As a native Californian I’d still put my money on Texas for sure.
Just as a guesstimate, my thought is that NY could barely make it across the Hudson before they started whining and getting their rumps roasted. Remember, NY’rs (not the upstate type - I am in fact a native upstater), the city flavor, are densly packed in with a constant influx of goods and materials to keep them going.
I just don’t see NY winning.
California has a problem. The same problem that doomed the Donner party. The rockies.
So cali is limited by having the greatest mobility being along the coast. The Rocky mountains are a natural defense mechanism/border that would keep Cali from going east.
So, in as much as I live in the Pacific Northwest, I would have to say my money would be on Texas.
Them boys know how to kick some butt!
The State that Glenn Beck moved to.. Texas