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(FAIL) What Futurists in 1988 Imagined Los Angeles Would Be Like in 2013
IO9 ^ | March 16, 2013 | Lauren Davis

Posted on 03/16/2013 5:47:02 PM PDT by DogByte6RER

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What futurists in 1988 imagined Los Angeles would be like in 2013

With the year 2013 a quarter of a century away, the Los Angeles Times in 1988 asked 30 futurists and other experts what they thought life in their city would look like in 2013. They may have overshot the sophistication of our robots, but many of those predictions for 2013 have come true—or at least come close.

Reporter Nicole Yorkin wrote the futurism pieces for the April 3, 1988 issue of the Los Angeles Times Magazine, compiling the information from her various interviews. The articles include illustrations by Syd Mead, the visual futurist and concept artist for Blade Runner, Aliens, Tron, and more. (You can see part of one of his illustrations above, and check out all of the illustrations at the LA Times.) The centerpiece of the issue is a day in the life of the Los Angeles family of 2013. While it touts highly sophisticated robots who can do housework and negotiate with children, it also emphasizes teleconferencing, charter schools, the use of computers and multimedia in education, and media on demand. It's a somewhat fanciful world (especially any time the family housework robot is mentioned), and occasionally retro (the son goes to the laser disc library in order to view the multimedia encyclopedia), but there are plenty of moments that we can point to as a reasonably accurate view of 2013.

The issue also includes predictions about the future of Los Angeles' demographics, job market (the recession naturally wasn't predicted), housing, and education. And the piece on the future of cars (this is Los Angeles, after all) has a few very close and spot-on predictions:

• "In 25 years, today's new technology will have become standard equipment, both designers agree. Chief among these developments will be a central computer in the car that will control a number of devices. A sonar shield, for example, will automatically brake the car when it comes too close to another. If something malfunctions, diagnostic features will tell the driver what's wrong. Autos will also come equipped with electronic navigation or map systems. Once the driver programs a destination, the system will pick the fastest route, taking into account traffic information, then give the driver the estimated time of arrival, continually plotting the car's position on a map."

Then again, the same article suggests that modular cars, that go from two-seaters to enormous vans with the aid of a few plug-in modules, would be a common sight on the road in 2013.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; History; Local News; Miscellaneous; Society
KEYWORDS: blight; chaos; decay; democratparty; dystopia; fail; futurism; ghetto; liberalism; losangeles; predictions; socialism; urbandecay; urbanpolicies; utopia
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Photobucket Modern day Los Angeles ... 1988 futurism's dream denied.

1 posted on 03/16/2013 5:47:02 PM PDT by DogByte6RER
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To: DogByte6RER

2 posted on 03/16/2013 5:48:06 PM PDT by dfwgator
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More reference ...

L.A. 2013 - On April 3, 1988, the Los Angeles Times Magazine pub­lished a 25-year look ahead to 2013. This year, USC pro­fess­or Jerry Lock­en­our is us­ing the series of art­icles in a gradu­ate en­gin­eer­ing class he teaches.

http://documents.latimes.com/la-2013/


3 posted on 03/16/2013 5:48:10 PM PDT by DogByte6RER ("Loose lips sink ships")
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To: DogByte6RER

It’s so quaint to look back and remember how optimistic things were at the end of the Reagan years...


4 posted on 03/16/2013 5:48:55 PM PDT by Joe 6-pack (Qui me amat, amat et canem meum.)
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To: dfwgator

Demolition Man got liberalism right. I watched it again the other night and noticed that when John asked someone to pass him the salt, he was informed that it was bad for him and thus, illegal.


5 posted on 03/16/2013 5:50:50 PM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: DogByte6RER

In 1988, the muslims hadn’t yet invaded full force.


6 posted on 03/16/2013 5:54:15 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (Vendetta))
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To: DogByte6RER

has your sonar shield been checked recently?


7 posted on 03/16/2013 5:54:36 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: dfwgator
I dunno, I think its pretty close to Bladerunner


8 posted on 03/16/2013 5:56:38 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

Except without the Spinners, most likely.


