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El Nino Could Be a Monster This Year
realclearscience.com ^ | April 14, 2014 | Adam Mann,

Posted on 04/15/2014 11:49:42 AM PDT by BenLurkin

Official NOAA Climate Prediction Center estimates peg the odds of El Niño’s return at 50 percent, but many climate scientists think that is a lowball estimate. And there are several indications that if it materializes, this year’s El Niño could be massive, a lot like the 1997-98 event that was the strongest on record.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearscience.com ...


TOPICS: Local News; Weather
KEYWORDS: climatechange; elnino
Good.

We need the rain.

1 posted on 04/15/2014 11:49:42 AM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin
but many climate scientists think that is a lowball estimate.

The same "scientists" who are still clinging to manmade global warming that is turning women (especially minority women) into prostitutes and sex slaves?

2 posted on 04/15/2014 11:56:18 AM PDT by TheBattman (Isn't the lesser evil... still evil?)
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To: BenLurkin

If this past winter was any indication of what this summer has in store it will be a wet cold summeer.

The earth is cooling. We should raise taxes to stop el nino.


3 posted on 04/15/2014 11:57:57 AM PDT by Tenacious 1 (My whimsical litany of satyric prose and avarice pontification of wisdom demonstrates my concinnity.)
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To: BenLurkin

The article excerpted above from realclearscience.com is an excerpted article from wired.com. Here’s the link to the complete article:
http://www.wired.com/2014/04/el-nino-effects/


4 posted on 04/15/2014 12:00:15 PM PDT by upchuck (Support ABLE, the Anybody But Lindsey Effort. Yes, we are the ABLE!!)
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To: BenLurkin


5 posted on 04/15/2014 12:01:15 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: TheBattman

There are cult globull climate change scientists (decreasing in numbers) and real climate scientists.

I wonder what www.wattsupwiththis.com has to say about it.


6 posted on 04/15/2014 12:02:02 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point. CSLewis)
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To: BenLurkin
El Niño (which is Spanish for “the Niño”)

Que?

7 posted on 04/15/2014 12:02:36 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: BenLurkin

For a more in depth and authoritative read on the subject

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/14/201415-el-nino-part-3-early-evolution-comparison-with-198283-199798-el-nino-events/

Next El Nino is not that certain


8 posted on 04/15/2014 12:06:58 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: little jeremiah

Proper link for Watts Up With That?

http://wattsupwiththat.com/

And here’s an article about El Nino posted April 14; if it’s on Watts’ site, is not tainted with globull climate change idiocy:

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/14/201415-el-nino-part-3-early-evolution-comparison-with-198283-199798-el-nino-events/#more-107479


9 posted on 04/15/2014 12:08:49 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point. CSLewis)
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To: BenLurkin

In other news, climate-alarmists around the world reacted with remorse at the now-expected end of the California drought, lamenting the loss of all the extreme weather effects and crises resulting from said drought...California officials, in turn, shifted gears and instructed staff to reword pending emergency aid requests (Federal) to replace ‘drought/extreme weather condition’ with ‘flood/excessive precipitation/severe weather effect’...

/s


10 posted on 04/15/2014 12:09:12 PM PDT by logi_cal869
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To: hinckley buzzard

GMTA


11 posted on 04/15/2014 12:09:24 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point. CSLewis)
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To: BenLurkin

We are overdue for an El Nino...about every 7-8 years.


12 posted on 04/15/2014 12:10:34 PM PDT by rottndog ('Live Free Or Die' Ain't just words on a bumber sticker...or a tagline.)
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To: BenLurkin

Can we go back to the first 30 years of my life when we merely referred to this stuff as “weather”?


13 posted on 04/15/2014 12:17:16 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Ha, I am still suffering PTSD from being raised in a era of the predicted coming Ice Age...


14 posted on 04/15/2014 12:25:25 PM PDT by VRWCarea51
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To: BenLurkin
The weather has become another data point where drama queens can get their panties in a wad, where television can scream about impending doom and where government scientists can continue to request more and more funding to study it.

It reached it's most ridiculous just a couple of days ago when I saw numerous references to a pollen vortex - what the hell? Weather stories and predictions may have jumped the shark at that point.

15 posted on 04/15/2014 12:26:42 PM PDT by capydick (''Life's tough.......it's even tougher if you're stupid.'')
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To: BenLurkin

Probably another La Nada.


16 posted on 04/15/2014 12:28:43 PM PDT by Mashood
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To: BenLurkin

Tucson gets nice cool wet summers for El Ninos, hope it’s the biggest ever.


17 posted on 04/15/2014 12:29:56 PM PDT by discostu (Call it collect, call it direct, call it TODAY!)
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To: BenLurkin

We’re DOOMED I tell you DOOMED. now where did I put my tin foil hat.


18 posted on 04/15/2014 12:31:05 PM PDT by bikerman
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To: BenLurkin
Full dams are a good thing.

Let it rain.

19 posted on 04/15/2014 12:35:50 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: BenLurkin
Prediction for something happening this year, it could come back. It could be big. So say climate scientists. Prediction for years into the future. Global warming will definitely happen.
20 posted on 04/15/2014 12:37:59 PM PDT by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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To: BenLurkin
“There’s a big chance that in 2015 there is going to be a bump in the global temperature,” said Klaus Wolter.

Or not...

21 posted on 04/15/2014 12:38:32 PM PDT by Senator_Blutarski
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Hey I heard a new one the other night on the local news. They were saying this spring was going to bring in a severe pollen vortex.

I’m not kidding.

Vortex must be the new word of the year. Sounds scary, right?

Freak’n morons.


22 posted on 04/15/2014 12:43:40 PM PDT by AFreeBird
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To: little jeremiah
New Year's Day 1997: Northern California flood

A series of subtropical storms, collectively called a pineapple express, struck northern California from late December 1996 to early January 1997.[1] December 1996 was one of the wettest Decembers on record.[1] The Klamath River on California's North Coast experienced significant flooding which led to the river permanently changing course in some areas.[13] The Klamath National Forest experienced its worst flood since 1974.[13] Unprecedented flows from rain surged into the Feather River basin while melted snow surged into the San Joaquin River basin.[13] Rain fell at elevations up to 11,000 feet (3,400 m), prompting snow melt.[1][13] The Cosumnes River, a tributary to the San Joaquin River, bore the brunt of the flooding.[13] Sacramento was spared, though levee failures flooded Olivehurst, Arboga, Wilton, Manteca, and Modesto.[14] Massive landslides in the Eldorado National Forest east of Sacramento closed Highway 50.[13] Damages totaled US$35 million (1997 dollars).[13]

Watersheds in the Sierra Nevada were already saturated by the time three subtropical storms added more than 30 inches (760 mm) of rain in late December 1996 and early January 1997.[1] Levee failures due to breaks or overtopping in the Sacramento River Basin resulted in extensive damages.[1] In the San Joaquin River Basin, dozens of levees failed throughout the river system and produced widespread flooding.[1] The Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta also experienced several levee breaks and levee overtopping.[1] 48 counties were declared disaster areas, including all 46 counties in northern California.[1] Over 23,000 homes and businesses, agricultural lands, bridges, roads and flood management infrastructures – valued at about $2 billion – were damaged. Nine people were killed and 120,000 people were evacuated from their homes.[1] 300 square miles (780 km2) were flooded, including the Yosemite Valley, which flooded for the first time since 1861-62.[1]

From Wikipedia.

23 posted on 04/15/2014 12:48:26 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: BenLurkin

I’m thinking La Nada.


24 posted on 04/15/2014 12:55:50 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Do The Math)
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To: BenLurkin

Yep. Let’s hope.


25 posted on 04/15/2014 1:04:40 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (H.L. Mencken: "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.")
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To: BenLurkin

The Farmers’ Almanac is calling for a continuation of the drought in the South West. My money is on the FA.


26 posted on 04/15/2014 1:05:26 PM PDT by bgill
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To: Tenacious 1

Then it would be a hot dry summer for California. It’s in the 80’s in San Jose and no rain in the forecast. I keep on wondering about fire danger.


27 posted on 04/15/2014 1:23:57 PM PDT by luckystarmom
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To: Mariner

I remember some of that. I live in OR and really need the rain, although huge flooding is not desirable. Weather does what it’s going to do.


28 posted on 04/15/2014 1:28:40 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point. CSLewis)
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To: luckystarmom

Fire danger is off the charts already, or soon will be, in the whole dry area.


29 posted on 04/15/2014 1:29:14 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point. CSLewis)
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To: Mastador1
El Niño (which is Spanish for “the Niño”)

LOL! Wow! Spanish is so easy!

30 posted on 04/15/2014 1:33:58 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Play the 'Knockout Game' with someone owning a 9mm and you get what you deserve)
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To: VeniVidiVici
LOL! Wow! Spanish is so easy!

Yup all ya gotta do is put El in front and O at the end. All I want to know is what they were drinking or smoking when they wrote it.

31 posted on 04/15/2014 1:39:30 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: BenLurkin

Are they going to call of the water rationing to make room for all the predicted water ?¿


32 posted on 04/15/2014 1:47:31 PM PDT by ▀udda▀udd (>> F U B O << "What the hell kind of country is this if I can only hate a man if he's white?")
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To: Mariner

It rained every freakin’ day for a month. We didn’t pour much concrete for a while.


33 posted on 04/15/2014 1:47:39 PM PDT by Doomonyou (Let them eat Lead.)
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To: BenLurkin

...and then again maybe not.


34 posted on 04/15/2014 1:56:42 PM PDT by ThePatriotsFlag ("There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide." - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: BenLurkin

So their great prediction is as reliable as a coin toss?

“I predict that there are 50/50 odds of ___________ happening this year, so we must panic accordingly!”

Seriously, how many either/or situations exist?


35 posted on 04/15/2014 1:59:29 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy (WoT News: Rantburg.com)
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To: BenLurkin

Children and minorities to be hardest hit.


36 posted on 04/15/2014 2:04:50 PM PDT by Organic Panic
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To: Tenacious 1

Algore reported that he and his activist in 1997-1998 stopped El Nino in it’s tracks. “hear roaring ovation from the crowd of idiots”

Maybe we can call on him again to stop el Nino


37 posted on 04/15/2014 2:09:45 PM PDT by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
What does Algor say?
38 posted on 04/15/2014 4:02:54 PM PDT by ANGGAPO (Layte Gulf Beach Club)
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To: ANGGAPO
What does Algor say?

"I made a 100 million bucks selling the tv channel to Al Jazeera and I'm living the good life"

39 posted on 04/15/2014 4:06:36 PM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Can we go back to the first 30 years of my life when we merely referred to this stuff as “weather”?
******************************
Excellent! Those are my thoughts, too!


40 posted on 04/15/2014 9:29:05 PM PDT by octex
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