Skip to comments.Burns Out/Rehberg In? (potentially vulnerable GOP Senator may retire)
Posted on 01/10/2006 7:03:58 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican
Burns Out/Rehberg In?
Considering the fact that Sen. Conrad Burns from Montana was below 50% in the pre-Abramoff "I'm guilty" ballot question, word is now spreading like wildfire inside Washington, DC that Burns will soon announce his retirement.
A source on Capitol Hill tells me that the National Republican Senatorial Committee is polling feverishly to see if the Senate seat is salvagable should Burns seek re-election. The prognosis, I am told, is not good.
Enter Congressman Denny Rehberg, Montana's wildly popular At-Large member of Congress. Rehberg briefly flirted with the idea of running against Max Baucus in 2002, but decided against it at the last minute (Baucus easily won re-election.)
Insiders tell me that Rehberg would be a strong candidate for an open seat and is beginning to be recruited heavily by members of the Upper Chamber and even the White House.
Stay tuned ...
You have a lot more faith in those voters than I would. I'd go so far as to say if Perot had pulled out for a second and final time, he would've endorsed Clinton. It's hard to overstate the absolute hatred Perot had for Bush, Sr.
"for Bush to have won, he would have had to carry both IA and CT."
I was thinking, even in '92, Iowa seemed to have a particular distaste for Bush, Sr. He lost rather handily to Dukakis there in '88 (partly due to reaction against the Administration on the "farm belt depression", IIRC), and I see no way for him to have won the state over Clinton. It took 20 years for Iowa to finally come back to the GOP column after 1984, and not by a particularly impressive margin.
There's no way Raicoit would run for House. If he wants back in, it's him that should succeed Burns and Rehberg should stay where he is and run against Baucus in 2008.
But either way is fine for me. I think one or the other should probably signal primary challenge at this point. It would make sure Burns will retire, because either would probably win if he ran.
Now, now, don't get externalities into my hypothetical. : )
"Now, now, don't get externalities into my hypothetical. : )"
Ew, that sounds kinda gay. =8-0
"I was thinking, even in '92, Iowa seemed to have a particular distaste for Bush, Sr."
Of course, must also remember that if Bush, Sr. had won a 2nd term, we would not have likely won Congress in '94. It usually takes the shock of a disastrous 'Rat administration to scare the straights into supporting the GOP (a la 1966, 1980, 1994).
"Of course, must also remember that if Bush, Sr. had won a 2nd term, we would not have likely won Congress in '94."
I doubt that Secretary of State Brad Johnson would run for Congress if Rehberg runs for the Senate. He's only held his current office for a year, and won it by only 51% to 49%.
I think that state Public Service Commissioner Brad Molnar would be a good candidate.
I'm also hopeful that Conrad Burns decides to return to Montana and Denny Rehberg replaces him.
Politically, Rehberg would be a dam site better than Burns. At least Rehberg makes no bones about the fact he's conservative.
He does have the tenacity to fight, but the fact that he's mulling retirement, to me suggests he knows he's vulnerable.
I believe that IA also went for Dukakis, didn't it?
"I believe that IA also went for Dukakis, didn't it?"
BTW, that picture of Loni Anderson you posted is still being replaced by a box with a little red x. The least they could have done is place two huge red xs . . .
DJ, this is no laughing matter. You must be breaking some sort of rule by mentioning Jennifer Marlowe, claiming to post a picture of her, being told that the picture didn't work, and then chuckling instead of posting a picture that works. Don't make me sic the Mods at you. : )
That's more like it. Pretty good picture of Bailey, too.
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