Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Seven Surprising Truths about the World
Reason ^ | August/September 2013 Issue | Ronald Bailey

Posted on 07/15/2013 1:01:09 PM PDT by Twotone

Did you know that the incidence of cancer in the United States has been declining for nearly 20 years? That the spread of pornography correlates with a decline in rape? That average IQs are going up substantially all around the world? These are just some of the truths that are well-known to the scholars who study those subjects but generally come as a surprise to even the best-educated among us.

(Excerpt) Read more at reason.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: cancer; idiocracy; markets; pornification

1 posted on 07/15/2013 1:01:10 PM PDT by Twotone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Twotone

“People Everywhere Are Getting Smarter”

I’ve got to claim BS on this one. There are many studies that show the opposite:
http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2012-11/are-people-getting-dumber-one-geneticist-thinks-so


2 posted on 07/15/2013 1:07:04 PM PDT by MNDude (The system worked!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
People Everywhere Are Getting Smarter

Not if Congress is any indicator.

3 posted on 07/15/2013 1:08:46 PM PDT by 0.E.O
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNDude

Not in obabaville , formerly the United States of America, they are not. Smart people don’t elect bastards like Obama to lead them. Smart people do not for Democrats or Repubcrats for that matter.


4 posted on 07/15/2013 1:12:07 PM PDT by sport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Twotone

5 posted on 07/15/2013 1:15:09 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Slings and Arrows

Hey! That’s me!


6 posted on 07/15/2013 1:18:33 PM PDT by headsonpikes (Mass murder and cannibalism are the twin sacraments of socialism - "Who-whom?"-Lenin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Twotone

Through our children and grandchildren, we live on into the future...whatever that will entail.


7 posted on 07/15/2013 1:19:46 PM PDT by onedoug
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Twotone

bkmk


8 posted on 07/15/2013 1:19:47 PM PDT by Sergio (An object at rest cannot be stopped! - The Evil Midnight Bomber What Bombs at Midnight)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sport

most articles have an agenda. I believe theirs is to say “the writers of our constitution were really dumb, while Obama Phone owners are actually very smart!”


9 posted on 07/15/2013 1:21:48 PM PDT by MNDude (The system worked!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
“One could even argue that ... the increasing availability of pornography appears to be associated with a decline in rape.”

Clearly, before 1960 when these crimes were rare, they must have had awesome bandwidth for porn.

10 posted on 07/15/2013 1:26:13 PM PDT by GOP_Party_Animal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: headsonpikes

You need a shave.


11 posted on 07/15/2013 1:33:24 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MNDude

Looked at your link. It consists of speculation without any data providing evidence to support it.

Whereas the Flynn Effect has required recalibrating the IQ tests every decade or so for most of the last century.

It should be pointed out that this increase is in IQ, not necessarily in intelligence.


12 posted on 07/15/2013 1:47:40 PM PDT by Sherman Logan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
Re: “The incidence of cancer in the United States has been declining for nearly 20 years.”

I'll bet that is 100% due to the fact that the number of cigarette smokers has dropped dramatically since the 1960’s.

The most important risk factor for cancer is age.

As our average age goes higher, eventually, the number of cancer victims will go higher, too.

13 posted on 07/15/2013 1:51:13 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
"Markets Make People Nicer"

"Herbert Gintis, co-director of the Preference Network team, speculates that markets bring strangers into contact on a regular basis, encouraging people to develop more concern for others beyond their family and immediate neighbors. Instead of parochialism, being integrated into markets encourages a spirit of ecumenism."

My father, who owned and operated his own grocery store, used to tell me that "Everyone who walks through that front door is my friend!"

14 posted on 07/15/2013 1:51:45 PM PDT by the_Watchman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Revolting cat!
BELIEVE IT OR DON'T!


15 posted on 07/15/2013 2:00:14 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Party_Animal
Clearly, before 1960 when these crimes were rare, they must have had awesome bandwidth for porn.

As I hear it, you pooled your money and then paid somebody's drunken uncle to go down to the red light district and buy you a couple of items in plain, brown wrappers, in exchange for fronting him the cash for a peep show and a bottle of Thunderbird.


16 posted on 07/15/2013 2:05:22 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Party_Animal
Clearly, before 1960 when these crimes were rare, they must have had awesome bandwidth for porn.

What makes you think rapes were rare before 1960?

Rape statistics have always been a little funny (since rapes are so underreported) but statistics for other violent crimes shows that they were higher in the first half of the 20th century than they are now.

We tend to think of the past as quiet and peaceful -- in reality, the US violent crime rate was much higher than it is now. The last time the murder rate was as low as it is now was 1910.

17 posted on 07/15/2013 2:11:00 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: MNDude

Better nutrition and health may mean people around the world are getting smarter (and taller). Whether that will continue and whether it’s still going on in the developed countries are questions that are harder to answer.


18 posted on 07/15/2013 2:24:23 PM PDT by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Twotone; MNDude; sport; Slings and Arrows; onedoug; headsonpikes
Almost every one of his major points is an example of correlation being confused with causation. That's the major error made with statistics from middle-school on out: and it only takes a middle-schooler to detect it.

Example: porn and rape. Porn went up, rape went down. Fine. But during the same time span:

Conversely...

SO???


19 posted on 07/15/2013 2:27:56 PM PDT by Mrs. Don-o (Credulity means believing something on little evidence, on no evidence, or against the evidence.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
new jobs that result from increased average productivity.

