Skip to comments.Solar Cycle Progression
Posted on 10/07/2013 11:43:27 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck
The charts on this page depict the progression of the Solar Cycle. The charts and tables are updated by the Space Weather Prediction Center monthly using the latest ISES predictions. Observed values are initially the preliminary values which are replaced with the final values as they become available.
(Excerpt) Read more at swpc.noaa.gov ...
Should I buy property in Greenland or more winter clothes? LOL
I would like to see the graphs going back to the 1920s. I doubt data is available to back then, however.
Interested folks have been counting Sun Spots for a long time.
It's gonna get cold.
We are currently less than half the value shown in this chart as 'projected' for cycle 24. If this chart were updated for the actual cycle 24 data it would be the smallest peak in the chart.
Cycle 24 topped out around 120. Cycle 25 is looking about 65. So the Dalton Minimum was lower at under 50.
I never realized how consistent the sun was. Thank you. That is scientific! What happens when we overlay a graph of global temps? Is there any relation?
The current cycle is 24. It had a monthly peak value of about 95 back in Nov(?) 2011. The smoothed curve gives peak value of maybe 65 around Feb 2012. Current monthly value is under 40, which is less than half of the (downward revised) prediction. The predictions for SC24 have been so far off that I wouldn't even consider what they say about SC25.. Let me just say that I moved from MA to TX just in case. ;^}
Welcome to Texas.
Has anyone explained the difference between a “Yankee” and a “damned Yankee” yet?
I have sent an email to NOAA to notify them that they have inadvertently failed to spend thousands of dollars to remove the website from the internet during the government shutdown. This is a shocking display of competence that will not be tolerated in the new america.
No, but someone told me, “Well, bless your heart” when I asked. :)
Speaking a DY myself, the D gets added to those that won’t go back home.
Thanks. I've been here a few years now. Re: damned Yankee - yes, I'm up on it. I did my due diligence before making the move.
Sunspots have been tracked for about 400 years or so. The use of sunspots to predict weather was used by Ben Franklin in his farmers almanac. I do not know haw long before that.
Then you need to attend the next Texas Cowboy Memorial Shoot and meet some great Freepers.
October 2014 is the next one. Pre-planning thread is at:
Bump NYTexan to get added to the ping list as info comes out.
My recommendation is to buy a sheepskin or heavy goose down coat for you and your children for the coming winter. It is going to be a doozie.
You would be overlaying garbage. Temperature metrics in the past have been no where near accurate enough or even properly distributed globally. And the modern metrics have been affected by the Urban Heat Effect.
Just sit back and watch what happens as winters get worse and worse every year for the next 10. You will then realize that those temperature readings are meaningless. What matters is heat content and apes have no clue. There was a reason why some of our ancestors sacrificed people to the sun. They knew what was in control.
Do The Mann, Trendberth and pugilist Santer know this?
Do they know it? yes. Are they willing to face the implications? Not on your life.
It is also worth pointing out that all sunspots are counted...which with our solar satellites and modern telescopes amounts to seeing more than what science could detect 400 years ago.
If you only count sunspots today that are large enough to have been detected 400 years ago, then SC24 would have a smaller count.
This paper predicts a 21% drop in wold wide grain production if average global temps drop a couple of degrees....