9 posted on 03/16/2013 6:00:05 PM PDT by AnAmericanAbroad (It's all bread and circuses for the future prey of the Morlocks.)
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To: GeronL

‘Adaptive cruise control’ has been around for awhile.

Volvo already has a ‘pedestrian detection system’ with other automakers following suit.

And some ‘parking assist systems’ use sonar too.


10 posted on 03/16/2013 6:00:21 PM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: DogByte6RER

Most Utopian futurists make the same mistake. They assume that all society(ies) progress more or less uniformly together.

The truth is that the more technologically advanced, the more stratified they become. An elite emerges who master the technology and the systems, leaving the other 90-95% in the dust.

Then they become extremely specialized, spoiled and decadent. They forget what it was that made them great and the whole thing falls down and gets swallowed in barbarism. Another dark age, and then another great civilization emerges. How many times has this pattern repeated itself in the brief 35,000 or so years since the rise of Homo sapiens?


11 posted on 03/16/2013 6:06:28 PM PDT by SargeK
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To: DogByte6RER
I always thought the opening scene from 1982's "Blade Runner" gave a better idea of a future LA (in 2019). By the way, the opening scene is called "Hades Landscape".
12 posted on 03/16/2013 6:08:34 PM PDT by Flick Lives (We're going to be just like the old Soviet Union, but with free cell phones!)
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To: DogByte6RER

Won’t be long and LA will look like a cross between Detroit and Tiujuana.


13 posted on 03/16/2013 6:08:45 PM PDT by umgud
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To: cripplecreek

“John Spartan, you are fined one credit for a violation of the Verbal Morality Statute.”

Highly underrated movie.


14 posted on 03/16/2013 6:10:01 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: DogByte6RER

“They’ll be Spandex Jackets one for everyone.”


15 posted on 03/16/2013 6:11:06 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: SargeK

The bigger mistake is that futurists can’t imagine the future except from their own perspective. Like on the original Star Trek where you’re supposed to suspend belief long enough to assume that women are sporting 1960s haircuts in the 24th century.

Or to cite another period TV show, The Jetsons where the writers seem to have envisioned huge advances in transportation that never did materialize yet were completely unable to foresee similar development in computers (which in The Jetsons are depicted as being huge room-sized dealies with tape reels)


16 posted on 03/16/2013 6:13:54 PM PDT by Strk321
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To: Strk321

One guy who had an uncanny ability to predict future society and technology was Jules Verne.
Amazing, actually.


17 posted on 03/16/2013 6:17:32 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: DogByte6RER

18 posted on 03/16/2013 6:20:04 PM PDT by JoeProBono (A closed mouth gathers no feet - Mater tua caligas exercitus gerit ;-{)
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To: Lancey Howard

Edgar Rice Burroughs made some pretty good predictions about mars.


19 posted on 03/16/2013 6:23:52 PM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: DogByte6RER

So, none of the 30 futurists gave a prediction that the LA Times would no longer be around?


20 posted on 03/16/2013 6:25:28 PM PDT by Mark (For the first time in my life, I'm no longer proud of my country.)
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To: SargeK
Then they become extremely specialized, spoiled and decadent. They forget what it was that made them great and the whole thing falls down and gets swallowed in barbarism. Another dark age, and then another great civilization emerges. How many times has this pattern repeated itself in the brief 35,000 or so years since the rise of Homo sapiens?

Despite modern advances, in reality, the majority of human beings on the face of the Earth live in the same conditions they always had for hundred or even thousands of years. What is ironic is, IIRC, the astronauts aboard Apollo 11 just before they refired the third stage to go to the Moon, they were able to see the fires that villagers were using as they orbited over Africa. Nicobar Island near India has a tribe of people who still live as they did 40,000, or so, years ago. After the 2004 Christmas quake and tsunami, an Indian military helicopter flew over the island and the people there attacked it with spears. They probably thought, "big bird, feed village for many moons." B-)

I sometimes wonder if we had an advanced civilization on par with that we have now in the past and perhaps a couple of times.
21 posted on 03/16/2013 6:34:08 PM PDT by Nowhere Man (Whitey, I miss you so much. Take care, pretty girl. (4-15-2001 - 10-12-2012))
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To: DogByte6RER


22 posted on 03/16/2013 6:54:20 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE?)
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To: DogByte6RER

During the 40s and 50s Los Angeles was growing and apparently a pleasant place to live. The Hispanics were to a large degree, descendants of the Spaniards who originally settled the area.

Many of the White residents were formely wealthy people from the South who moved to LA after the war. Some of those were Pattons family and John Mosby.

Los Angeles was a progressive city in a progressive state. At the time that sounded good. Like they were using modern technology, modern traffic management and good government.

I don’t know what all changed it but letting illegas in in mass certainly has hurt some. Also large numbers of Blacks came in from St. Louis and that area.

Next was the waves of Hippies who were basically some of the most worthless people on earth. People like Black Panthers, The gang which kidnapped Patty Hearst. Basically most of them are loosely affiliated with Satanic groups. Oh, don’t forget the Manson family.

Today Los Angeles is where if you are White, you probably need to leave while you still can.


23 posted on 03/16/2013 7:09:26 PM PDT by yarddog (Truth, Justice, and the American Way.)
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To: Hardraade

maybe STAR TREK will be correct as there are no muslims or arabs.


24 posted on 03/16/2013 7:21:29 PM PDT by bravo whiskey (“People should not be afraid of their governments. Governments should be afraid of their people.”)
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To: Joe 6-pack

If you really want to see optimism go back and look at some futuristic predictions from the late fifties, early sixties. According to them our biggest problem now is to figure out what to do with all our leisure time, war has been eliminated and everything is a bed of roses. Of course the part about the leisure time is right for a lot of people but not for the reasons forecast.


25 posted on 03/16/2013 7:28:39 PM PDT by RipSawyer (I was born on Earth, what planet is this?)
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To: dfwgator

Yup.


26 posted on 03/16/2013 7:33:40 PM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: JoeProBono

Joe, What movie is that?


27 posted on 03/16/2013 7:36:46 PM PDT by Redcitizen (.)
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To: Redcitizen

Battle-of-Los-Angeles


28 posted on 03/16/2013 7:47:59 PM PDT by JoeProBono (A closed mouth gathers no feet - Mater tua caligas exercitus gerit ;-{)
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To: Redcitizen

I think that is Battle Of Los Angeles.
(trailer)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yt7ofokzn04

I saw it a while back and thought it was an decent movie.


29 posted on 03/16/2013 7:49:34 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Redcitizen

Battle of Los Angeles.


30 posted on 03/16/2013 7:54:26 PM PDT by Bryan
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To: DogByte6RER; Perdogg; Kevmo; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ...

That streamlined world has been the vision of the “futurist” about as long as living memory. Thanks DogByte6RER.


31 posted on 03/16/2013 7:56:25 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Romney would have been worse, if you're a dumb ass.)
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To: DogByte6RER

The Blade Runner version of LA is set in what is now the near future, and no sign yet of flying cars, replicants, or the environmental holocaust which consumed all wildlife.


32 posted on 03/16/2013 7:59:30 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Romney would have been worse, if you're a dumb ass.)
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To: GeronL

Whoops, great minds...


33 posted on 03/16/2013 8:00:06 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Romney would have been worse, if you're a dumb ass.)
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To: DogByte6RER

I could have told them your pictures are exactly what it would look like!!

The illegals drove me out of business by 1990 that my dad had started in 1936.


34 posted on 03/16/2013 8:07:18 PM PDT by dalereed
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To: SunkenCiv

bump


35 posted on 03/16/2013 8:27:55 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

Is that from Blade runner?


36 posted on 03/16/2013 8:35:57 PM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Ted Cruz is my adoptive Senator, Rand Paul for President in 2016)
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To: Perdogg

yes


37 posted on 03/16/2013 8:49:23 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: JoeProBono; Bryan; Jack Hydrazine

Thanks everyone.


38 posted on 03/17/2013 9:25:14 PM PDT by Redcitizen (.)
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To: dfwgator

What movie are you talking about?


39 posted on 03/17/2013 9:31:14 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (Actually, they lie when it suits them! The crooked MS media must be defeated any way it can be done!)
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