Automation is great but how exactly does that increase the number of jobs for humans? Actually we're facing a new problem: for a small but growing percentage of the population there is no job available they can do that a computerized machine can't do faster, cheaper, better.

A bright side of the offshoring of American jobs is that we have gotten used to the idea of not having one. That will enable faster robotics adoption in America. But what are we going to do with our oversupply of human pets?

20 posted on 07/15/2013 2:37:56 PM PDT by Reeses
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Alter Kaker
The last time the murder rate was as low as it is now was 1910.

That doesn't match what I see for the entire 1950s and the early 1960s.

21 posted on 07/15/2013 2:42:40 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Santorum appeared on CBS and pronounced George Zimmerman guilty of murder, first degree. March-2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Party_Animal

Porn has changed the definition of rape.

I was fascinated by the recognition that population is peaking naturally and diversity increases as a function of human interference. Both are truths anathema to the nanny state.


22 posted on 07/15/2013 2:50:57 PM PDT by Louis Foxwell (This is a wake up call. Join the Sultan Knish ping list.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

The homicide rate was lower in 1960 than it was in 2010.

But it's gone down further since 2010, though, and reached the still lower levels of around 1910.

23 posted on 07/15/2013 2:52:04 PM PDT by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: x

I still don’t see what you are claiming.

The murder rate during the 1950s and early 1960s was still lower than today, with a couple of ties, and 2 years that lost by a nose.

In 1957, the murder rate was 4.0 per 100,000, in 1963, it was 4.6, today (2011 statistics) it is at 4.8.


24 posted on 07/15/2013 3:17:23 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Santorum appeared on CBS and pronounced George Zimmerman guilty of murder, first degree. March-2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: x

I guess that I should add that I haven’t found finished numbers for 2012, and I sure haven’t found the finished numbers for 2013, so I am using the completed numbers of 2011, as “today”.


25 posted on 07/15/2013 3:26:31 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Santorum appeared on CBS and pronounced George Zimmerman guilty of murder, first degree. March-2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

Fair enough. It sounds like somebody anticipated the trend and others assumed that the projection was the reality.


26 posted on 07/15/2013 3:39:31 PM PDT by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: Alter Kaker; GOP_Party_Animal

I don’t know how rare rape was before 1960, although as a kid I thought that it was much more rare than today, and could get the death penalty.

In 1961, 1962, 1963, the rape rate was 9.4, in 2011 it was 26.8, which was an improvement over the 1990s when it reached into the 40s at times, and the consistent 30s of recent decades.


27 posted on 07/15/2013 4:06:36 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Santorum appeared on CBS and pronounced George Zimmerman guilty of murder, first degree. March-2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Alter Kaker
We tend to think of the past as quiet and peaceful -- in reality, the US violent crime rate was much higher than it is now.

That isn't what I'm seeing in the stats, or lived through in real life.

In the early 1960s the violent crime rate was in the 150s and 160s per 100,000, recently it dropped to just below 400, after growing through decades of 400s, 500s, 600s, and 700s.

A kid born in 1961 was born into a year with a violent crime rate of 158.1 per 100,00, on his 30th birthday, he was experiencing a violent crime rate of 758.1 per 100,000.

28 posted on 07/15/2013 4:17:17 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Santorum appeared on CBS and pronounced George Zimmerman guilty of murder, first degree. March-2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: MNDude
“People Everywhere Are Getting Smarter”

"And Leon's Getting Larger."

29 posted on 07/15/2013 4:19:10 PM PDT by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Slings and Arrows

Hey - on teh internet, nobody knows you need a shave...


30 posted on 07/15/2013 4:36:10 PM PDT by headsonpikes (Mass murder and cannibalism are the twin sacraments of socialism - "Who-whom?"-Lenin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: MNDude

Reason is a libertarian blog. I don’t imagine they think Zero’s very smart.


31 posted on 07/15/2013 6:15:13 PM PDT by Amberdawn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Twotone
That average IQs are going up substantially all around the world?

Hmmmmmm…though…perhaps not in California

Obama Supporters Sign Petition to Repeal the BILL OF RIGHTS

Mark Dice asks California beach goers if they'll sign a petition showing support for Obama in his quest to repeal the Bill of Rights.

32 posted on 07/15/2013 6:28:08 PM PDT by Stand Watch Listen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Stand Watch Listen

They may have a reasonable IQ, but the schools are deliberately dumbing them down. In CA & everywhere else in this country!


33 posted on 07/15/2013 6:33:06 PM PDT by Twotone (Marte Et Clypeo)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Mrs. Don-o
Good point.


34 posted on 07/15/2013 6:40:01 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

Very well played.


35 posted on 07/15/2013 6:54:46 PM PDT by Delta 21 (Oh Crap !! Did I say that out loud ??!??)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Jet Jaguar

Aye, an’ innybody denies that that thar’s a faack, iz a scurvy bilge rat, arr.


36 posted on 07/16/2013 6:31:21 AM PDT by Mrs. Don-o ("Aye, ye better agree or ye be walkin' the plank, ye pustulant, pox-ridden flounder!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: Jet Jaguar

I mean: just kidding. Heh.


37 posted on 07/16/2013 6:53:13 AM PDT by Mrs. Don-o (Aye, ye better be agreein' wit' me, or ye be walkin' the plank, ye pustulant, pox-ridden flounder!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson