Posted on 03/26/2020 10:14:19 AM PDT by Mariner
Look at worldometers. At this moment the epidemic exists only in 4 centers. NYC, Seattle, LA, and Detroit. 4 states. NY, CA, MI,and Washington. NJ is a suburb of NYC. The rest of the country has not even hit the exponential phase and if we do this right never will.
OK, so my BIL and nieces (1 has a toddler) and uh, step-great-nephew were visited by a girl with COVID confirmed yesterday! (I was going to post the article related, but it won’t let me - suffice to say I have 3 degrees of separation from the COVID-suffering woman in the news story.)
My BIL has to quarantine IN HIS ROOM (he is c75 and has some heart issues). One niece is staying in and getting him food.
The other niece, nurse at HOPKINS but they’re letting her go back and forth to work! (She’s working in a lock-down COVID unit, too.) Also, the “nephew” gets to go back to work tomorrow!
I don’t know why they’re so liberal with those 2 working!
They are 10 min from us, and from my mother. We rarely even interact (long story) and now we definitely won’t!
The virus has exponential growth.
Your brain has linear analysis.
The virus will win—every time.
How would any of that be different than what I am saying? I have said most of it myself.
Only 7 times worst than a typical seasonal flu?
I'm OK with that, the raw numbers with so many still sick look much worse. But for the currently sick, the promising HOCQ+ZPack, other medicines, drug cocktails and treatments on deck we just might get the mortality rate that low!
Vermont has hit the exponential phase.
Wyoming has hit the exponential phase.
Idaho has hit the exponential phase.
(insert state here) has hit the exponential phase.
Look at the numbers, man.
This is not _that_ hard.
RINO BLAST : “Wuhan numbers are decreasing, back to factories” (no independent inspections). “All in, wash you hands and keep distance”
cut/paste is nice. I’ve never seen that many copies of a word before. Was this a spontaneous burst of ‘creativity’ or some sort of computer malfunction?
relative numbers between the two would be nice.
I’ve yet to see those.
IT’s why I was asking.
How many 30yr olds win an ICU bed during flu season vs this virus?
I might add, are you venturing forth into crowded environs every day w/o any PPE? Why or why not?
And bear in mind, Washington state REALLY is the one that got hit (just that one epicenter nursing home!) and SERIOUSLY skews the curve for the whole US.
Our CFR so far is truthfully about 1.0% now, and has been mostly.
This is no Black Plague, though I will say ITALY really is sucking the lemon. 10%.
#28
Loners must be tired of all the lock down complaints.
***** Sharp increase Ohio
875 Cov-19
15 deaths
Icu over 80
So I gotta wonder. Knowing since the ‘00’s that HCQ ‘cured’ coronavirus infections and apparently not going to make the CONUS aware of that prior to Trump ‘grandstanding’
during his press conference...
what other cheap ‘cures’ are being sat on because bigger money is made on ‘prophylaxis’?
I watched ‘outbreak’ this past weekend and just got to wondering...
As a nation we are in the recovery phase. The umpteen epidemics urban centers have will progress “like an epidemic”. I haven’t seen a chart for individual # new deaths but an approximation can be had by doing this. Look at # new deaths. If it is less than about 1/4 of total deaths (for that state, county, whatever) they probably aren’t in the exponential phase. The numbers I saw that wasn’t rue for those states. If new deaths is over 1/4 of total deaths, yes they are in it.
The Lancet used a 14 day offset between deaths and recoveries in their calculations.
The death toll 14 days ago compared to the number recovered today give a fairly stable number.
It’s more or less a cohort that got sick on the same day, with the fatal outcomes taking a week and recovery taking 3 weeks.
The ones with a population density of 1 per square mile or less perhaps. If you have not watched Peak Prosperity you are about to get the biggest reaming of your life and you are only providing the lube. Lol.
Arkansas latest — March 26, 12:40 p.m. CT
335 confirmed cases
2 deaths
13 recoveries
1,839 tests given
Could be. In the end I don’t think drugs are going to change things much.
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