media will tout increased “volume”. Either way, the media will spin pro obama, and if the numbers can’t be spun they will be minimized and unexpected.


30 posted on 11/14/2012 8:24:51 AM PST by douginthearmy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Depends on the discounts. I wouldn’t be shocked to see a single good day, with a lot of other purchases withheld for the rest of the month, as people try to get what they can while it’s cheap.


31 posted on 11/14/2012 8:25:43 AM PST by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DeFault User

Hard to argue with Chief Dan George


32 posted on 11/14/2012 8:26:33 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

They say that a lot of wealthy people are selling assets this year and they will have the option of spending that new income— could be good for jewelers, boating, and tourism industries.


33 posted on 11/14/2012 8:42:50 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

Is that what they’re calling capital flight these days?


34 posted on 11/14/2012 8:47:28 AM PST by Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass
Prediction?

PredictionPain

PAIN

35 posted on 11/14/2012 9:09:37 AM PST by Drill Thrawl (We have crossed the line from independence & liberty to dependency & servitude. We are doomed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GeronL
I'm off...I actually like the Friday after Thanksgiving....lazy nice day....sure, there was a time when the kids were little you could go out and buy toys at 5 am but we and they don't need much anymore....

I like going out to eat on that day though...

36 posted on 11/15/2012 9:47:30 PM PST by cherry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: PGalt

required gift giving is not fun...I hate it...I’d much rather have a little present in the middle of a no name month for no reason whatsoever except someone thought I might like it...


37 posted on 11/15/2012 9:48:54 PM PST by cherry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: cherry

The kids are getting a whole week off school this year.... isn’t that a bit much? Parents will be nuts after 9 days of it...


38 posted on 11/15/2012 10:22:43 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

11.


39 posted on 11/15/2012 10:24:27 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pride_of_the_Bluegrass

Record highs followed by record January returns as people realize it’s all junk.


40 posted on 11/15/2012 10:51:22 PM PST by this_ol_patriot
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cherry
required gift giving is not fun...I hate it...I’d much rather have a little present in the middle of a no name month for no reason whatsoever except someone thought I might like it...

So true, cherry. Every day is a gift. Watch with wonder as it unfolds.

41 posted on 11/17/2012 5:52:01 AM PST by PGalt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson