Skip to comments.CMS Releases Important New Study on Unauthorized Immigrants in the United States
Posted on 02/16/2013 10:28:12 AM PST by JoeProBono
On Friday, February 15, 2013, the Center for Migration Studies (CMS) hosted a release event on a substantial new study on the unauthorized population in the United States. The study, co-authored by Robert Warren, former demographer for the US Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS), and John Robert Warren, professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota, will inform and could significantly impact the intensifying debate on reform of U.S. immigration law. In particular, the study provides new estimates of unauthorized populations by state, highlighting annual trends in arrivals and departures, for 1990 to 2010. It is now published in CMSs International Migration Review, an interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal devoted to the study of international migration.
We describe a method for producing annual estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population in the United Sates and components of population change, for each state and DC, for 19902010. We quantify a sharp drop in the number of unauthorized immigrants arriving since 2000, and we demonstrate the role of departures from the population (emigration, adjustment to legal status, removal by the Department of Homeland Security [DHS], and deaths) in reducing population growth from one million in 2000 to population losses in 2008 and 2009. The number arriving in the U.S. peaked at more than one million in 19992001 and then declined rapidly through 2009. We provide evidence that population growth stopped after 2007 primarily because entries declined and not because emigration increased during the economic crisis. Our estimates of the total unauthorized immigrant population in the U.S. and in the top ten states are comparable to those produced by DHS and the Pew Hispanic Center. However, our data and methods produce estimates with smaller ranges of sampling error.
Few demographic estimates diverge as widely as do those pertaining to the size of America's unauthorized immigrant population. Highly publicized estimates of the total number of unauthorized immigrants residing in the U.S. in recent years range from 10.8 million (Hoefer, Rytina, and Baker, 2011) to 13 million (Martin and Ruark, 2011) to 20 million (Justich and Ng, 2005; Elbel, 2007).1 Likewise, recent estimates of the gross annual number of unauthorized immigrants entering the U.S. range from 300,000 (Passel and Cohn, 2010) to a million (Smith, 2011).2 Few other demographic estimates diverge as widely or receive so much public attention.
One reason that these diverging demographic estimates generate so much public attention is that they inform any number of contentious public policy discussions at the national and state levels. Should the U.S. grant amnesty to unauthorized immigrant workers? Should we support unauthorized immigrants who came to the U.S. as small children if they wish to attend college or serve in the U.S. armed forces? Should we do more to enforce immigration laws, particularly along the U.S.-Mexico border? Answers to these questions depend in part on the size of the unauthorized immigrant population at both the national and state levels and/or on the number of unauthorized immigrants who enter and leave the country each year. Disagreement about those numbers fuels disagreement on these and other contentious policy matters.
Beyond these several policy considerations, estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population are also relevant for academic and applied research on the changing composition and characteristics of the U.S. population. What are the economic costs to native-born workers of unauthorized immigration? How many children should a public school district expect to serve in coming years? How has the racial/ethnic composition of America changed in recent years, and what are the social and economic implications of those changes? How can city planning offices effectively forecast demand on local government services? What are the social and economic predictors of the size and character of migration streams across international borders? The answers to these sorts of questions also depend on demographic estimates of America's unauthorized immigrant population.
We are being screwed, glued and tattooed.
So just what is ‘their’ estimate of the total population of illegals here? They dance around it in what you posted, only referring to the yearly influx diminishing.
If the Marxists can do such a great job of keeping track of internal USA citizen subjects, and their overseas money for that matter, why can they not train that surveillance to know how many illegals? I lived in the UK, Argentina, and Egypt, 9 years all combined, and those countries always knew when I was in country, and where. What skills do those countries have that the USA is lacking?
“CMS Releases Important New Study on Unauthorized, Illegal Immigrants in the United States”
Just a little correction. They just can’t seem to use the proper wording. First it was ‘undocumented workers’. Now it is ‘unauthorized immigrants’?
They are ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS!
They are invaders and should be treated as such.
The number is likely more than 20 million. If you grant amnesty, that number will jump to 40 million. Amnesty will bankrupt this country and it will cause untold social unrest.
Based what I’ve seen outside convenience store, Home Depot-like places, school bus stops at apartment complexes and the like, my estimate is nearer the 50 million mark.
We will all gasp at the true count, if and when, Obama and his government (or some whistleblower) actually has to tell us the number of illegals he is granting citizenship.
For the most part, not “undocumented immigrants”, but “Mexican citizens”.
Because they don't want to.
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